6709 Betty Ln · Navarre, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* As-Is Cash Sale Opportunity * This 1294 square foot Double Wide Manufactured Mobile Home is being sold in its current 'as-is' condition. The roof is 3 years old. There is mold in the ceiling of the master bathroom, so please enter with caution. Key details include:- 3 bedrooms, 2.0 bathrooms- Located on a beautiful lot with public water and septic- Electricity available * Important Notes: * - Cash purchase only - Sellers have never occupied the residence- No repairs will be made under any circumstances-Home needs alot of TLC-Close proximity to Hurlburt Field (approx. 10 miles)- Near public beaches and shopping. Nice location with potential for renovation or rebuilding. In a culdesac. If
Key facts
- Septic
- Usable space
- Culdesac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 0.27 acres; Lot features include cleared lot, cul-de-sac, dead end
Exterior
- Utilities: Community water; Electric; Tap fee paid
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property; Construction complete; Road frontage on a county road; Zoned for mobile home and single-family residential
- Construction: Built in 2000; Other/N/A construction materials
- Exterior features: Yard building
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric stove/oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has cooling
- Interior features: Single-story layout; Stories: 1
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 4.2% in Navarre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#435 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: West Navarre Primary School (723 students, 39% FRL); Woodlawn Beach Middle School (math 68% / reading 60%, grade B+, #105 of 571 statewide, top 19%, 948 students, 34% FRL); Navarre High School (math 49% / reading 58%, grade C-, #146 of 667 statewide, top 22%, 2,406 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 768 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $125k implies a 658% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.26%
- DSCR
- 3.10
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,572
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2922 Crittenden Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+8%) | 13mo | $165,900 | $118 | 67 |
| 3018 Ranney Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-4%) | 20mo | $172,000 | $138 | 64 |
| 6732 Deena Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-12%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $166 | 63 |
| 3004 Ferris Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,127 (-13%) | 21mo | $156,000 | $138 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $66,792
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 50.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.81×
- Total profit
- $168,191
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32566
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 768
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,675 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $331/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$562
- Net cashflow
- $1,378
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2426 Houston Cir Gulf Breeze, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $2,500 | $1.70 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7223 Crown Ct Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1585 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2879 Leahs Ln Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1839 | $2,150 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7279 Majestic Blvd Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $4,000 | $2.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7288 Mossy Oaks Ct Navarre, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $2,495 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $125,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-12$150,000 Active
-
1997-03-03soldstatus $16,500
-
1997-02-28soldstatus $16,500
-
1986-02-01soldstatus $9,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $331 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,038 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$706/yr (+$59/mo · 213.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,104
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$331
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,568
- − Management
- −$2,568
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $15,373
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,689
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,850/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201650
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,161
- Composite
- 53.12/100
- National rank
- #1511
- State rank
- #8 of 73 in FL
Livability — Navarre
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #435
- US rank
- #7790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Navarre, FL
- County
- Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
- City population
- 43,883
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,883
- Household income
- $105,551
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 608.0
Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,978 people
- By 2030
- 209,782 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 235,293 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 256,408 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 298,074 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 303,216 · +54.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.87%
- Current HPI
- 298.6821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.74%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1495.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Listed $150,000 NAMLS
- 1997-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
- 1997-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
- 1986-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,400 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $331 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…