1463 De Anza Dr · Borrego Springs, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to a rare opportunity in the desirable De Anza Golf Estates. This single-story home is situated on a large, spacious lot that backs directly onto the golf course, offering peaceful views and a relaxing desert atmosphere. The property features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, along with a detached 2-car garage that provides ample parking, storage, or workshop potential. The home is in need of significant work, making it an ideal project for an investor, contractor, or buyer with vision looking to create a personalized desert retreat. With its prime location, generous lot size, and direct golf course access, this property offers outstanding potential for those ready to bring new life to it
Key facts
- 0.63 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1963
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Borrego Springs subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces (6 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Sewer: Unknown
- Home design: Single-story detached single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Half- to one-acre lot (approximately 0.63 acres); Zoned R-1 (single-family)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Washer hookup
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $265k).
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 6.0% in Borrego Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#712 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Borrego Springs Unified (rural): math 20% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #1,120 of 1,400 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $265k implies a 308% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.73%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $498,576
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1463 De Anza Dr | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,833 (0%) | 1mo | $238,500 | $130 | 100 |
| 1471 De Anza Dr | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,646 (-10%) | 9mo | $450,000 | $273 | 74 |
| 196 Montezuma Rd | 0.69mi | 2/2.5 | 1,729 (-6%) | 6mo | $470,000 | $272 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $97,802
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- 38.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.59×
- Total profit
- $266,448
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92004
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$240 /mo · $2,885/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,050
- Net cashflow
- $2,209
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,360 | -5% $2,284 | +0% $2,209 | +5% $2,134 | +10% $2,059 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,814 | -5% $2,012 | +0% $2,209 | +5% $2,407 | +10% $2,604 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,343 | -0.5pp $2,277 | base $2,209 | +0.5pp $2,141 | +1.0pp $2,071 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1586 De Anza Dr Borrego Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2236 | $5,000 | $2.24 | 2d | 1 | 0.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-10$265,000 Active
-
1978-08-11soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,885 · $240/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,885 · $240/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $60,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$2,885
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,800
- − Management
- −$4,800
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable income
- $23,637
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,673
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,841/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Borrego Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0605700
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,330
- Composite
- 26.31/100
- National rank
- #12684
- State rank
- #1120 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Borrego Springs
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #712
- US rank
- #21334
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Borrego Springs, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,030
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 24%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Slovak 5% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 30%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.39%
- Current HPI
- 222.8196
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+307.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — SDMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $265,000 SDMLS
- 1978-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,885 · +20.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…