1208 N Manchester · Newton, KS 67114

$40,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 870 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1955 6,969 sqft lot ↓ 27% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 6,969 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1955

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 1-car garage
• Utilities: Public utilities; Sewer available
• Home design: Single-family onsite built
• Construction: No foundation details listed
• Exterior features: One-level home; Composition roof

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Forced air heating
• Interior features: Main floor laundry; No basement
• Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($976 rent vs $40k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#282 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Newton (town): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #141 of 169 in KS (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Slate Creek Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #507 of 684 statewide, top 78%, 267 students, 55% FRL); Chisholm Middle School (math 14% / reading 25%, grade F, #152 of 219 statewide, top 72%, 489 students, 58% FRL); Newton Sr High (math 11% / reading 26%, grade F, #232 of 327 statewide, top 71%, 956 students, 51% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+18.1%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 148 units permitted in Harvey County in 2024 (13 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $40,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.44% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.64%
• Cash-on-cash: 44.11%
• DSCR: 2.96
• GRM: 3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 47.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.23×
• Total profit: $24,964
• Equity at exit: $5,964

10-year hold

• IRR: 55.4%
• Equity multiple: 8.08×
• Total profit: $79,242
• Equity at exit: $3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kansas: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 67114

• Rents YoY: 18.1%
• Active inventory: 131
• Price-to-rent: 3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $976 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax from tax record: −$133 /mo · $1,593/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$205
• Net cashflow: $412

Break-even live

Break-even rent $455

Max offer price $40,000

Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $434	-5% $423	+0% $412	+5% $400	+10% $389
Rent	-10% $335	-5% $373	+0% $412	+5% $450	+10% $489
Rate	-1.0pp $432	-0.5pp $422	base $412	+0.5pp $401	+1.0pp $391

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,000
• Closing costs: $1,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
504 E 10th St Newton, KS	3.0	1.0	1066	$1,100	$1.03	15d	1	0.95mi
603 N High St Newton, KS	2.0	1.0	876	$850	$0.97	15d	1	1.03mi
419 E 6th St Unit 419 Newton, KS	2.0	1.0	1000	$775	$0.78	15d	1	1.14mi
109 E 6th St Unit 16 Newton, KS	2.0	1.0	850	$900	$1.06	15d	1	1.48mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-12
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-07
   listed $40,000 Active
3. 2001-10-16
   listed $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,593 · $133/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,593 · $133/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,710
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,241
• − Property taxes: −$1,593
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$937
• − Management: −$937
• − Depreciation: −$1,164
• Taxable income: $4,639
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,113
• After-tax cash flow: $3,827/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Newton
• NCES district ID: 2009960
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 30% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $47,297
• Composite: 20.51/100
• National rank: #8569
• State rank: #141 of 169 in KS

Livability — Newton

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #282
• US rank: #12628

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Newton, KS
• County: Harvey County · 20,919 people
• City population: 20,919
• Metro: Wichita, KS
• Population (ZIP): 20,919
• Household income: $70,018
• Rent vs Own: 30.3% rent · 69.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 612.0

Population outlook (Harvey County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 35,226 people
• By 2030: 35,287 · +0.2%
• By 2040: 35,124 · -0.3%
• By 2050: 34,665 · -1.6%
• By 2075: 33,716 · -4.3%
• By 2100: 30,163 · -14.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Native American 2% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 15%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harvey

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.6% · R 59.6% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.2pp · 2024: -21.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+19.7 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+17.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -140.55%
• Current HPI: 187.6572
• Rent YoY: ▲ 18.05%
• Metro: Wichita, KS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-27.3% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-07 Listed $40,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2001-10-16 Listed $55,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,593 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.