323 Steubenville Rd SE · Carrollton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move right into this beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in Carrollton! Offering approximately 1,300 square feet, this charming property features updated kitchen cabinetry, vinyl windows, all-new flooring throughout, fresh paint, and new drywall in both bedrooms. Recent major improvements include a new furnace (2023), hot water tank (2019), and roof (2011), helping to take the worry out of homeownership. Enjoy the spacious kitchen and the convenience of first-floor laundry. A full basement provides excellent storage and workspace potential. Situated on an oversized 0.32-acre lot, this home offers a spacious backyard with plenty of room to enjoy. Whether you’re looking for your
Key facts
- New drywall
- Vinyl windows
- New furnace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual property tax noted
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,300
- Construction: Built (per assessor); Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Private yard; Covered porch/patio
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $752 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.7% in Carrollton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#131 in OH, #1,863 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Carrollton Exempted Village (town): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #419 of 656 in OH (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Carrollton Elementary School (math 50% / reading 57%, grade C, #834 of 1,584 statewide, top 53%, 820 students, 57% FRL); Carrollton High School-Carrollton Middle School (math 43% / reading 58%, grade D+, #380 of 781 statewide, top 49%, 1,005 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carroll County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $140k implies a 330% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.03%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,900
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 336 Steubenville Rd SE | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,304 (+0%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $184 | 87 |
| 153 Haines Ln SE | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,352 (+4%) | 22mo | $180,000 | $133 | 55 |
| 396 2nd St NE | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,178 (-9%) | 10mo | $227,000 | $193 | 54 |
| 100 Park Ave SE | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,198 (-8%) | 9mo | $80,000 | $67 | 50 |
| 292 4th St NE | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 1,118 (-14%) | 20mo | $70,000 | $63 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $25,196
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $83,537
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44615
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,082 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,214/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $752
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $831 | -5% $791 | +0% $752 | +5% $712 | +10% $673 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $587 | -5% $670 | +0% $752 | +5% $834 | +10% $916 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $822 | -0.5pp $787 | base $752 | +0.5pp $716 | +1.0pp $679 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $139,900 Pending 22 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-05-31$139,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,214 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,698 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$484/yr (+$40/mo · 39.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,986
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,214
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,999
- − Management
- −$1,999
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $7,168
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,720
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,301/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carrollton Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904527
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,165
- Composite
- 43.94/100
- National rank
- #2903
- State rank
- #419 of 656 in OH
Livability — Carrollton
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #1863
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Carroll · 27,595 people
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,830
- Household income
- $66,391
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7.5
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,766 people
- By 2030
- 24,481 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 21,803 · -15.4%
- By 2050
- 19,323 · -25.0%
- By 2075
- 15,205 · -41.0%
- By 2100
- 12,287 · -52.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.7) · D 22.2% · R 77.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -49.9pp toward R · 2008: -4.8pp · 2024: -54.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.7 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+13.7 2008: R+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -129.95%
- Current HPI
- 222.0728
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+330.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $139,900 MLSNOW
- 2002-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,214 · +92.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…