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1921 Emerson Dr Triplex
D Composite 44.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0

$850,000

1921 Emerson Dr · Chattanooga, TN 37408
9 bd · 6.9 ba · 4,352 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 140 Days on market
Built 1910 9,147 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

PRIME INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY in the Heart of the Southside! Value confirmed by recent appraisal. LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! This exceptional multi-family investment property sits in the vibrant Southside district—one of Chattanooga's fastest-growing neighborhoods. The property includes four buildings: three duplexes (each featuring a two-room studio) and one standalone unit offering 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Situated within a federally designated OPPORTUNITY ZONE, this property provides substantial tax advantages for investors. With MIXED-USE COMMERCIAL ZONING, you'll have the flexibility to: Continue operating as a multi-family rental property Reposition for higher-yield reside

Key facts

  • Opportunity zone
  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • Built 1910

Tags

VIBRANT SOUTHSIDE DISTRICTOPPORTUNITY ZONEMIXED-USE COMMERCIAL ZONINGDYNAMIC DEVELOPMENT PROJECT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/2.3-bath units multifamily listed at $850k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-639 ($-8k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-213/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $737k (13.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $629k (26.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $629k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Battle Academy For Teaching Learning (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #191 of 952 statewide, top 22%, 487 students, 0% FRL); Orchard Knob Middle (math 5% / reading 6%, grade F, #291 of 333 statewide, top 88%, 334 students, 0% FRL); The Howard School (math 3% / reading 8%, grade F, #309 of 332 statewide, top 93%, 1,485 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hamilton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $91k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $85k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$146k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($748k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 94344% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $150k; list at $850k implies a 467% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $628,700 (26.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  7. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  8. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  9. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  10. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  11. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  12. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  13. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  14. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.89%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$421,158
Equity at exit
$765,747
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
6.34×
Total profit
$1,270,066
Equity at exit
$1,651,363

Cash invested: $238,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37408

Home prices YoY
10.0%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
33.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,287 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,457
Tax from tax record
$728 /mo · $8,730/yr
Insurance
$354
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,320
Net cashflow
$-639

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,096
Max offer price $737,131
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-158 -5% $-398 +0% $-639 +5% $-880 +10% $-1,120
Rent -10% $-1,136 -5% $-887 +0% $-639 +5% $-391 +10% $-142
Rate -1.0pp $-211 -0.5pp $-423 base $-639 +0.5pp $-859 +1.0pp $-1,083

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $6,287

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$212,500
Closing costs
$25,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-25
    listed $900
  2. 2026-03-28
    status Pending
  3. 2026-03-16
    price $850,000
  4. 2025-11-08
    listed $999,000 Active
  5. 2014-04-02
    soldstatus $150,000
  6. 2006-07-27
    soldstatus $293,270
  7. 2003-08-05
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,730 · $728/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,730 · $728/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$75,444
− Mortgage interest
−$47,613
− Property taxes
−$8,730
− Insurance
−$5,048
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,036
− Management
−$6,036
− Depreciation
−$24,727
Taxable loss
−$22,745
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,459
After-tax cash flow
$-2,208/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton County
NCES district ID
4701590
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,456
Composite
26.8/100
National rank
#7122
State rank
#42 of 139 in TN

Livability — Chattanooga

Score
78/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#2582

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chattanooga, TN
County
Hamilton County · 312,777 people
City population
131,999
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
Population (ZIP)
3,502
Household income
$81,250
Rent vs Own
71.3% rent · 28.7% own
Severe rent burden
220.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
393,784 people
By 2030
412,983 · +4.9%
By 2040
449,502 · +14.1%
By 2050
484,341 · +23.0%
By 2075
565,746 · +43.7%
By 2100
618,394 · +57.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Ukrainian 8% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 29.73%
Current HPI
326.5006
Rent YoY
▲ 2.84%
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1600.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Listed for Rent $900 GCAR
  • 2026-03-28 Pending GCAR
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $850,000 GCAR
  • 2025-11-08 Listed $999,000 GCAR
  • 2014-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2006-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $293,270 Public Records
  • 2003-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+17.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,730 · +287.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…