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281 S Avenue 52 24-Plex
B Composite 72.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$4,088,888

281 S Avenue 52 · Los Angeles, CA 90042
1032 bd · 576.0 ba · 19,828 sqft · MultiFamily · 105 Days on market
Built 1961 Fair condition 0.68 ac lot $206/sqft · 7% below area Est $4415k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 24 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

This offering presents an excellent opportunity to acquire a 24-unit apartment community located in the highly desirable Highland Park neighborhood of Los Angeles. Built in 1961, the property consists of approximately 19,828 square feet of improvements situated on a 29,724 square foot lot. The unit mix includes 5 one-bedroom / one-bath units, 18 two-bedroom / one-bath units, and 1 two-bedroom / two-bath unit, offering a strong configuration that supports long-term tenant demand. Residents benefit from the property's proximity to Downtown Los Angeles via the 110 Freeway and convenient access to the Metro Gold Line, connecting Highland Park to South Pasadena, Pasadena, and DTLA. The property is also located near the vibrant Figueroa Street retail corridor, providing tenants with easy access to Highland Park's popular restaurants, cafes, shops, and neighborhood amenities. Opportunities to acquire assets of this scale in Highland Park remain limited, as the neighborhood is largely built-out and new multifamily development remains constrained.

Key facts

  • 0.68 acre lot
  • 26 parking spots
  • Built 1961

Tags

24 UNIT APARTMENT COMMUNITYHIGHLAND PARK NEIGHBORHOODACCESS TO METRO GOLD LINE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5×1bd/1ba + 18×2bd/1ba + 1×2bd/2ba units multifamily listed at $4.09M. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $25k ($296k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($67k rent vs $4.09M).
  • Recommended offer: $3.72M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $66,992/mo this rent would consume 844% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 2699% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $28k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $123k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $1.14M cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($3.72M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $3,720,888 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
13.53%
Cash-on-cash
25.85%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$4,415,189
List price
$4,088,888
Delta
-7.39%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$799,367
Equity at exit
$609,666
10-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$2,286,240
Equity at exit
$353,532

Cash invested: $1,144,889 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Los Angeles
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
LARSO + JCEO 2023; relocation for substantial remodel evictions.

ZIP-level market 90042

Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
128.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$66,992 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$21,443
Tax est. 1.5%
$5,111 /mo · $61,333/yr
Insurance
$1,704
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$14,068
Net cashflow
$24,666

Break-even live

Break-even rent $35,769
Max offer price $4,088,888
Occupancy floor 58%

24-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 2 $2,830
Total (24 units) $66,992

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,022,222
Closing costs
$122,667
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 91 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $4,088,888 Active 87 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    price $4,088,888 1054-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1054 chars)

    This offering presents an excellent opportunity to acquire a 24-unit apartment community located in the highly desirable Highland Park neighborhood of Los Angeles. Built in 1961, the property consists of approximately 19,828 square feet of improvements situated on a 29,724 square foot lot. The unit mix includes 5 one-bedroom / one-bath units, 18 two-bedroom / one-bath units, and 1 two-bedroom / two-bath unit, offering a strong configuration that supports long-term tenant demand. Residents benefit from the property's proximity to Downtown Los Angeles via the 110 Freeway and convenient access to the Metro Gold Line, connecting Highland Park to South Pasadena, Pasadena, and DTLA. The property is also located near the vibrant Figueroa Street retail corridor, providing tenants with easy access to Highland Park's popular restaurants, cafes, shops, and neighborhood amenities. Opportunities to acquire assets of this scale in Highland Park remain limited, as the neighborhood is largely built-out and new multifamily development remains constrained.

  15. 2026-04-21
    price $4,188,888 1054-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1054 chars)

    This offering presents an excellent opportunity to acquire a 24-unit apartment community located in the highly desirable Highland Park neighborhood of Los Angeles. Built in 1961, the property consists of approximately 19,828 square feet of improvements situated on a 29,724 square foot lot. The unit mix includes 5 one-bedroom / one-bath units, 18 two-bedroom / one-bath units, and 1 two-bedroom / two-bath unit, offering a strong configuration that supports long-term tenant demand. Residents benefit from the property's proximity to Downtown Los Angeles via the 110 Freeway and convenient access to the Metro Gold Line, connecting Highland Park to South Pasadena, Pasadena, and DTLA. The property is also located near the vibrant Figueroa Street retail corridor, providing tenants with easy access to Highland Park's popular restaurants, cafes, shops, and neighborhood amenities. Opportunities to acquire assets of this scale in Highland Park remain limited, as the neighborhood is largely built-out and new multifamily development remains constrained.

  16. 2026-03-05
    listed $4,208,888 Active 1054-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1054 chars)

    This offering presents an excellent opportunity to acquire a 24-unit apartment community located in the highly desirable Highland Park neighborhood of Los Angeles. Built in 1961, the property consists of approximately 19,828 square feet of improvements situated on a 29,724 square foot lot. The unit mix includes 5 one-bedroom / one-bath units, 18 two-bedroom / one-bath units, and 1 two-bedroom / two-bath unit, offering a strong configuration that supports long-term tenant demand. Residents benefit from the property's proximity to Downtown Los Angeles via the 110 Freeway and convenient access to the Metro Gold Line, connecting Highland Park to South Pasadena, Pasadena, and DTLA. The property is also located near the vibrant Figueroa Street retail corridor, providing tenants with easy access to Highland Park's popular restaurants, cafes, shops, and neighborhood amenities. Opportunities to acquire assets of this scale in Highland Park remain limited, as the neighborhood is largely built-out and new multifamily development remains constrained.

  17. 2012-01-01
    historical
  18. 2011-02-26
    listed $3,600,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$803,904
− Mortgage interest
−$229,041
− Property taxes
−$61,333
− Insurance
−$20,444
− Repairs & maintenance
−$64,312
− Management
−$64,312
− Depreciation
−$118,949
Taxable income
$245,511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$58,923
After-tax cash flow
$237,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 24-unit apartment community in Highland Park requires moderate rehabilitation to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
  • Major roof — Aged and in need of replacement
  • Major concrete driveway and walkways — Severe cracking and need for repair
  • Major HVAC units — Old and in need of replacement

Value-add opportunities

  • Both exterior siding and roof replacement — Significant increase in curb appeal and property value
  • Both HVAC unit replacement — Improved comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both landscaping and exterior maintenance — Enhanced curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
roof · Aged and in need of replacement Major $15,000–50,000
concrete driveway and walkways · Severe cracking and need for repair Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC units · Old and in need of replacement Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both exterior siding and roof replacement — Significant increase in curb appeal and property value
  • Both HVAC unit replacement — Improved comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both landscaping and exterior maintenance — Enhanced curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Los Angeles Unified
NCES district ID
0622710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,403
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4875
State rank
#223 of 517 in CA

Livability — Los Angeles

Score
68/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#9237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Los Angeles, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
3,838,149
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
56,835
Household income
$95,282
Rent vs Own
52.6% rent · 47.4% own
Severe rent burden
2699.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 24% Two or more races 22% Asian 13% Native American 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 41%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
40% English-only · Spanish 47% Tagalog/Filipino 5% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1816.99%
Current HPI
637.0324
Rent YoY
▲ 1.34%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $4,088,888 TheMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $4,188,888 TheMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $4,208,888 TheMLS
  • 2012-01-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2011-02-26 Listed $3,600,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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