5555 Purdy Road(lot #70) · Canandaigua, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Stunning vinyl clad manufactured ranch loaded with upgrades and charm. This lovely home offers a desirable honey oak kitchen with breakfast bar and all appliances. A first floor laundry with washer and dryer and with side entry can be used as a mudroom during inclement weather. The home offers a gas fireplace (new starter and remote), a master suite with full bath and spacious closet, a dinette area and two spacious bedrooms and another full bath. Vinyl clad thermopane windows, a spacious cement patio area and vinyl clad shed. The home to to left is being removed to make room for a new home in the near future. Due to current resident medical status there will be delayed showings until December 3rd and delayed negotiation until December 5th.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 2010
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.4% vs local median 3.4% in Canandaigua — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in NY, #3,822 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Canandaigua City School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #305 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 78.88%
- DSCR
- 4.51
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $317,016
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5531 Cdga-farm Tl Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,158 (-5%) | 23mo | $300,000 | $259 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 84.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.21×
- Total profit
- $76,581
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 89.0%
- Equity multiple
- 12.82×
- Total profit
- $214,797
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14424
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,080 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $974/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $1,194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-03-26$64,900 Active
-
2021-02-05soldstatus $55,000 Closed Sale or Rented 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Stunning vinyl clad manufactured ranch loaded with upgrades and charm. This lovely home offers a desirable honey oak kitchen with breakfast bar and all appliances. A first floor laundry with washer and dryer and with side entry can be used as a mudroom during inclement weather. The home offers a gas fireplace (new starter and remote), a master suite with full bath and spacious closet, a dinette area and two spacious bedrooms and another full bath. Vinyl clad thermopane windows, a spacious cement patio area and vinyl clad shed. The home to to left is being removed to make room for a new home in the near future. Due to current resident medical status there will be delayed showings until December 3rd and delayed negotiation until December 5th.
-
2021-02-02status Pending Sale 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Stunning vinyl clad manufactured ranch loaded with upgrades and charm. This lovely home offers a desirable honey oak kitchen with breakfast bar and all appliances. A first floor laundry with washer and dryer and with side entry can be used as a mudroom during inclement weather. The home offers a gas fireplace (new starter and remote), a master suite with full bath and spacious closet, a dinette area and two spacious bedrooms and another full bath. Vinyl clad thermopane windows, a spacious cement patio area and vinyl clad shed. The home to to left is being removed to make room for a new home in the near future. Due to current resident medical status there will be delayed showings until December 3rd and delayed negotiation until December 5th.
-
2020-12-31historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Stunning vinyl clad manufactured ranch loaded with upgrades and charm. This lovely home offers a desirable honey oak kitchen with breakfast bar and all appliances. A first floor laundry with washer and dryer and with side entry can be used as a mudroom during inclement weather. The home offers a gas fireplace (new starter and remote), a master suite with full bath and spacious closet, a dinette area and two spacious bedrooms and another full bath. Vinyl clad thermopane windows, a spacious cement patio area and vinyl clad shed. The home to to left is being removed to make room for a new home in the near future. Due to current resident medical status there will be delayed showings until December 3rd and delayed negotiation until December 5th.
-
2020-11-19$58,800 Active 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Stunning vinyl clad manufactured ranch loaded with upgrades and charm. This lovely home offers a desirable honey oak kitchen with breakfast bar and all appliances. A first floor laundry with washer and dryer and with side entry can be used as a mudroom during inclement weather. The home offers a gas fireplace (new starter and remote), a master suite with full bath and spacious closet, a dinette area and two spacious bedrooms and another full bath. Vinyl clad thermopane windows, a spacious cement patio area and vinyl clad shed. The home to to left is being removed to make room for a new home in the near future. Due to current resident medical status there will be delayed showings until December 3rd and delayed negotiation until December 5th.
-
2020-01-30historical
-
2019-12-26status Active
-
2019-12-24historical
-
2019-12-20$54,800 Active
-
2016-10-24soldstatus $42,500 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2016-08-29historical Under Contract- Do Not Show
-
2016-08-03price $45,900
-
2016-07-01price $49,900
-
2016-06-20price $51,900
-
2016-05-28$53,900 Active
-
2016-05-24historical
-
2015-12-26price $54,900
-
2015-09-02$55,900 Active
-
2015-08-31historical
-
2015-08-03price $55,900
-
2015-07-21price $57,400
-
2015-06-22price $58,900
-
2015-05-13$59,900 Active
-
2013-08-02$67,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,957
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$974
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,997
- − Management
- −$1,997
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $14,142
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,394
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,939/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canandaigua City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606330
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,375
- Composite
- 47.09/100
- National rank
- #2335
- State rank
- #305 of 590 in NY
Livability — Canandaigua
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #3822
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ontario County · 58,989 people
- City population
- 28,786
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,786
- Household income
- $79,778
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 737.0
Population outlook (Ontario County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,230 people
- By 2030
- 111,401 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 109,535 · -1.5%
- By 2050
- 104,895 · -5.7%
- By 2075
- 92,999 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 73,723 · -33.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ontario
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 50.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.2 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: R+1.6 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.94%
- Current HPI
- 263.755
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.46%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-3.9% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $64,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-02-05 Sold (MLS) $55,000 UNYREIS
- 2021-02-02 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2020-12-31 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2020-11-19 Listed $58,800 UNYREIS
- 2020-01-30 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2019-12-26 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2019-12-24 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2019-12-20 Listed $54,800 UNYREIS
- 2016-10-24 Sold (MLS) $42,500 UNYREIS
- 2016-08-29 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2016-08-03 Price Changed $45,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-07-01 Price Changed $49,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-06-20 Price Changed $51,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-05-28 Listed $53,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-05-24 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-12-26 Price Changed $54,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-09-02 Listed $55,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-08-31 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-08-03 Price Changed $55,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-07-21 Price Changed $57,400 UNYREIS
- 2015-06-22 Price Changed $58,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-05-13 Listed $59,900 UNYREIS
- 2013-08-02 Listed $67,500 UNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…