8104 NE 28th St · Spencer, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the possibilities at 8104 NE 28th in Spencer, OK, offering a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, 1.1 bathrooms, two living areas, and two dining spaces designed for flexible everyday living and entertaining. Situated on just over an acre, the property provides plenty of room to spread out and includes multiple outbuildings, ideal for storage, hobbies, or workspace needs. A detached 2-car garage adds convenience, while the converted attached garage (not included in recorded square footage) offers additional usable space with a variety of potential uses. With its generous lot size and versatile floorplan, this property presents a great opportunity to personalize and enhance to your own style while building long-term value.
Key facts
- Two dining spaces
- Two living areas
- Spacious layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#615 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $74k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.40%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,961
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -31.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8401 NE 28th St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,288 (+11%) | 1mo | $156,500 | $122 | 64 |
| 8320 NE 33 St | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,220 (+5%) | 6mo | $137,000 | $112 | 62 |
| 8621 NE 33rd St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,122 (-3%) | 10mo | $121,000 | $108 | 58 |
| 8624 NE 34th St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-3%) | 24mo | $161,000 | $144 | 43 |
| 8819 Cecile Pl | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (+4%) | 20mo | $162,000 | $135 | 42 |
| 8308 NE 34th Pl | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,334 (+15%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $75 | 36 |
| 2013 Creekridge Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,323 (+14%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $125 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $72,074
- Equity at exit
- $85,584
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.38×
- Total profit
- $196,272
- Equity at exit
- $184,564
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73084
- Home prices YoY
- 24.3%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,209 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,179/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $319
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $373 | -5% $346 | +0% $319 | +5% $292 | +10% $265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $224 | -5% $271 | +0% $319 | +5% $367 | +10% $415 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $367 | -0.5pp $343 | base $319 | +0.5pp $295 | +1.0pp $270 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2823 Juvene Cir Spencer, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 8741 Hillridge Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1182 | $1,495 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 8741 Hillridge Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1182 | $1,495 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2008 Midridge Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,325 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1632 N Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $895 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 803 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 12d | 34 | 1.05mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 167 Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Apt 255 Midwest City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $940 | $0.97 | 20d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1401 N Midwest Blvd Unit 112 Midwest City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $940 | $0.97 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1312 N Midwest Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 946 | $970 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 801 Meadowridge Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1095 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1619 N Douglas Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,129 | $0.98 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 212 Cambridge Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,400 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1008 Willow Brook Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1045 | $1,125 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8511 Justin Pl Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7801 NE 10th St Oklahoma City, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 940 | $1,199 | $1.28 | 2d | 23 | 1.36mi |
| 1617 Cynthia Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1161 | $1,450 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1620 Cynthia Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1203 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1020 N Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $895 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1014 Spencer Rd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 208 W Shadywood Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,099 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3807 Bradfred St Unit 3809 Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1339 | $1,245 | $0.93 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 911 Crabtree Cv Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,650 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 9212 Jennifer Pl Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 4033 S Locust Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-15status $95,000 Pending 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-22$95,000 Active 736-char remark
Show marketing remark (736 chars)
Discover the possibilities at 8104 NE 28th in Spencer, OK, offering a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, 1.1 bathrooms, two living areas, and two dining spaces designed for flexible everyday living and entertaining. Situated on just over an acre, the property provides plenty of room to spread out and includes multiple outbuildings, ideal for storage, hobbies, or workspace needs. A detached 2-car garage adds convenience, while the converted attached garage (not included in recorded square footage) offers additional usable space with a variety of potential uses. With its generous lot size and versatile floorplan, this property presents a great opportunity to personalize and enhance to your own style while building long-term value.
-
2005-11-18soldstatus $74,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,179 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,179 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,510
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,179
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,161
- − Management
- −$1,161
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,449
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$588
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oklahoma City
- NCES district ID
- 4022770
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,606
- Composite
- 7.0/100
- National rank
- #9970
- State rank
- #254 of 270 in OK
Livability — Spencer
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #615
- US rank
- #24440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spencer, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,296
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 24% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 12% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 53.65%
- Current HPI
- 274.4301
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+28.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $95,000 MLSOK
- 2005-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,179 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…