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5711 Sunland Trl 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 46.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$391,990

5711 Sunland Trl · Fulshear, TX 77441
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,402 sqft · SingleFamily · 70 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 7,165 sqft lot $61/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

READY NOW! The luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the home is perfect for entertaining or relaxing with your loved ones. The high ceilings and large family room make for a great entertainment space. The owner's suite is the perfect place to unwind and relax. A bay window and sloped ceilings allow plenty of natural light into the room. The en-suite bathroom has a spa-like feel with a walk-in shower, a soaking tub, and a walk-in closet! You'll also have a private office to work or study in. The first-floor guest suite is ideal for visiting family and friends. Upstairs you have the game room, a bathroom and 2 bedrooms. The backyard is partially fenced, providing plenty of room to play and

Key facts

  • Large family room
  • Natural light
  • Bay window

Tags

LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGHIGH CEILINGSLARGE FAMILY ROOMBAY WINDOWNATURAL LIGHTEN-SUITE BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $391,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $355,496.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $392k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $379k (3.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (13.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $340k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.2% in Fulshear — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#430 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Huggins El (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 893 students, 23% FRL); Dean Leaman J H School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade B, #206 of 1,662 statewide, top 13%, 2,191 students, 32% FRL); Fulshear H S (math 52% / reading 70%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,464 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 1242 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($368k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $339,540 (13.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
1.98%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$355,496
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5711 Sunland Trl 0.00mi 4/3.0 2,402 (0%) 1mo $391,990 $163 99
32215 Sunbeam Dr 0.06mi 4/3.0 2,417 (+1%) 1mo $364,990 $151 95
32107 Morning Luster Ct 0.19mi 4/3.0 2,402 (0%) 1mo $369,990 $154 91
5727 Daylight Cv 0.23mi 4/3.0 2,412 (+0%) 3mo $310,000 $129 86
32407 Sunbeam Dr 0.22mi 4/3.0 2,353 (-2%) 2mo $352,990 $150 85
32503 Midsummer Dr 0.23mi 4/2.5 2,342 (-2%) 1mo $324,990 $139 82
32511 Midsummer Dr 0.23mi 4/2.5 2,342 (-2%) 1mo $350,990 $150 82
32447 Sunbeam Dr 0.29mi 4/2.5 2,342 (-2%) 2mo $326,990 $140 79
32455 Sunbeam Dr 0.30mi 4/2.5 2,342 (-2%) 2mo $329,990 $141 78
32127 Morning Luster Ct 0.17mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,677 (+11%) 1mo $389,990 $146 67
32223 Sunbeam Dr 0.08mi 5/4.0 (+1) 2,697 (+12%) 0mo $379,990 $141 66
32919 Turning Springs Dr 0.67mi 4/2.5 2,260 (-6%) 4mo $334,900 $148 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-56,983
Equity at exit
$53,006
10-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-74,214
Equity at exit
$30,737

Cash invested: $99,539 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77441

Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
1242
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,395 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,864
Tax est. 1.5%
$444 /mo · $5,332/yr
Insurance
$148
HOA
$61
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$713
Net cashflow
$165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,187
Max offer price $355,496
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $410 -5% $287 +0% $165 +5% $42 +10% $-81
Rent -10% $-104 -5% $30 +0% $165 +5% $299 +10% $433
Rate -1.0pp $344 -0.5pp $255 base $165 +0.5pp $72 +1.0pp $-21

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$88,874
Closing costs
$10,665
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5462 Grand View Dr Unit 1568482P Pattison, TX 5.0 3.5 2992 $3,732 $1.25 0d 1 0.35mi
5222 Wyatt James Ln Brookshire, TX 4.0 2.5 2487 $3,250 $1.31 13d 1 0.79mi
33002 Franklin Brooks Dr Pattison, TX 4.0 3.5 3255 $4,385 $1.35 0d 1 0.84mi
7302 New Pecan Dr Fulshear, TX 4.0 4.0 2844 $3,299 $1.16 45d 1 0.97mi
31043 Vintage Creek Ln Fulshear, TX 4.0 3.5 2800 $3,300 $1.18 23d 1 1.15mi
31123 Brightwell Bnd Fulshear, TX 4.0 3.0 2400 $2,400 $1.00 14d 1 1.30mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$61 · $732/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-20
    price $391,990
  3. 2026-03-16
    price $399,990
  4. 2026-03-02
    price $407,990
  5. 2026-02-16
    listed $399,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,745
− Mortgage interest
−$19,913
− Property taxes
−$5,332
− Insurance
−$1,777
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,260
− Management
−$3,260
− HOA
−$732
− Depreciation
−$10,342
Taxable loss
−$3,871
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$929
After-tax cash flow
$2,904/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

The home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It has a good curb appeal and is ready for minor cosmetic upgrades to enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Painting can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the curb appeal and make the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen and bathrooms — Upgrading the kitchen and bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value, as these are key selling points for both buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Painting can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the curb appeal and make the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen and bathrooms — Upgrading the kitchen and bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value, as these are key selling points for both buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamar CISD
NCES district ID
4826580
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$75,213
Composite
46.43/100
National rank
#2452
State rank
#116 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fulshear

Score
69/100
State rank
#430
US rank
#8901

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
City population
41,324
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
41,324
Household income
$184,390
Rent vs Own
8.0% rent · 92.0% own
Severe rent burden
301.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,004,526 people
By 2030
1,153,104 · +14.8%
By 2040
1,453,718 · +44.7%
By 2050
1,753,781 · +74.6%
By 2075
2,455,772 · +144.5%
By 2100
2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 15% Asian 12% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 17% German/W. Germanic 4% Chinese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.74%
Current HPI
275.8798
Rent YoY
▼ -1.63%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $391,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $399,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $407,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $399,990 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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