2102 Lake Osborne Dr #20 · Lake Worth Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully furnished 2/1 turnkey home next to Lake Osborne and pool area.
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Stunning views
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets not allowed; No land lease
- HOA & community: Community is a senior community; Association amenities include clubhouse and pool; Monthly HOA fee (paid monthly) covering insurance, sewer, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned and guest parking (1 parking space total); No carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Water available
- Home design: Condominium; Multi/split levels; Resale condition; Faces west
- Construction: CBS construction; 2 total stories; Living area reported as 880 (building area total 952)
- Exterior features: No waterfront; Other-style roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Bedroom layout is stacked; Storm windows
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Barton Elementary School (math 25% / reading 20%, grade F, #2,073 of 2,144 statewide, top 97%, 1,064 students, 80% FRL); Lake Worth Community Middle (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 1,249 students, 75% FRL); Lake Worth High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,683 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 21% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-28 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $150k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.31%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-19,785
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-24,524
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33461
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 276
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,797 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,140/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$325
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $151
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $236 | -5% $193 | +0% $151 | +5% $108 | +10% $66 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $9 | -5% $80 | +0% $151 | +5% $222 | +10% $293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $226 | -0.5pp $189 | base $151 | +0.5pp $112 | +1.0pp $72 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Lake Osborne Dr #11 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 894 | $1,850 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1980 Sunset Ave #12 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 773 | $1,500 | $1.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1980 Sunset Ave #12 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 773 | $1,500 | $1.94 | 0d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 136 Akron St Unit A1 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 599 | $2,075 | $3.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 136 Akron St Apt B2 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 599 | $2,175 | $3.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 123 Erie St Apt 10 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,325 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2220 Lake Worth Rd Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,779 | $2.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3362 Cynthia Ln Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $2,388 | $3.90 | 23d | 2 | 0.48mi |
| 3362 Cynthia Ln #107 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $3,500 | $5.72 | 0d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2840 Cynthia Ln #203 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,190 | $1.65 | 0d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3322 Cynthia Ln #207 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,400 | $2.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 644 S Ridge St Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2920 Cynthia Ln #203 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,400 | $1.91 | 18d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2920 Cynthia Ln #203 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,350 | $1.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2840 Lake Osborne Dr Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 819 | $1,338 | $1.63 | 18d | 2 | 0.52mi |
| 2880 Lake Osborne Dr #209 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,299 | $2.12 | 18d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2880 Lake Osborne Dr #209 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,150 | $1.88 | 8d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2960 Lake Osborne Dr #209 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,395 | $2.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2960 Lake Osborne Dr Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,342 | $2.19 | 25d | 2 | 0.57mi |
| 3000 Lake Osborne Dr #107 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,350 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1741 3rd Ave N #6 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 775 | $1,550 | $2.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2571 Lake Worth Rd Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,657 | $2.21 | 3d | 2 | 0.67mi |
| 717 S B St Unit 715 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $2,295 | $4.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 206 S C St Lake Worth Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 12 N B St Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 606 S C St #103 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,500 | $2.47 | 16d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 507 S D St Bldg 2 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $2,200 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1409 Lake Ave Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 799 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1716 3rd Ave N Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1307 Lucerne Ave Unit 1 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $1,400 | $2.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1307 Lucerne Ave Unit 1 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $1,325 | $2.51 | 6d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 517 S F St Unit 1 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,750 | $2.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 911 S D St Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,300 | $2.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 223 N E St Unit 4 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,695 | $2.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1029 S D St Apt 2 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,675 | $2.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1029 S D St Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,715 | $3.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 701 S G St Unit 5 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,495 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 701 S G St Unit 7 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,680 | $2.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 701 S G St Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,995 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 101 S East Coast St Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $2,500 | $2.43 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $325 · $3,900/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-03$149,900 Active
-
2026-02-01historical
-
2026-01-13price $149,900
-
2025-12-14$155,000 Active
-
2025-10-31historical $1,600
-
2025-08-28$1,600
-
2022-03-31soldstatus $85,000
-
2022-03-25soldstatus $85,000 Closed 68-char remark
Show marketing remark (68 chars)
Fully furnished 2/1 turnkey home next to Lake Osborne and pool area.
-
2022-02-08status Pending 68-char remark
Show marketing remark (68 chars)
Fully furnished 2/1 turnkey home next to Lake Osborne and pool area.
-
2022-01-18$94,900 Active 68-char remark
Show marketing remark (68 chars)
Fully furnished 2/1 turnkey home next to Lake Osborne and pool area.
-
2013-07-23soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,140 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,244 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$104/yr (+$9/mo · 9.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,559
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,140
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,725
- − Management
- −$1,725
- − HOA
- −$3,900
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$438
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$105
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,914/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake Worth Beach
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Worth Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 49,443
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,443
- Household income
- $61,963
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2663.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% Two or more races 26% White 20% Black 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 16% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 9% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 31% English-only · Spanish 54% French/Haitian/Cajun 10% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -269.03%
- Current HPI
- 493.0041
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.47%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+218.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Listed $149,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $149,900 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-14 Listed $155,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-10-31 Rental Removed $1,600 RMLSFL
- 2025-08-28 Listed for Rent $1,600 RMLSFL
- 2022-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-25 Sold (MLS) $85,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-02-08 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2022-01-18 Listed $94,900 Beaches MLS
- 2013-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,140 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…