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40 Royal Oak Rd
D Composite 40.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$325,000

40 Royal Oak Rd · New Britain, CT 06053
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,197 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1958 0.47 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this spacious 5-bedroom, 2 full bathroom home filled with potential and opportunity. Featuring a fantastic layout with generous living spaces and great flow throughout, this home offers the perfect foundation for someone looking to add their own style and updates. While cosmetic improvements may be desired, the property boasts solid bones, functional space, and endless possibilities to truly make it your own. Whether you're looking for room to grow, multi-generational living potential, or an investment opportunity, this home is ready for its next chapter. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major routes.

Key facts

  • 0.47 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1958

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway parking; Paved parking areas; 6 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family home for sale
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Gutters; Patio; Lightly wooded lot; Private paved driveway

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Hot air heating; Oil-fired hot water; Fuel tank located in basement
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Full, unfinished basement with concrete floor and full hatchway; 2 fireplaces; Window unit cooling
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-429 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (23.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (19.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $249k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#67 in CT, #4,936 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime D, employment D.
  • New Britain School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #153 of 153 in CT (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Diloreto Elementary & Middle School (math 4% / reading 15%, grade F, #522 of 553 statewide, top 95%, 842 students, 73% FRL); Pulaski Middle School (math 0% / reading 13%, grade F, #171 of 175 statewide, top 98%, 867 students, 80% FRL); New Britain High School (math 10% / reading 31%, grade F, #162 of 194 statewide, top 83%, 2,331 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 75% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,628/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1835% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $249,171 (23.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.66%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$155,091
Equity at exit
$292,786
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
6.39×
Total profit
$490,092
Equity at exit
$631,404

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06053

Home prices YoY
15.4%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,628 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$665 /mo · $7,984/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$552
Net cashflow
$-429

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,171
Max offer price $249,171
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-245 -5% $-337 +0% $-429 +5% $-521 +10% $-613
Rent -10% $-637 -5% $-533 +0% $-429 +5% $-325 +10% $-222
Rate -1.0pp $-266 -0.5pp $-347 base $-429 +0.5pp $-513 +1.0pp $-599

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
146 Sterling St New Britain, CT 4.0 1.0 2786 $2,700 $0.97 0d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $325,000 Under Contract 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-29
    listed $325,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,984 · $665/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,984 · $665/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,532
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$7,984
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,523
− Management
−$2,523
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$10,782
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,588
After-tax cash flow
$-2,563/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Britain School District
NCES district ID
0902670
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,827
Composite
9.95/100
National rank
#9816
State rank
#153 of 153 in CT

Livability — New Britain

Score
74/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#4936

Category grades

Amenities C Commute B Cost of living A Crime D Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Britain, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
66,322
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
36,774
Household income
$62,645
Rent vs Own
48.9% rent · 51.1% own
Severe rent burden
1835.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 19% Lithuanian 3% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 26% Russian/Polish/Slavic 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 65.76%
Current HPI
491.4724
Rent YoY
▲ 4.94%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $325,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,984 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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