46 Oak St · Great Falls, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 44.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,187 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Driveway parking; Carport for 1 vehicle; 2 open parking spaces; Main-level garage present
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; One story; R1 zoning
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Asphalt-paved public road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Dual cooling
- Interior features: 4 total rooms; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: No dedicated laundry features listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (0.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.9% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#244 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Chester 01 (rural): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #59 of 80 in SC (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 269 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Chester County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.73%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $202,860
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Maple St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,648 (-7%) | 14mo | $190,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 30 Dearborn St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,822 (+3%) | 20mo | $160,000 | $88 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $21,163
- Equity at exit
- $53,345
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $66,458
- Equity at exit
- $80,052
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29055
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,248 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,683/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $138
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-01status Active
-
2025-11-06$125,000 Active
-
2025-11-04historical $125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,683 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,683 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,974
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,683
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,198
- − Management
- −$1,198
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$368
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$88
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,744/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chester 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501530
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,041
- Composite
- 23.39/100
- National rank
- #7902
- State rank
- #59 of 80 in SC
Livability — Great Falls
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #20086
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Great Falls, SC
- City population
- 3,858
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,858
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,121 people
- By 2030
- 28,700 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 25,784 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 23,001 · -23.6%
- By 2075
- 17,770 · -41.0%
- By 2100
- 13,584 · -54.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 37% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.2) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -17.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.2 2020: R+10.9 2016: R+4.8 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.59%
- Current HPI
- 247.4479
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-06 Listed $125,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-04 Coming Soon $125,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+31.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,683 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…