326 Madison Ave · Neche, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $946 – $6,584
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,965 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric and oil heating fuel
- Home design: Residential property; One story; Entry level: Main
- Construction: Poured concrete foundation; Foundation area approximately 1,431; Building total area approximately 2,862
- Exterior features: Wood exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: Two 3/4 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#161 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, schools F.
- North Border 100 (rural): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #11 of 169 in ND (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pembina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Pembina County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $70k implies a 190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $314/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.88%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $21,808
- Equity at exit
- $31,475
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.03×
- Total profit
- $59,427
- Equity at exit
- $48,507
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58265
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,228 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $639/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$314 /mo · $3,765/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $207
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16$70,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $639 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $686 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$47/yr (+$4/mo · 7.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,738
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$639
- − Insurance
- −$4,115
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,179
- − Management
- −$1,179
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $1,669
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$400
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,084/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Border 100
- NCES district ID
- 3800054
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▲ 15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,082
- Composite
- 52.88/100
- National rank
- #3288
- State rank
- #11 of 169 in ND
Livability — Neche
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #11692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Neche, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 533
Population outlook (Pembina County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,414 people
- By 2030
- 6,060 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 5,383 · -16.1%
- By 2050
- 4,925 · -23.2%
- By 2075
- 5,025 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 6,293 · -1.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pembina
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.3) · D 22.8% · R 76.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -46.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.9pp · 2024: -53.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.3 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+49.2 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+6.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+191.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $70,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $24,100 Public Records
- 2012-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2024): $639 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…