449 7th St · Struthers, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Appreciation +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here’s the WOW factor! This awesome kitchen offers an abundance of soft-close cabinetry and generous counter space featuring beautiful granite countertops installed by Signature Granite. The dishwasher and microwave will stay, and the stove hookup is electric. You’ll also love the stylish under-cabinet lighting and the beautifully updated main bathroom. Continuous updates and improvements reflect the sellers’ pride of ownership throughout the home. Per the owners: the roof is approximately 2 years old, the kitchen was remodeled 3 years ago, and carpeting in select rooms was updated in 2020–2021. Energy-saving blown-in insulation has also been added, and the windows w
Key facts
- Soft-close cabinetry
- Granite countertops
- 7,492 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($127/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (18.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $118k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#418 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: commute C-, amenities F, employment F.
- Struthers City (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #475 of 656 in OH (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Struthers Elementary School (math 57% / reading 39%, grade D, #941 of 1,584 statewide, top 59%, 654 students, 0% FRL); Struthers Middle School (math 43% / reading 58%, grade C, #413 of 654 statewide, top 63%, 545 students, 72% FRL); Struthers High School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #528 of 781 statewide, top 71%, 465 students, 74% FRL).
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.31%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,280
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2743 Mount Vernon Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+0%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $52 | 89 |
| 417 9th St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (+1%) | 2mo | $93,000 | $74 | 87 |
| 537 7th St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (+3%) | 3mo | $153,500 | $120 | 85 |
| 281 Sexton St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+0%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $140 | 79 |
| 2016 Pointview Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-1%) | 5mo | $34,000 | $28 | 64 |
| 536 Creed St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (+2%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $134 | 63 |
| 1925 Weston Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,227 (-1%) | 1mo | $89,000 | $73 | 63 |
| 261 Sexton St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-12%) | 2mo | $135,500 | $123 | 58 |
| 457 Sexton St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-12%) | 2mo | $127,500 | $116 | 56 |
| 418 W Wilson St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (+8%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $97 | 49 |
| 227 E Wilson St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,365 (+10%) | 1mo | $187,000 | $137 | 49 |
| 2002 Bancroft Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-13%) | 4mo | $131,500 | $122 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-22,855
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-19,167
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44471
- Home prices YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,178 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,189/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $11
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $93 | -5% $52 | +0% $11 | +5% $-30 | +10% $-72 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-82 | -5% $-36 | +0% $11 | +5% $57 | +10% $104 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $84 | -0.5pp $47 | base $11 | +0.5pp $-27 | +1.0pp $-65 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2523 E Midlothian Blvd Apt 5 Struthers, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 610 Elm St Struthers, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1914 S Heights Ave Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1803 Pointview Ave Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3446 Ambert Ave Youngstown, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $145,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $145,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $145,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-24$149,900 Active
-
2025-08-18historical $1,400
-
2025-08-12$1,400
-
2006-07-17historical
-
2005-07-17$63,450
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,189 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,725 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- +$537/yr (+$45/mo · 45.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,133
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,189
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,131
- − Management
- −$1,131
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$2,382
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$572
- After-tax cash flow
- $699/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Struthers City
- NCES district ID
- 3904485
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,753
- Composite
- 40.35/100
- National rank
- #3742
- State rank
- #475 of 656 in OH
Livability — Struthers
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #418
- US rank
- #6867
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Struthers, OH
- County
- Mahoning · 224,175 people
- City population
- 10,296
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,296
- Household income
- $52,811
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12.2
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.12%
- Current HPI
- 274.6394
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+136.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Listed $149,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-08-18 Rental Removed $1,400 Avail
- 2025-08-12 Listed for Rent $1,400 Avail
- 2006-07-17 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2005-07-17 Listed $63,450 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,189 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…