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9134 Chula Vista St #125
C+ Composite 60.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,900

9134 Chula Vista St #125 · Lely Resort, FL 34113
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,715 sqft · Condo · 428 Days on market
Built 2007 $1237/mo HOA · 21% of rent ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience vibrant resort living at Ole in Lely Resort! This desirable end unit, three-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome with a spacious two-car garage, new roof and HVAC along with carpet and appliances has been lovingly maintained by original owners and is offered turnkey furnished. Enjoy enhanced natural light, added privacy and a thoughtful layout in one of Naples sought-after communities. Whether you're searching for a full-time residence, seasonal escape or potential income-producing investment, this home delivers unmatched flexibility with rental allowances up to 12 times per year, 30-day minimum. Ole offers a resort-style experience with a tropical lagoon-style pool and private cabanas, a

Key facts

  • Business center
  • Sports courts
  • Private cabanas

Tags

TROPICAL LAGOON-STYLE POOLPRIVATE CABANASFULLY EQUIPPED FITNESS CENTERPRIVATE MOVIE THEATERBUSINESS CENTERSPORTS COURTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Part of a larger community with multiple buildings and units (complex contains many units)
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Professional management; Quarterly master HOA fee; Amenities include clubhouse, community pool and spa, exercise room, tennis, pickleball, bocce, bike/jog paths, theater, restaurant, business center, library, and internet access; HOA covers cable, insurance, internet/Wi‑Fi, lawn/land maintenance, manager, recreation facilities, reserves, street lights and maintenance, trash removal, and water; Total annual recurring fees reported; One-time fees applicable

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; No additional parking
  • Security: Impact-resistant windows and doors; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available; Electric service (for heat and cooling)
  • Home design: Residential townhouse; 2-story end unit; Rear exposure facing southeast; Built in 2007; Part of Lely Resort development
  • Construction: Concrete block construction
  • Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Tile roof; Impact-resistant windows; Impact-resistant doors; Zero lot line; Landscaped area view; Paved road access; Irrigation: central and reclaimed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry / walk-in pantry; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom located upstairs
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Master bath with dual sinks, jetted tub, and separate tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: High-speed internet available; Pantry / walk-in pantry; Smoke detectors; Volume ceilings; Walk-in closet; Pantry; Loft; Guest room; Guest bath; Laundry in residence; Turnkey furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in residence; Auto garage door

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $400k).
  • Recommended offer: $352k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#786 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lely Elementary School (math 45% / reading 46%, grade D-, #1,247 of 2,144 statewide, top 59%, 499 students, 62% FRL); Manatee Middle School (math 61% / reading 43%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 749 students, 64% FRL); Lely High School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #304 of 667 statewide, top 47%, 1,504 students, 54% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 58% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Collier average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 598 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,881/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 428 days — a 12% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 5232% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $351,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 428 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
8.23%
Cash-on-cash
6.92%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-34,031
Equity at exit
$59,626
10-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$60,860
Equity at exit
$34,576

Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34113

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
598
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,881 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,097
Tax est. 1.5%
$500 /mo · $5,998/yr
Insurance
$167
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$1,237
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,235
Net cashflow
$219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,604
Max offer price $399,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $495 -5% $357 +0% $219 +5% $81 +10% $-58
Rent -10% $-246 -5% $-13 +0% $219 +5% $451 +10% $683
Rate -1.0pp $420 -0.5pp $321 base $219 +0.5pp $115 +1.0pp $10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,975
Closing costs
$11,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9118 Chula Vista St #12002 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1531 $4,200 $2.74 25d 1 0.06mi
9151 Delano St #9702 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1733 $2,650 $1.53 15d 1 0.09mi
9155 Delano St Unit 1545913P Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1797 $3,871 $2.15 15d 1 0.10mi
9161 Chula Vista St Unit 135-2 Naples, FL 4.0 3.0 1776 $7,500 $4.22 25d 1 0.10mi
9159 Delano St #9905 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1770 $4,995 $2.82 25d 1 0.10mi
9102 Chula Vista St #11302 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1531 $2,695 $1.76 22d 1 0.12mi
9115 Capistrano St S #8207 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1494 $6,000 $4.02 25d 1 0.12mi
9111 Capistrano St S #8303 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1432 $7,500 $5.24 25d 1 0.14mi
9109 Yuba Ln Unit 80 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1729 $3,900 $2.26 25d 1 0.15mi
9092 Chula Vista St #11003 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1404 $6,850 $4.88 25d 1 0.15mi
9088 Chula Vista St Unit 108-3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1404 $5,700 $4.06 25d 1 0.17mi
9187 Celeste Dr Unit 1073494P Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1399 $2,979 $2.13 15d 1 0.18mi
9102 Capistrano St S Unit 72-3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1520 $6,500 $4.28 25d 1 0.20mi
9072 Rialto St #6302 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1771 $8,250 $4.66 22d 1 0.25mi
9076 Rialto St Unit 62 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1624 $7,500 $4.62 25d 1 0.25mi
9081 Albion Ln S #6510 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 2004 $6,280 $3.13 15d 1 0.25mi
9081 Albion Ln S #6505 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1225 $7,500 $6.12 25d 1 0.25mi
9073 Rialto St #6002 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1771 $7,500 $4.23 25d 1 0.28mi
8967 Lely Island Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 2056 $17,000 $8.27 25d 1 0.30mi
9071 Albion Ln N #5706 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1441 $2,200 $1.53 25d 1 0.31mi
9082 Capistrano St N Unit 48-5 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1227 $6,500 $5.30 25d 1 0.33mi
9066 Albion Ln N #5106 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1715 $6,500 $3.79 22d 1 0.34mi
9066 Albion Ln N Unit 51-1 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1989 $7,000 $3.52 25d 1 0.34mi
8965 Malibu Ln #802 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1771 $6,595 $3.72 25d 1 0.35mi
8519 Chase Preserve Dr Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1827 $9,000 $4.93 25d 1 0.42mi
9054 Capistrano St N #4002 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1674 $6,000 $3.58 25d 1 0.45mi
9054 Capistrano St N #4003 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1385 $2,495 $1.80 25d 1 0.45mi
8175 Celeste Dr Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1460 $2,395 $1.64 25d 1 0.51mi
8175 Celeste Dr #1230 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1476 $2,775 $1.88 25d 1 0.51mi
8175 Celeste Dr #1229 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1640 $2,975 $1.81 25d 1 0.51mi
6590 Beach Resort Dr Unit 305 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1351 $4,500 $3.33 15d 1 0.52mi
8135 Celeste Dr #4218 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1476 $7,500 $5.08 25d 1 0.53mi
9025 Alturas St #3102 Naples, FL 2.0 3.0 1531 $3,400 $2.22 25d 1 0.54mi
8340 Mystic Greens Way #1501 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1880 $4,995 $2.66 25d 1 0.56mi
8986 Cambria Cir #2204 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1771 $7,500 $4.23 25d 1 0.59mi
8986 Cambria Cir Unit 22 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1404 $6,000 $4.27 25d 1 0.59mi
8540 Mystic Greens Way #305 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1710 $4,995 $2.92 15d 1 0.59mi
6903 Mauna Loa Ln Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 2224 $13,500 $6.07 25d 1 0.63mi
8125 Celeste Dr #5216 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1640 $4,500 $2.74 25d 1 0.64mi
8125 Celeste Dr #5113 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1635 $7,000 $4.28 25d 1 0.64mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$1,237 · $14,844/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $399,900 Active 428 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $399,900 Active 427 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $399,900 Active 426 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $399,900 Active 425 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $399,900 Active 420 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,900 Active 419 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,900 Active 418 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,900 Active 417 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,900 Active 412 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,900 Active 411 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,900 Active 410 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $399,900 Active 409 DOM
  13. 2026-05-05
    price $399,900
  14. 2026-03-09
    price $409,000
  15. 2026-01-08
    listed $7,500
  16. 2026-01-08
    historical $7,500
  17. 2025-08-13
    listed $7,500
  18. 2025-04-16
    listed $479,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$70,572
− Mortgage interest
−$22,401
− Property taxes
−$5,998
− Insurance
−$7,118
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,646
− Management
−$5,646
− HOA
−$14,844
− Depreciation
−$11,633
Taxable loss
−$2,714
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$651
After-tax cash flow
$3,277/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lely Resort

Score
61/100
State rank
#786
US rank
#17981

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A- Housing D- Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lely Resort, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,056
Household income
$81,674
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.86%
Current HPI
279.4232
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $399,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $409,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed for Rent $7,500 FGCMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Rental Removed $7,500 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Listed for Rent $7,500 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-04-16 Listed $479,000 NAPLESMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…