701 Roosevelt · Longview, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 57.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a clean 3br 1ba remodeled home. This home has living dining Combo and fairy kitchen and adequate master and 2 bedroom. All schools are close and home is found on the bus line. HEB market and Walmart are 10 minutes from this location.
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Living dining combo
- On bus line
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($895 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.0% in Longview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#213 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, schools D.
- Longview ISD (urban): math 49% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #244 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 193 units permitted in Gregg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $481 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.77%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,000
- List price
- $69,500
- Delta
- -61.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 W Eckman St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-7%) | 15mo | $99,900 | $149 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $4,261
- Equity at exit
- $10,363
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $24,459
- Equity at exit
- $6,009
Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75601
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $895 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$364
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $890/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$188
- Net cashflow
- $240
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $279 | -5% $259 | +0% $240 | +5% $220 | +10% $200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $169 | -5% $204 | +0% $240 | +5% $275 | +10% $310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $275 | -0.5pp $257 | base $240 | +0.5pp $222 | +1.0pp $203 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,375
- Closing costs
- $2,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 S Fredonia St Unit B Longview, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $750 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 717 S Green St Longview, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $895 | $1.19 | 14d | 2 | 0.79mi |
| 717 S Green St Longview, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $795 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 308 Lake Lamond Rd Longview, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $875 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 437 N Fredonia St Apt 217 Longview, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $700 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 437 N Fredonia St Apt 212 Longview, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $700 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 906 E Cotton St Unit C Longview, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $555 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,500 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,500 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,500 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,500 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,500 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,500 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,500 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,500 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,500 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-03-23price $69,500 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
This is a clean 3br 1ba remodeled home. This home has living dining Combo and fairy kitchen and adequate master and 2 bedroom. All schools are close and home is found on the bus line. HEB market and Walmart are 10 minutes from this location.
-
2026-02-04$79,000 New 244-char remark
Show marketing remark (244 chars)
This is a clean 3br 1ba remodeled home. This home has living dining Combo and fairy kitchen and adequate master and 2 bedroom. All schools are close and home is found on the bus line. HEB market and Walmart are 10 minutes from this location.
-
2022-12-14soldstatus
-
2022-12-13soldstatus 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
Great Investment opportunity. Don't miss out on this opportunity!
-
2022-10-21$55,000 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
Great Investment opportunity. Don't miss out on this opportunity!
-
1988-11-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $890 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,272 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$382/yr (+$32/mo · 42.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,893
- − Property taxes
- −$890
- − Insurance
- −$348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$859
- − Management
- −$859
- − Depreciation
- −$2,022
- Taxable income
- $1,870
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$449
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Longview ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828110
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,837
- Composite
- 39.76/100
- National rank
- #3889
- State rank
- #244 of 826 in TX
Livability — Longview
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #213
- US rank
- #5287
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Longview, TX
- County
- Gregg County · 128,826 people
- City population
- 103,792
- Metro
- Longview, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,780
- Household income
- $65,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 761.0
Population outlook (Gregg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 125,947 people
- By 2030
- 126,542 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 127,311 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 127,289 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 124,954 · -0.8%
- By 2100
- 113,737 · -9.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gregg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.5% · R 70.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+36.9 2016: R+41.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+37.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.73%
- Current HPI
- 252.0752
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- Metro
- Longview, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+26.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $69,500 LERA
- 2026-02-04 Listed $79,000 LERA
- 2022-12-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-12-13 Sold (MLS) — LAAR
- 2022-10-21 Listed $55,000 LAAR
- 1988-11-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $890 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…