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9137 Pine Lake Ct
B- Composite 67.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

9137 Pine Lake Ct · Port Sheldon, MI 49460
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,583 sqft · Manufactured · 79 Days on market
Built 1999 Good condition $47/sqft · 6% below area Est $80k · 6% under $755/mo HOA · 41% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.

Key facts

  • Cozy living room
  • Private yard
  • Spacious foyer

Tags

SPACIOUS FOYERCOZY LIVING ROOMLARGE FRONT DECKPRIVATE YARDSEPARATE MUDROOM ENTRYINDOOR POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • West Ottawa Public School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #140 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,237 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (443 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ottawa County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
Recommended offer $70,406 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.46%
Cap rate
9.18%
Cash-on-cash
10.32%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$80,000
List price
$74,900
Delta
-6.38%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9150 Stoney Sta Lot 570 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,488 (-6%) 7mo $77,000 $52 81
14445 Fellows Sta 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,488 (-6%) 5mo $79,900 $54 78
9008 Brickersville Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-11%) 12mo $89,900 $64 60
14309 Winding Creek Ln Lot 315 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-11%) 3mo $88,000 $63 59
8687 Muirfield Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-1%) 11mo $102,000 $65 57
8747 Muirfield Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,486 (-6%) 8mo $62,000 $42 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-163
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$16,642
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49460

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,839 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$755
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$180

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,611
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8930 146th Ave West Olive, MI 3.0–4.0 2.0 1424 $1,499 $1.05 2d 1 0.21mi
14869 Camino CT West Olive, MI 3.0 2.5 1498 $2,460 $1.64 2d 2 0.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$755 · $9,060/yr
Likely covers
landscapingpool

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,900 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,900 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $74,900 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $82,900 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $82,900 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $82,900 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,900 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    price $82,900 912-char remark
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.

  15. 2026-05-12
    price $82,900 912-char remark
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.

  16. 2026-05-12
    price $82,900
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.

  17. 2026-03-30
    listed $89,900 Active 912-char remark
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.

  18. 2026-03-30
    listed $89,900 Active 912-char remark
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.

  19. 2026-03-30
    listed $89,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (912 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,069
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,124
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,766
− Management
−$1,766
− HOA
−$9,060
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$1,606
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$385
After-tax cash flow
$1,778/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in West Olive Estates is in good condition with a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Ottawa Public School District
NCES district ID
2635910
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$58,127
Composite
38.94/100
National rank
#4087
State rank
#140 of 540 in MI

Livability — Port Sheldon

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,891

Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
313,561 people
By 2030
330,027 · +5.3%
By 2040
361,118 · +15.2%
By 2050
388,414 · +23.9%
By 2075
452,175 · +44.2%
By 2100
473,041 · +50.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 24% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.0% · R 59.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -129.51%
Current HPI
297.0617
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $82,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $82,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $82,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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