9137 Pine Lake Ct · Port Sheldon, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.
Key facts
- Cozy living room
- Private yard
- Spacious foyer
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- West Ottawa Public School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #140 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,237 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ottawa County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.32%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,000
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -6.38%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9150 Stoney Sta Lot 570 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (-6%) | 7mo | $77,000 | $52 | 81 |
| 14445 Fellows Sta | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (-6%) | 5mo | $79,900 | $54 | 78 |
| 9008 Brickersville Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-11%) | 12mo | $89,900 | $64 | 60 |
| 14309 Winding Creek Ln Lot 315 | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-11%) | 3mo | $88,000 | $63 | 59 |
| 8687 Muirfield Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-1%) | 11mo | $102,000 | $65 | 57 |
| 8747 Muirfield Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,486 (-6%) | 8mo | $62,000 | $42 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-163
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $16,642
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49460
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,839 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$755
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $180
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8930 146th Ave West Olive, MI | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,499 | $1.05 | 2d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 14869 Camino CT West Olive, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1498 | $2,460 | $1.64 | 2d | 2 | 0.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $755 · $9,060/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $74,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $74,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $74,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $82,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $82,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $82,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $82,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $82,900 912-char remark
Show marketing remark (912 chars)
Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.
-
2026-05-12price $82,900 912-char remark
Show marketing remark (912 chars)
Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.
-
2026-05-12price $82,900
Show marketing remark (912 chars)
Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.
-
2026-03-30$89,900 Active 912-char remark
Show marketing remark (912 chars)
Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.
-
2026-03-30$89,900 Active 912-char remark
Show marketing remark (912 chars)
Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.
-
2026-03-30$89,900 Active
Show marketing remark (912 chars)
Welcome to easy living in West Olive Estates, where comfort meets community in all the right ways. This inviting 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home features a spacious foyer that leads to a functional, easy-flow layout highlighted by a cozy living room with a fireplace-ideal for gathering, relaxing, and adding a touch of charm year-round. The large front deck extends your living space outdoors. Out back, enjoy a private yard that feels like your own peaceful retreat, with space to relax, play, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. A separate mudroom entry offers a convenient place to leave those outdoor boots and toys. West Olive Estates offers a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, indoor pool, basketball courts, community gardens, playgrounds, and more. Whether you're looking for comfort, convenience, or connection, this home offers a lifestyle that's easy to step into and even easier to love.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,069
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,124
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,766
- − Management
- −$1,766
- − HOA
- −$9,060
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $1,606
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$385
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,778/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in West Olive Estates is in good condition with a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Ottawa Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2635910
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,127
- Composite
- 38.94/100
- National rank
- #4087
- State rank
- #140 of 540 in MI
Livability — Port Sheldon
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,891
Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 313,561 people
- By 2030
- 330,027 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 361,118 · +15.2%
- By 2050
- 388,414 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 452,175 · +44.2%
- By 2100
- 473,041 · +50.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 24% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.0% · R 59.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+23.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -129.51%
- Current HPI
- 297.0617
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-7.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $82,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $82,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $82,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-30 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…