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672 Downstream Ct 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 33.07
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,990

672 Downstream Ct · Aiken, SC 29801
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,401 sqft · SingleFamily · 31 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 5,227 sqft lot $16/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Model 1401 B1 - Yellowstone

Key facts

  • Central island
  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENCENTRAL ISLANDPRIVATE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETLAUNDRY ROOMFAMILY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Rivers Crossing; Directions available
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $195 (about $16.25/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Driveway
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities; Cable available; Water and sewer available
  • Home design: Single family residence; New construction; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by National HomeCorp; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Patio; Level, landscaped lot; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified separately)
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating (electric); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Kitchen island; Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $209,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $250,779.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-352 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (4.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (15.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#93 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
  • Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Aiken Elementary (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #315 of 597 statewide, top 55%, 524 students, 100% FRL); Aiken High (math 19% / reading 84%, grade D+, #146 of 196 statewide, top 75%, 1,195 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 54% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 521 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $176,838 (15.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.61%
Cash-on-cash
-6.02%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$250,779
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
887 Silent Barge Cv 0.12mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,404 (+0%) 4mo $234,490 $167 84
900 Silent Barge Cv 0.10mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,404 (+0%) 9mo $234,490 $167 81
934 Silent Barge Cv 0.07mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,292 (-8%) 9mo $238,590 $185 71
927 Silent Barge Cv 0.10mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,292 (-8%) 8mo $238,500 $185 70
9121 NW Wafer Ash Bnd 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,395 (-0%) 8mo $250,000 $179 64
32 White Herron Cir 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,388 (-1%) 2mo $342,400 $247 60
9085 NW Wafer Ash Bnd 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,395 (-0%) 17mo $249,990 $179 58
9085 Wafer Ash Bnd NW Lot 6 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,395 (-0%) 17mo $249,990 $179 58
15 Pipeline Rd 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,500 (+7%) 24mo $162,500 $108 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.3%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-59,283
Equity at exit
$37,392
10-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.08×
Total profit
$-64,337
Equity at exit
$21,683

Cash invested: $70,218 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29801

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
521
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,768 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,315
Tax est. 1.5%
$313 /mo · $3,762/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$16
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$-352

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,214
Max offer price $199,836
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-179 -5% $-265 +0% $-352 +5% $-439 +10% $-525
Rent -10% $-492 -5% $-422 +0% $-352 +5% $-282 +10% $-212
Rate -1.0pp $-226 -0.5pp $-288 base $-352 +0.5pp $-417 +1.0pp $-483

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,695
Closing costs
$7,523
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
844 Silent Barge Cv Aiken, SC 4.0 2.5 1763 $1,899 $1.08 24d 1 0.14mi
108 Wallace Green St Aiken, SC 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 24d 1 0.15mi
140 Weaver St Aiken, SC 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 22d 1 0.30mi
221 Grand Oaks Way Aiken, SC 3.0 2.0 1822 $1,980 $1.09 14d 1 0.55mi
811 Laurens St NW Aiken, SC 3.0 1.5 986 $1,379 $1.40 24d 1 1.17mi
630 Morgan St NW Unit A Aiken, SC 3.0 1.0 950 $1,100 $1.16 24d 1 1.36mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$16 · $192/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,990 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,990 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,990 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,990 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $209,990 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $209,990 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $209,990 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $209,990 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,990 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,990 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $209,990 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $209,990 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $209,990 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $209,990 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $209,990 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    listed $209,990 Active
  17. 2026-05-14
    price $209,990 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Model 1401 B1 - Yellowstone

  18. 2026-05-09
    price $212,990 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Model 1401 B1 - Yellowstone

  19. 2026-05-09
    status Active 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Model 1401 B1 - Yellowstone

  20. 2026-05-02
    historical 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Model 1401 B1 - Yellowstone

  21. 2026-04-23
    price $211,990 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Model 1401 B1 - Yellowstone

  22. 2026-04-07
    listed $223,990 Active 27-char remark
    Show marketing remark (27 chars)

    Model 1401 B1 - Yellowstone

  23. 2026-03-12
    price $222,990
  24. 2026-03-05
    price $242,990

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,221
− Mortgage interest
−$14,048
− Property taxes
−$3,762
− Insurance
−$1,254
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,698
− Management
−$1,698
− HOA
−$192
− Depreciation
−$7,295
Taxable loss
−$8,725
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,094
After-tax cash flow
$-2,131/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-family home is move-in ready with excellent condition and modern features. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for further value enhancement through minor updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value.
  • Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and can increase property value.
  • Both Install smart thermostat — Saves energy and can increase property value.
  • Both Add a smart security system — Enhances safety and can increase property value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value.
  • Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and can increase property value.
  • Both Install smart thermostat — Saves energy and can increase property value.
  • Both Add a smart security system — Enhances safety and can increase property value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aiken 01
NCES district ID
4500720
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,081
Composite
31.91/100
National rank
#5857
State rank
#36 of 80 in SC

Livability — Aiken

Score
67/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#10443

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Aiken County · 116,534 people
City population
71,807
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
31,108
Household income
$59,573
Rent vs Own
33.2% rent · 66.8% own
Severe rent burden
1260.0

Population outlook (Aiken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,003 people
By 2030
182,876 · +2.7%
By 2040
189,970 · +6.7%
By 2050
193,840 · +8.9%
By 2075
199,453 · +12.1%
By 2100
192,403 · +8.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Aiken

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.4% · R 62.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-1.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -25.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.9 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+24.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -278.52%
Current HPI
173.7944
Rent YoY
▲ 5.06%
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $209,990 AMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $209,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $212,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-02 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $211,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $223,990 Zillow
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $222,990 AMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $242,990 AMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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