204 North St · Abingdon, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Picture perfect 1.5 Story well maintained home is move in ready! This jewel of a find has lots to offer, such as, 3 bedrooms, extra large lot, main floor laundry, main floor bedroom, new roof, new siding, generator hookup and 200 amp service. Entertaining is easy with the large eat-in kitchen with sliders that lead out to 16x16 deck and fenced in backyard. The 30x30 is a wrencher's dream come true with 100 amp service, work area and electric heat. Make your appointment today!
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1886
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached, oversized garage with 2 spaces; Additional on-street parking; Gravel parking areas
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Shingle roof; Not new construction; Built in 1886
- Construction: Shingle roof; Original construction date 1886; Full basement
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Replacement windows; Level lot; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 132 x 78
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (bedroom sizes: main level ~11x11; upper level ~14x13; upper level ~12x11)
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and living areas; Laminate in kitchen and laundry
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); One fireplace; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Dedicated laundry room (main level, approx. 12x6)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($118/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $74k (22.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $74k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#976 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Zoned schools: Abingdon-Avon High Sch (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #473 of 693 statewide, top 69%, 285 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $69k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.44%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $74,938
- List price
- $94,900
- Delta
- 26.64%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 N Austin Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 772 (-8%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $104 | 52 |
| 302 S Jefferson St | 0.57mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 856 (+2%) | 21mo | $66,000 | $77 | 45 |
| 206 W Lower St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 766 (-9%) | 6mo | $29,000 | $38 | 44 |
| 202 W South St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+14%) | 20mo | $81,000 | $84 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-14,793
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-12,242
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61410
- Home prices YoY
- -25.1%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $736 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $413/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$155
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 E Jackson St Abingdon, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $736 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Under Contract 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Under Contract 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $94,900 Under Contract 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Under Contract 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Under Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Under Contract 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Under Contract 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,900 Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Under Contract 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Under Contract 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Under Contract 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$94,900 Active 681-char remark
-
2026-05-12historical $94,900 681-char remark
-
2019-08-23soldstatus $69,000 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Picture perfect 1.5 Story well maintained home is move in ready! This jewel of a find has lots to offer, such as, 3 bedrooms, extra large lot, main floor laundry, main floor bedroom, new roof, new siding, generator hookup and 200 amp service. Entertaining is easy with the large eat-in kitchen with sliders that lead out to 16x16 deck and fenced in backyard. The 30x30 is a wrencher's dream come true with 100 amp service, work area and electric heat. Make your appointment today!
-
2019-08-23soldstatus $69,000
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Picture perfect 1.5 Story well maintained home is move in ready! This jewel of a find has lots to offer, such as, 3 bedrooms, extra large lot, main floor laundry, main floor bedroom, new roof, new siding, generator hookup and 200 amp service. Entertaining is easy with the large eat-in kitchen with sliders that lead out to 16x16 deck and fenced in backyard. The 30x30 is a wrencher's dream come true with 100 amp service, work area and electric heat. Make your appointment today!
-
2019-06-18$72,500 480-char remark
Show marketing remark (480 chars)
Picture perfect 1.5 Story well maintained home is move in ready! This jewel of a find has lots to offer, such as, 3 bedrooms, extra large lot, main floor laundry, main floor bedroom, new roof, new siding, generator hookup and 200 amp service. Entertaining is easy with the large eat-in kitchen with sliders that lead out to 16x16 deck and fenced in backyard. The 30x30 is a wrencher's dream come true with 100 amp service, work area and electric heat. Make your appointment today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $413 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,284 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$871/yr (+$73/mo · 210.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,832
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$413
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$707
- − Management
- −$707
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable loss
- −$1,545
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$371
- After-tax cash flow
- $489/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Abingdon
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #976
- US rank
- #18884
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abingdon, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,763
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,224 people
- By 2030
- 46,333 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 42,424 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 38,929 · -19.3%
- By 2075
- 31,523 · -34.6%
- By 2100
- 24,092 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Italian 1% English 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.79%
- Current HPI
- 154.296
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+30.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed $94,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Coming Soon $94,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2019-08-23 Sold (MLS) $69,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-18 Listed $72,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-8.3%/yrLatest (2019): $413 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…