7320 San Bartolo St #217 · Carlsbad, CA 92011

$279,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 149 Days on market

Manufactured home likely 55+ (park) Built 1977 Good condition 3,999 sqft lot $194/sqft · 22% below area Est $356k · 22% under ↓ 29% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.8/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +7.1/10.0
• Schools +6.5/10.0
• 1% rule +6.1/10.0
• Appreciation +5.4/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +3.4/5.0
• Manufactured-home adj. -5.8

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully remodeled two bedroom and two bath home in highly desired Lakeshore Gardens located just a few blocks from South Carlsbad State Beach. The open floor plan of this home makes it feel very spacious and is great for entertaining. The wonderful kitchen includes a large island featuring a waterfall-edge quartz countertop, stainless steel appliances, tile backsplash, and beautiful cabinets. Vinyl dual-pane windows and plank vinyl flooring are throughout the home. The primary bathroom offers a walk-in shower with a bench, glass shower doors, dual sinks, and quartz countertops. The large lot gives you more space for entertaining or just enjoying the wonderful Carlsbad climate. The curved awning poles, up and over stairs, and long carport give you plenty of room for parking. The shed gives you space to store your extra items. This home is on registration which means NO PROPERTY TAX. Lakeshore Gardens is a gated 5 star park with beautiful landscaped grounds with lakes and greenbelts. The community has many activities and amenities including a beautiful clubhouse, pool, spa, and gym. Shopping center is located across the street and the nearby Carlsbad village has many restaurants, shops, and cafes.

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Large island
• Tile backsplash

Tags

• REMODELED HOME
• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• LARGE ISLAND
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• TILE BACKSPLASH
• VINYL DUAL-PANE WINDOWS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $279k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $279k).
• Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.0% in Carlsbad — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#67 in CA, #2,526 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D+, cost of living F.
• Carlsbad Unified (urban): math 68% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #87 of 1,400 in CA (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Pacific Rim Elementary (673 students, 10% FRL); Aviara Oaks Middle (1,021 students, 16% FRL); Carlsbad High (2,290 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 66d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 77% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
• San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $245,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.22% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.53%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.58%
• DSCR: 1.52
• GRM: 6.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $356,375
• List price: $279,000
• Delta: -21.71%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7269 San Luis St #244	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,461 (+2%)	1mo	$170,000	$116	96
7140 Santa Rosa St	0.04mi	2/2.0	1,440 (0%)	8mo	$191,000	$133	92
7209 San Luis St #169	0.21mi	2/2.0	1,440 (0%)	0mo	$308,950	$215	90
7228 San Benito St #351	0.13mi	2/2.0	1,464 (+2%)	1mo	$175,000	$120	90
7018 San Carlos St #60	0.10mi	2/2.0	1,440 (0%)	8mo	$392,000	$272	89
7106 Santa Cruz #56	0.04mi	2/2.0	1,464 (+2%)	10mo	$390,000	$266	87
7241 Santa Barbara St #300	0.09mi	2/2.0	1,344 (-7%)	1mo	$175,000	$130	84
7024 San Bartolo Unit 19 A	0.00mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,544 (+7%)	4mo	$425,000	$275	80
7241 San Luis St	0.19mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,546 (+7%)	0mo	$400,000	$259	73
7311 San Luis St #237	0.35mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,359 (-6%)	3mo	$236,550	$174	67
7243 San Luis St #257	0.22mi	2/2.0	1,248 (-13%)	4mo	$120,000	$96	64
7313 San Luis St #236	0.32mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,548 (+8%)	6mo	$450,000	$291	62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.75% appreciation · 3.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.84×
• Total profit: $65,479
• Equity at exit: $106,271

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.7%
• Equity multiple: 3.46×
• Total profit: $192,279
• Equity at exit: $150,184

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 26 active · 13 under contract
• Months of supply: 13.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $333,500 ($237/sqft)
• Median days on market: 138 d
• This list price: 31% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +4.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 92011

• Home prices YoY: 0.4%
• Rents YoY: 3.5%
• Active inventory: 112
• Price-to-rent: 6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,394 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,463
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$349 /mo · $4,185/yr
• Insurance: −$116
• HOA: −$0
• Lot rent leased land?: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$713
• Net cashflow: $754

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,441

Max offer price $279,000

Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $946	-5% $850	+0% $754	+5% $657	+10% $561
Rent	-10% $485	-5% $619	+0% $754	+5% $888	+10% $1,022
Rate	-1.0pp $894	-0.5pp $824	base $754	+0.5pp $681	+1.0pp $608

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $69,750
• Closing costs: $8,370
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 22 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7332 Escallonia Ct Carlsbad, CA	3.0	2.5	1869	$5,200	$2.78	7d	1	0.31mi
6923 Whitecap Dr Carlsbad, CA	3.0	2.0	1246	$5,250	$4.21	93d	1	0.47mi
6872 Shearwaters Dr Carlsbad, CA	3.0	2.0	1246	$4,000	$3.21	48d	1	0.57mi
7431 Linden Ter Carlsbad, CA	2.0	2.0	1180	$3,200	$2.71	29d	1	0.64mi
820 Windcrest Dr Carlsbad, CA	3.0	2.0	1404	$5,581	$3.98	67d	1	0.65mi
6910 Peachtree Rd Unit 1546353P Carlsbad, CA	3.0	2.0	1399	$6,129	$4.38	66d	1	0.76mi
6863 Alderwood Dr Carlsbad, CA	3.0	2.5	1438	$4,400	$3.06	30d	1	0.78mi
6811 Alderwood Dr Carlsbad, CA	2.0	2.0	1292	$3,850	$2.98	93d	1	0.86mi
901 Caminito Estrada	2.0	1.5	1180	$3,800	$3.22	17d	1	0.93mi
916 Caminito Estrada Unit B Carlsbad, CA	2.0	2.0	1188	$3,650	$3.07	93d	1	0.98mi
6805 Briarwood Dr Carlsbad, CA	2.0	2.0	1292	$3,850	$2.98	33d	1	1.00mi
6822 Briarwood Dr Carlsbad, CA	3.0	2.5	1443	$3,995	$2.77	29d	1	1.01mi
902 Caminito Madrigal Unit B Carlsbad, CA	2.0	1.0	897	$3,075	$3.43	38d	1	1.02mi
918 Caminito Estrada Unit E Carlsbad, CA	2.0	2.0	1188	$3,600	$3.03	30d	1	1.02mi
6675 Paseo del Norte Unit A Carlsbad, CA	2.0	2.0	959	$3,850	$4.01	54d	1	1.02mi
6675 Paseo del Norte Unit B Carlsbad, CA	2.0	2.0	959	$4,300	$4.48	93d	1	1.02mi
6677 Paseo Del Norte Carlsbad, CA	2.0	2.0	959	$4,500	$4.69	93d	1	1.03mi
6677 Paseo del Norte Unit B Carlsbad, CA	2.0	1.0	959	$3,950	$4.12	93d	1	1.03mi
908 Caminito Madrigal Carlsbad, CA	2.0	2.0	897	$4,500	$5.02	93d	1	1.07mi
908 Caminito Madrigal Unit D Carlsbad, CA	2.0	1.5	897	$4,500	$5.02	93d	1	1.09mi
925 Wind Drift Dr Carlsbad, CA	2.0	2.5	1110	$3,895	$3.51	93d	1	1.15mi
1821 Wilton Rd Encinitas, CA	3.0	2.0	1699	$6,950	$4.09	20d	1	1.40mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-08-08
   days on market $279,000 Active 149 DOM
2. 2026-08-06
   days on market $279,000 Active 147 DOM
3. 2026-08-05
   days on market $279,000 Active 146 DOM
4. 2026-08-04
   days on market $279,000 Active 145 DOM
5. 2026-08-03
   days on market $279,000 Active 144 DOM
6. 2026-07-31
   days on market $279,000 Active 141 DOM
7. 2026-07-30
   pricedays on market $279,000 Active 140 DOM
8. 2026-07-30
   days on market $299,000 Active 139 DOM
9. 2026-07-28
   days on market $299,000 Active 138 DOM
10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $299,000 Active 136 DOM
11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $299,000 Active 134 DOM
12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $299,000 Active 133 DOM
13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $299,000 Active 132 DOM
14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $299,000 Active 131 DOM
15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $299,000 Active 130 DOM
16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $299,000 Active 128 DOM
17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $299,000 Active 127 DOM
18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $299,000 Active 126 DOM
19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $299,000 Active 125 DOM
20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $299,000 Active 124 DOM
21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $299,000 Active 123 DOM
22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $299,000 Active 122 DOM
23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $299,000 Active 121 DOM
24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $299,000 Active 120 DOM
25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $299,000 Active 119 DOM
26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $299,000 Active 117 DOM
27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $299,000 Active 116 DOM
28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $299,000 Active 115 DOM
29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $299,000 Active 114 DOM
30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $299,000 Active 113 DOM
31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $299,000 Active 112 DOM
32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $299,000 Active 111 DOM
33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $299,000 Active 110 DOM
34. 2026-06-30
    price $299,000 Active 109 DOM
35. 2026-06-29
    days on market $319,000 Active 109 DOM
36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $319,000 Active 108 DOM
37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $319,000 Active 107 DOM
38. 2026-06-26
    days on market $319,000 Active 106 DOM
39. 2026-06-24
    days on market $319,000 Active 104 DOM
40. 2026-06-22
    days on market $319,000 Active 102 DOM
41. 2026-06-21
    days on market $319,000 Active 101 DOM
42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $319,000 Active 98 DOM
43. 2026-06-18
    price $319,000 Active 97 DOM
44. 2026-06-17
    days on market $329,000 Active 97 DOM
45. 2026-06-16
    days on market $329,000 Active 96 DOM
46. 2026-06-15
    days on market $329,000 Active 95 DOM
47. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,000 Active 93 DOM
48. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,000 Active 92 DOM
49. 2026-06-09
    days on market $329,000 Active 89 DOM
50. 2026-06-08
    days on market $329,000 Active 88 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥82°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $40,734
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,628
• − Property taxes: −$4,185
• − Insurance: −$1,395
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,259
• − Management: −$3,259
• − Depreciation: −$8,116
• Taxable income: $4,892
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,174
• After-tax cash flow: $7,868/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,200–$21,600 screening

This beautifully remodeled two-bedroom home in Lakeshore Gardens is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a modern kitchen, good bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. The home is ready for a new owner or renter and can be further enhanced with minor updates to increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Resale Replace countertops — Quartz countertops are durable and can add value to the home. ↑
• Resale Install new flooring — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
• Resale Upgrade appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the home's value. ↑
• Rental Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can attract more renters and increase rental income. ↑
• Both Add smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value to both buyers and renters. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Zoned Schools

Elementary Pacific Rim Elementary Middle Aviara Oaks Middle High Carlsbad High

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Carlsbad Unified
• NCES district ID: 0607500
• Math proficiency: 68% ▲ 2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 76% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $81,200
• Composite: 65.11/100
• National rank: #1068
• State rank: #87 of 1400 in CA

B Composite livability gradescore 78/100

Livability — Carlsbad

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #67
• US rank: #2526

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Carlsbad, CA
• County: San Diego County · 3,678,185 people
• City population: 114,373
• Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
• Population (ZIP): 23,190
• Household income: $159,235
• Rent vs Own: 36.0% rent · 64.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 14% of renters

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Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,678,185 people
• By 2030: 3,856,546 · +4.8%
• By 2040: 4,171,407 · +13.4%
• By 2050: 4,421,607 · +20.2%
• By 2075: 4,831,599 · +31.4%
• By 2100: 4,832,502 · +31.4%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 15% Asian 12%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 4% German/W. Germanic 2%

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Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

• 2024 margin: D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.75%
• Current HPI: 399.8502
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.54%
• Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

-29.2% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-12 Listed $339,000 CRMLS
• 2026-02-02 Listing Removed — CRMLS
• 2025-12-23 Listed $389,000 CRMLS
• 2025-11-20 Listing Removed — CRMLS
• 2025-11-06 Price Changed $359,000 CRMLS
• 2025-08-18 Price Changed $379,000 CRMLS
• 2025-08-01 Listed $399,000 CRMLS
• 2025-01-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
• 2024-06-22 Listed $479,000 CRMLS