505 W Joe Orr Rd · Chicago Heights, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom ranch offering solid potential for the right buyer. This home features a full finished basement, providing additional living space perfect for a recreation room, home office, or extended living arrangement. A detached 1 car garage offers convenient parking and extra storage. This property does require repairs and updating and is being sold strictly AS-IS. No surveys or disclosures will be provided. Bring your vision and make this home your next project. This property is being sold AS-IS, property is lender-owned and US Bank is making no representations or warranties" "U. S. Bank NA may have financing options available usbank/home-loans/mort
Key facts
- 7,860 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1955
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $489 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 6.4% in Chicago Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#339 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Homewood Flossmoor Chsd 233 (suburban): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #272 of 620 in IL (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.49%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 505 W Joe Orr Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (0%) | 0mo | $108,000 | $98 | 100 |
| 431 Longwood Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,111 (+1%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $225 | 84 |
| 613 Saratoga Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (-1%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $184 | 77 |
| 733 Ashland Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,143 (+4%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $175 | 67 |
| 319 N Bradley Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+7%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $213 | 62 |
| 607 Enterprise Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,265 (+15%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $126 | 62 |
| 430 N Arquilla Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,074 (-2%) | 4mo | $192,700 | $179 | 60 |
| 420 Carey Ct | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,215 (+10%) | 5mo | $242,000 | $199 | 58 |
| 417 Westgate Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,148 (+4%) | 7mo | $249,900 | $218 | 52 |
| 920 Theresa Ln | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,014 (-8%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $187 | 51 |
| 702 Willow Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,249 (+14%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $188 | 45 |
| 1915 Tina Ln | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,260 (+14%) | 0mo | $280,000 | $222 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $18,633
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $86,691
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60411
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,867 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$307 /mo · $3,679/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $489
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1267 Division St Unit 1267 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 398 W Lincoln Hwy Unit 4 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 1d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 370 E 17th St Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $2,600 | $2.46 | 17d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 417 W Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 83 W 15th St #1 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 444 Hickory St Unit 2A Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 436 W Hickory St Unit Na Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,800 | $1.65 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 432 Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-08$119,900 Active
-
2026-03-16status Pending
-
2026-03-16historical
-
2026-02-23Active
-
2012-11-02historical
-
2012-09-30price Price Change
-
2012-06-13New
-
2009-11-21historical
-
2009-06-23
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,679 · $307/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,679 · $307/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,401
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$3,679
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,792
- − Management
- −$1,792
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $4,334
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,040
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Homewood Flossmoor Chsd 233
- NCES district ID
- 1719560
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,564
- Composite
- 24.42/100
- National rank
- #7681
- State rank
- #272 of 620 in IL
Livability — Chicago Heights
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #339
- US rank
- #6836
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chicago Heights, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 52,175
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,175
- Household income
- $62,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.75%
- Current HPI
- 212.4058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listed $119,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-23 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-30 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-13 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-21 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-23 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2023): $3,679 · +54.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…