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121 Waterman Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 70.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,000

121 Waterman Ave · Tomah, WI 54660
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily · 65 Days on market
Built 2001 Good condition $34/sqft · 74% below area ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why rent when you can own cheaper? This 3 bedroom 2 bath single wide manufactured home offers large living space!! A large living room welcomes you in and is open to an impressive kitchen with lots of cabinets, counter space and natural light. Main living area floor has just been replaced and fresh paint is already done as well! A primary bedroom with walk in closet and en suite bathroom is a nice feature. All appliances stay! Outdoor features include a carport, ramped entrance and garden shed for extra storage. Residents must be approved by Edgewood Terrace prior to closing. Lot rent is $525 per month.

Key facts

  • Built 2001
  • Listed 65 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $44,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$166,412) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $44k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $782 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
  • Recommended offer: $41k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.6% vs local median 3.6% in Tomah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#83 in WI, #2,189 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities F.
  • Tomah Area School District (town): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #293 of 342 in WI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 93 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $41,360 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.12%
Cap rate
27.62%
Cash-on-cash
76.18%
DSCR
4.39
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$166,412
List price
$44,000
Delta
-73.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
429 Pine St 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-6%) 6mo $165,000 $138 76
425 Pine St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+10%) 8mo $210,000 $150 72
217 N Glendale Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,350 (+6%) 10mo $215,000 $159 68
403 Green Acres Ave 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,095 (-14%) 7mo $125,000 $114 64
929 Lemonweir Pkwy 0.42mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,350 (+6%) 5mo $179,000 $133 58
500 Superior Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,250 (-2%) 8mo $162,000 $130 54
301 N Superior Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,130 (-12%) 6mo $145,000 $128 51
312 Clark St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+9%) 8mo $172,000 $123 47
533 Curry St 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,100 (-14%) 15mo $127,000 $115 43
308 Mclean Ave 0.63mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,460 (+14%) 1mo $230,000 $158 39
705 E Brownell St 0.69mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,425 (+11%) 6mo $267,000 $187 37
415 W Jackson St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,092 (-15%) 19mo $175,000 $160 17

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
76.1%
Equity multiple
4.47×
Total profit
$42,706
Equity at exit
$6,561
10-year hold
IRR
79.8%
Equity multiple
9.23×
Total profit
$101,417
Equity at exit
$3,804

Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54660

Home prices YoY
-23.5%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,375 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$231
Tax est. 1.5%
$55 /mo · $660/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$782

Break-even live

Break-even rent $385
Max offer price $44,000
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $813 -5% $797 +0% $782 +5% $767 +10% $752
Rent -10% $674 -5% $728 +0% $782 +5% $836 +10% $891
Rate -1.0pp $804 -0.5pp $793 base $782 +0.5pp $771 +1.0pp $759

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,000
Closing costs
$1,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
260 Murdock St Tomah, WI 3.0 1.0 1114 $1,450 $1.30 24d 1 0.63mi
220 Murdock St Tomah, WI 2.0 1.0 1096 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 0.64mi
202 Murdock St Tomah, WI 2.0–3.0 1.0 1131 $1,450 $1.28 14d 3 0.66mi
205 E Veterans St Tomah, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 24d 1 0.71mi
209 E Veterans St Tomah, WI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,300 $1.58 14d 2 0.71mi
1028 Berry Ave Tomah, WI 2.0 1.5 1044 $1,400 $1.34 14d 2 0.78mi
1010 Berry Ave Unit 1010 Berry Pointe-112 Tomah, WI 2.0 1.5 1044 $1,400 $1.34 14d 1 0.79mi
834 Evergreen Pass Tomah, WI 4.0 2.5 1418 $1,729 $1.22 14d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $44,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $44,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $44,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $44,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $44,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    price $49,000 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    Why rent when you can own cheaper? This 3 bedroom 2 bath single wide manufactured home offers large living space!! A large living room welcomes you in and is open to an impressive kitchen with lots of cabinets, counter space and natural light. Main living area floor has just been replaced and fresh paint is already done as well! A primary bedroom with walk in closet and en suite bathroom is a nice feature. All appliances stay! Outdoor features include a carport, ramped entrance and garden shed for extra storage. Residents must be approved by Edgewood Terrace prior to closing. Lot rent is $525 per month.

  17. 2026-04-29
    price $54,000 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    Why rent when you can own cheaper? This 3 bedroom 2 bath single wide manufactured home offers large living space!! A large living room welcomes you in and is open to an impressive kitchen with lots of cabinets, counter space and natural light. Main living area floor has just been replaced and fresh paint is already done as well! A primary bedroom with walk in closet and en suite bathroom is a nice feature. All appliances stay! Outdoor features include a carport, ramped entrance and garden shed for extra storage. Residents must be approved by Edgewood Terrace prior to closing. Lot rent is $525 per month.

  18. 2026-04-14
    listed $59,000 Active 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    Why rent when you can own cheaper? This 3 bedroom 2 bath single wide manufactured home offers large living space!! A large living room welcomes you in and is open to an impressive kitchen with lots of cabinets, counter space and natural light. Main living area floor has just been replaced and fresh paint is already done as well! A primary bedroom with walk in closet and en suite bathroom is a nice feature. All appliances stay! Outdoor features include a carport, ramped entrance and garden shed for extra storage. Residents must be approved by Edgewood Terrace prior to closing. Lot rent is $525 per month.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,500
− Mortgage interest
−$2,465
− Property taxes
−$660
− Insurance
−$220
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,320
− Management
−$1,320
− Depreciation
−$1,280
Taxable income
$9,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,216
After-tax cash flow
$7,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 None rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-wide manufactured home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a good kitchen, bathrooms, and exterior. The home is move-in ready and has a good curb appeal. The home is a good investment for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Replace the ceiling fan — Replacing the ceiling fan can improve the comfort of the living space and make it more appealing to renters.
  • Both Clean the windows — Cleaning the windows can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Replace the ceiling fan — Replacing the ceiling fan can improve the comfort of the living space and make it more appealing to renters.
  • Both Clean the windows — Cleaning the windows can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tomah Area School District
NCES district ID
5514910
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,063
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7747
State rank
#293 of 342 in WI

Livability — Tomah

Score
79/100
State rank
#83
US rank
#2189

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tomah, WI
County
Monroe County · 16,124 people
City population
16,124
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
16,124
Household income
$61,186
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
427.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,682 people
By 2030
45,187 · -1.1%
By 2040
43,768 · -4.2%
By 2050
41,596 · -8.9%
By 2075
35,555 · -22.2%
By 2100
28,278 · -38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.1) · D 36.3% · R 62.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-34.1pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: -26.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.1 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+22.5 2012: R+0.7 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.36%
Current HPI
209.1207
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $49,000 SCWMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $54,000 SCWMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $59,000 SCWMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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