516 Rue Marseille · Chesapeake, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 2 bedroom/2bath condo featuring an open floor plan and soaring cathedral ceilings. Bright end unit that allows an abundant of natural sunlight throughout. Well-designed layout for entertaining. Prime location with easy access to interstate, shopping and restaurants.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Prime location
- $262 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA present (Les Chateaux Condominium Association Inc) managed by United Property Assoc.; Monthly association fee: $262; Community clubhouse and pool
Exterior
- Parking: 1 parking space
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Gas water heater; Electric power
- Home design: Attached condominium; Contemporary style; Two stories; Condo level 1; Slab foundation
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Stucco siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: No bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced hot air heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet and ceramic flooring; Seven total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (13.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (13.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.7% in Chesapeake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#236 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Chesapeake City Public School District (suburban): math 58% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #31 of 131 in VA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: B.M. Williams Primary (897 students, 91% FRL); Oscar F. Smith High (math 63% / reading 75%, grade B, #170 of 319 statewide, top 55%, 2,291 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 28% district-wide (53 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 282 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 597 units permitted in Chesapeake city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chesapeake County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $137k; list at $225k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.17%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-37,117
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,020
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23320
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 282
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,946 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,016/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$262
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $-166
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 906 Wickford Dr Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,950 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 824 Huntly Dr Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1268 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 16d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 218 Fireweed Ct Chesapeake, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1144 | $1,850 | $1.62 | 20d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 627 Creekside Ct Chesapeake, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1334 | $1,995 | $1.50 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 767 Creekside Cres Unit 1 Chesapeake, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1188 | $2,200 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 208 Crosswinds Dr Chesapeake, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 819 | $1,910 | $2.33 | 8d | 2 | 1.01mi |
| 1222 Corkwood Cir Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1185 | $2,200 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1240 Basswood Ct Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,925 | $1.49 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 208 Crosswinds Dr Unit 00 217104 Chesapeake, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 971 | $1,910 | $1.97 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 651 Ridge Cir Chesapeake, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1254 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $262 · $3,144/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-02-26$225,000 Active
-
2006-04-20soldstatus $137,000
-
2002-03-05soldstatus $80,000
-
1997-04-11soldstatus $78,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,016 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,016 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,353
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,016
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,868
- − Management
- −$1,868
- − HOA
- −$3,144
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$5,817
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,396
- After-tax cash flow
- $-599/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesapeake City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100810
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,356
- Composite
- 57.84/100
- National rank
- #1047
- State rank
- #31 of 131 in VA
Livability — Chesapeake
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #236
- US rank
- #7942
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chesapeake, VA
- County
- Chesapeake City · 253,091 people
- City population
- 253,091
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,108
- Household income
- $84,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2714.0
Population outlook (Chesapeake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 263,804 people
- By 2030
- 276,798 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 299,906 · +13.7%
- By 2050
- 318,284 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 362,137 · +37.3%
- By 2100
- 372,225 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chesapeake
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.3% · R 47.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: 1.3pp · 2024: 3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.8 2020: D+6.5 2016: R+1.3 2012: D+1.1 2008: D+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.43%
- Current HPI
- 285.5792
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.78%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+186.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Listed $225,000 REINMLS
- 2006-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $137,000 Public Records
- 2002-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 1997-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,016 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…