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3965 N Melody St
B+ Composite 75.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

3965 N Melody St · Kingman, AZ 86409
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Land public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1988 1.00 ac lot $89/sqft · 33% below area Est $180k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity in Kingman, Arizona. This manufactured home sits on a full 1-acre lot with all utilities already in place. The property requires a full renovation and is best suited for investors, flippers, or experienced buyers looking for a value-add project. With existing infrastructure, usable land, and upside at the right price point, this is a strong opportunity to unlock potential.

Key facts

  • Value-add project
  • Full 1-acre lot
  • Usable land

Tags

FULL 1-ACRE LOTEXISTING INFRASTRUCTUREUSABLE LANDVALUE-ADD PROJECT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Utilities: City water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Wood siding with wood frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Dirt front and dirt back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Up to 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Has heating
  • Interior features: 3/4 bath in the primary bedroom; Indoor laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located inside the home

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.5% in Kingman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in AZ, #2,014 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities F.
  • Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cerbat Elementary (math 9% / reading 15%, grade F, #963 of 1,109 statewide, top 87%, 700 students, 78% FRL); Kingman Middle School (math 10% / reading 13%, grade F, #180 of 218 statewide, top 83%, 737 students, 74% FRL); Kingman High School (math 4% / reading 6%, grade F, #364 of 381 statewide, top 100%, 905 students, 50% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 22% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Kingman Unified School District (79598) average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 647 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $120k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
12.82%
Cash-on-cash
23.33%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$179,783
List price
$120,000
Delta
-33.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$17,598
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$51,163
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86409

Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
647
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,722 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $333/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$653

Break-even live

Break-even rent $895
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $721 -5% $687 +0% $653 +5% $619 +10% $585
Rent -10% $517 -5% $585 +0% $653 +5% $721 +10% $789
Rate -1.0pp $714 -0.5pp $684 base $653 +0.5pp $622 +1.0pp $590

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3736 N Roosevelt St Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1093 $1,425 $1.30 45d 1 0.75mi
3838 Meadowbrook Ln Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1602 $1,800 $1.12 23d 1 0.78mi
3838 Heritage Ln Kingman, AZ 2.0 2.0 1285 $1,650 $1.28 45d 1 0.97mi
3695 N Adams St Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1331 $1,600 $1.20 45d 1 0.98mi
3631 N Miller St Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1593 $2,450 $1.54 23d 1 1.02mi
3953 Rex Allen Ct Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,750 $1.22 15d 1 1.04mi
3644 N Lomita St Kingman, AZ 4.0 2.0 1717 $1,700 $0.99 45d 1 1.09mi
2244 Dollarhide Dr Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,948 $1.20 15d 1 1.09mi
2118 Gene Autry Dr Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1494 $1,850 $1.24 45d 1 1.11mi
3481 Cypress St Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1241 $1,478 $1.19 45d 1 1.24mi
3530 N Lomita St Unit C Kingman, AZ 2.0 2.0 920 $1,400 $1.52 23d 1 1.25mi
3445 N Sage St Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1384 $1,400 $1.01 15d 1 1.32mi
3386 N Jewel St Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1128 $1,500 $1.33 23d 1 1.32mi
2381 E Butler Ave Kingman, AZ 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,200 $1.04 45d 1 1.36mi
3279 N Eagle Rock Rd Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1164 $1,225 $1.05 23d 1 1.38mi
3571 N Moore St Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1288 $2,450 $1.90 45d 1 1.39mi
3595 N Skylark Rd Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1138 $1,475 $1.30 45d 1 1.40mi
3686 Richie Dr Kingman, AZ 3.0 2.0 1560 $1,950 $1.25 15d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
  18. 2026-05-14
    listed $120,000 Active 396-char remark
  19. 1992-06-02
    soldstatus $57,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$333 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$792 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$459/yr (+$38/mo · 137.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,661
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$333
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,653
− Management
−$1,653
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$6,209
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,490
After-tax cash flow
$6,347/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kingman Unified School District (79598)
NCES district ID
0400295
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,760
Composite
17.87/100
National rank
#9002
State rank
#179 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Kingman

Score
79/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#2014

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kingman, AZ
County
Mohave County · 181,906 people
City population
60,489
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
Population (ZIP)
30,365
Household income
$50,852
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
688.0

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,184 people
By 2030
209,674 · +0.2%
By 2040
205,897 · -1.6%
By 2050
196,810 · -5.9%
By 2075
169,454 · -19.0%
By 2100
136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -158.90%
Current HPI
280.1884
Rent YoY
▲ 0.33%
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+108.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $120,000 ARMLS
  • 1992-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $333 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…