1 Kewanee Rd · New Rochelle, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.47%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,399,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come see this ready to move in custom built new construction that sits at the end of a cul-de-sac! Choose to have your master bedroom either on the first floor perfect for Nanny Quarters or the second overlooking the nearby stream. The first floor bedroom is perfect for a no step entry. There is an Semi finished walkup attic with high ceilings perfect for storage, office or additional rooms. This bright open layout offers quartz counter Tops , high efficiently appliances, gas fireplace, second floor laundry, Anderson Windows, Foam insulation, bluestone patio, and Master walk-in closets. Of the five bedrooms three ensuite baths and high ceilings. Enjoy looking at nature and clean water strea
Key facts
- Bluestone patio
- Ensuite baths
- Gas fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community park
Exterior
- Parking: Attached driveway; 2 parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Security: Alarm system; Smoke detectors; Video cameras; Fire alarm
- Utilities: Con Edison electric; Public sewer; Public trash collection
- Home design: Single family residence; Three or more levels; Actual property condition
- Construction: Frame construction; HardiPlank siding
- Exterior features: Balcony; Patio; Porch; Cul-de-sac location; Level lot; Near public transit; Near shops; Near schools; Views
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Wine refrigerator; Granite counters; Pantry; Open kitchen; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom downstairs
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hydro air heating; Propane heating; Central air; ENERGY STAR qualified equipment
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Formal dining room; Granite counters; High ceilings; Primary bedroom on main floor; Primary bathroom; Open kitchen; Pantry; Walk-in closets; Finished full walk-up attic
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $1.40M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.16M (17.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.13M (19.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.13M (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
- New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: New Rochelle High School (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 3,076 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 64% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the New Rochelle City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $42k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.38M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 21 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 11566% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.18%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,574,764
- List price
- $1,399,900
- Delta
- -4.75%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Hillview Dr | 0.56mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,201 (+4%) | 4mo | $2,051,000 | $641 | 55 |
| 12 Swarthmore Rd | 0.46mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,834 (-8%) | 1mo | $2,130,000 | $752 | 53 |
| 50 Carthage Rd | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 3,299 (+7%) | 10mo | $2,000,000 | $606 | 48 |
| 126 Penn Rd | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 3,290 (+7%) | 5mo | $1,450,000 | $441 | 48 |
| 7 Westview Ln | 0.40mi | 4/4.5 (-1) | 3,493 (+13%) | 9mo | $2,508,000 | $718 | 47 |
| 15 Franklin Rd | 0.49mi | 5/3.5 | 3,496 (+13%) | 10mo | $2,495,000 | $714 | 43 |
| 124 Hillandale Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,917 (-5%) | 3mo | $1,381,000 | $473 | 43 |
| 71 Baraud Rd S | 0.44mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,683 (-13%) | 9mo | $1,575,000 | $587 | 41 |
| 15 Old Farm Rd | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 3,205 (+4%) | 10mo | $1,505,000 | $470 | 38 |
| 225 Country Ridge Rd | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,783 (-10%) | 6mo | $1,671,500 | $601 | 38 |
| 61 Lincoln Rd | 0.71mi | 5/4.0 | 3,534 (+15%) | 7mo | $2,400,000 | $679 | 35 |
| 93 Hillandale Dr | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,652 (-14%) | 8mo | $1,300,000 | $490 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-313,357
- Equity at exit
- $208,730
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-382,785
- Equity at exit
- $121,038
Cash invested: $391,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10804
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,265 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,341
- Tax from tax record
- −$2,341 /mo · $28,095/yr
- Insurance
- −$583
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,366
- Net cashflow
- $-1,367
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-574 | -5% $-970 | +0% $-1,367 | +5% $-1,763 | +10% $-2,159 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,257 | -5% $-1,812 | +0% $-1,367 | +5% $-922 | +10% $-477 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-662 | -0.5pp $-1,011 | base $-1,367 | +0.5pp $-1,729 | +1.0pp $-2,098 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $349,975
- Closing costs
- $41,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 372 Heathcote Rd Scarsdale, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2826 | $12,000 | $4.25 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 177 Puritan Dr Scarsdale, NY | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4278 | $11,000 | $2.57 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 58 Marion Dr New Rochelle, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3246 | $11,000 | $3.39 | 0d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 75 Lord Kitchener Rd New Rochelle, NY | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3032 | $10,000 | $3.30 | 6d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,399,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,399,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,399,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,399,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,399,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,399,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,399,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,399,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,399,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,399,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-04-17price $12,500
-
2026-04-09$13,500
-
2026-04-08$1,499,900 Active 961-char remark
-
2025-11-03$1,599,000 Active
-
2024-11-02historical $10,000
-
2024-11-01historical
-
2024-10-17price $10,000
-
2024-10-15price $1,399,990
-
2024-10-15price $1,400,000
-
2024-08-06$12,500
-
2024-08-01$1,499,990 Active
-
2024-06-05historical
-
2024-06-03$1,550,000 Active
-
2023-05-15historical
-
2023-04-17status Active
-
2023-01-03$1,399,999 Active
-
2022-10-12historical
-
2022-08-01price $1,399,999
-
2022-06-06price $1,450,000
-
2022-05-03price $1,449,999
-
2022-02-24$1,499,999 Active
-
2022-01-28historical
-
2021-12-17$1,499,999 Active
-
2021-12-17historical
-
2021-12-16price $1,499,999
-
2021-11-16$1,599,990 Active
-
2021-10-06historical
-
2021-07-22price $1,599,990
-
2021-07-22$1,599,900 Active
-
2021-05-17historical
-
2021-04-20price $1,749,000
-
2021-04-20price $1,700,000
-
2021-02-12status Active
-
2021-02-11historical
-
2021-02-11$1,699,000 Active
-
2020-09-08historical
-
2020-06-16$1,499,000 Active
-
2020-01-10historical
-
2019-10-17price $1,499,000
-
2019-10-01historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $28,095 · $2,341/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $28,095 · $2,341/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $135,176
- − Mortgage interest
- −$78,416
- − Property taxes
- −$28,095
- − Insurance
- −$7,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,814
- − Management
- −$10,814
- − Depreciation
- −$40,724
- Taxable loss
- −$40,688
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$9,765
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,636/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Rochelle City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620490
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,165
- Composite
- 56.63/100
- National rank
- #1139
- State rank
- #171 of 590 in NY
Livability — New Rochelle
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #487
- US rank
- #8572
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Rochelle, NY
- City population
- 63,657
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,228
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -819.58%
- Current HPI
- 280.9571
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-99.2% since first listed56 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Rental Removed $12,000 ONEKEY
- 2026-05-28 Listed for Rent $12,000 ONEKEY
- 2026-05-27 Listed $1,399,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Rental Removed $11,500 ONEKEY
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $11,500 ONEKEY
- 2026-05-21 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $1,399,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $12,500 ONEKEY
- 2026-04-09 Listed for Rent $13,500 ONEKEY
- 2026-04-08 Listed $1,499,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-03 Listed $1,599,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-02 Rental Removed $10,000 ONEKEY
- 2024-11-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-17 Price Changed $10,000 ONEKEY
- 2024-10-15 Price Changed $1,399,990 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-15 Price Changed $1,400,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-06 Listed for Rent $12,500 ONEKEY
- 2024-08-01 Listed $1,499,990 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-05 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-03 Listed $1,550,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-15 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-17 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-03 Listed $1,399,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-12 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-01 Price Changed $1,399,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-06 Price Changed $1,450,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-03 Price Changed $1,449,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-24 Listed $1,499,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-28 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-17 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-17 Listed $1,499,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-16 Price Changed $1,499,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-16 Listed $1,599,990 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-06 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-22 Price Changed $1,599,990 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-22 Listed $1,599,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-17 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-20 Price Changed $1,749,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-20 Price Changed $1,700,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-12 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-11 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-11 Listed $1,699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-08 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-16 Listed $1,499,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-10 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-17 Price Changed $1,499,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-07 Price Changed $599,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-29 Price Changed $499,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-28 Price Changed $1,399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-04 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-04 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-04 Listed $599,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-04 Listed $1,499,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-03 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2007-06-26 Listed — HGMLS
Property tax history
+24.4%/yrLatest (2025): $28,095 · -16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…