1512 Arts St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Shotgun single with super high ceilings, *hardwood flooring throughout*, new wiring, sheetrock, etc. Finish this restoration to suit your needs! Excellent New Marigny / Eighth Ward location, walk to all of the action. All exterior walls and ceilings are insulated. Flood Zone X. Quiet block across from the new Senior Center. Easy on-street parking. Deep 124' shaded lot. Great neighbors! Call your contractor, visit today.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- New wiring
- Eighth ward location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: No sewer available; No water available
- Home design: Single-story; Raised foundation
- Construction: Frame construction; Contains asbestos; Renovation incomplete
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; City lot; Rectangular lot (approx. 25 x 124)
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Floors sanded and sealed
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Recently rewired; renovation incomplete; Average condition
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $130k implies a 478% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.71%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $319,872
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1431 Clouet St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+4%) | 1mo | $307,000 | $219 | 66 |
| 2320 Marais St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,280 (-5%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $195 | 63 |
| 1037 Port St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,461 (+9%) | 3mo | $395,000 | $270 | 62 |
| 919 Franklin Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,414 (+5%) | 4mo | $430,000 | $304 | 61 |
| 1625 Frenchmen St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,252 (-7%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $136 | 58 |
| 1014 Music St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,214 (-10%) | 5mo | $269,000 | $222 | 54 |
| 1735 Touro St | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,368 (+2%) | 6mo | $186,000 | $136 | 54 |
| 3032 N Rampart St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,462 (+9%) | 2mo | $490,500 | $335 | 54 |
| 930 Port St | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,477 (+10%) | 1mo | $352,000 | $238 | 54 |
| 2618 N Rocheblave St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,168 (-13%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $98 | 46 |
| 1027 Louisa St | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,460 (+9%) | 1mo | $450,000 | $308 | 45 |
| 621 Franklin Ave | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,192 (-11%) | 2mo | $550,000 | $461 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $6,149
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $38,067
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70117
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 581
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,710 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,295/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $440
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1636 Music St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,185 | $1.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2519 N Derbigny St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1638 Music St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,085 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1226 Port St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,650 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1239 Saint Roch Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,150 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1809 Saint Roch Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1924 Painters St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,700 | $1.85 | 3d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1922 Painters St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,700 | $1.85 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1033 Port St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,495 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2271 N Derbigny St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,585 | $1.58 | 17d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2269 N Derbigny St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,675 | $1.68 | 19d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2269 N Derbigny St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,665 | $1.67 | 17d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1603 Marigny St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,099 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1601 Marigny St Unit 1603 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,099 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1726 Mandeville St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1320 Feliciana St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1710 Marigny St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2003 Almonaster Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,600 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2524 N Galvez St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1102 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 17d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2522 N Galvez St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1105 | $1,675 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1231 Feliciana St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $2,750 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1034 Montegut St Unit 1034 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $3,400 | $2.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2010 Saint Ferdinand St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,650 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1244 Clouet St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2515 N Galvez St Unit 2515 New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2515 N Galvez St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3025 Saint Claude Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,950 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1225 Clouet St Unit 1225 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2317 N Rampart St Unit 1272378P New Orleans, LA | 3.0–6.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1581 | $2,165 | $1.37 | 3d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 2220 N Prieur St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $2,000 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1217 Clouet St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2024 Mandeville St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,950 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2120 Saint Roch Ave Unit 2120 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2103 Urquhart St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,299 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1327 Frenchmen St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1175 | $1,900 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1301 Frenchmen St Unit 2B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,299 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3125 Industrial Ct New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2115 Mandeville St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2322 Burgundy St Unit C New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2411 Dauphine St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,750 | $1.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 428-char remark
-
2026-06-13$130,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,295 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,295 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,517
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,295
- − Insurance
- −$1,448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,641
- − Management
- −$1,641
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,429
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$823
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,463/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,652
- Household income
- $45,764
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1988.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 30% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.22%
- Current HPI
- 184.6061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.49%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+477.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-10 Listed $130,000 GSREIN
- 1976-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,295 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…