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222 Beley Ave
A- Composite 83.81
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,900

222 Beley Ave · Mattydale, NY 13211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 990 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1930 9,537 sqft lot Est $211k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity, affordability, and potential come together in this three-bedroom, one-bath home located in the North Syracuse Central School District. If you’ve been searching for a property where your vision and sweat equity can create lasting value, this is it. Why rent when you can own? Situated on a large, level lot, the property features a private, park-like backyard framed by mature trees—perfect for relaxing, gardening, or entertaining. An enclosed front porch provides additional living space, while the long driveway offers ample off-street parking. Inside, you’ll find solid bones and endless possibilities for updates and personalization. Important mechanical improv

Key facts

  • Long driveway
  • Enclosed front porch
  • 9,537 sq ft lot

Tags

PRIVATE PARK-LIKE BACKYARDENCLOSED FRONT PORCHLONG DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected with circuit breakers; Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-story property; Existing construction
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (51 x 187)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Galley kitchen; Sliding glass door(s); Sliding doors
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 5.5% in Mattydale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#360 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
  • North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $120k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
9.77%
Cash-on-cash
12.42%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,870
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
367 Matty Ave 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,013 (+2%) 5mo $249,200 $246 81
201 Hill Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+5%) 7mo $170,000 $163 71
155 Malden Rd 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,080 (+9%) 2mo $210,000 $194 65
718 Matty Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (-4%) 2mo $210,000 $221 61
193 Medford Rd 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-6%) 5mo $175,000 $187 59
108 Harrington St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+7%) 2mo $225,000 $213 58
624 Wright Ave 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 900 (-9%) 0mo $233,000 $259 55
105 Florida Rd S 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,118 (+13%) 3mo $242,500 $217 52
110 Edgemere Rd 0.74mi 3/1.5 910 (-8%) 1mo $223,000 $245 49
200 Leonard St 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,125 (+14%) 5mo $172,500 $153 47
209 Northwood Dr 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,107 (+12%) 1mo $235,000 $212 43
203 Brookline Rd 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,126 (+14%) 2mo $190,000 $169 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$87,560
Equity at exit
$108,015
10-year hold
IRR
28.9%
Equity multiple
8.17×
Total profit
$240,700
Equity at exit
$232,939

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13211

Home prices YoY
10.7%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,700 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$317 /mo · $3,802/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$347

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,260
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $415 -5% $381 +0% $347 +5% $314 +10% $280
Rent -10% $213 -5% $280 +0% $347 +5% $415 +10% $482
Rate -1.0pp $408 -0.5pp $378 base $347 +0.5pp $316 +1.0pp $285

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2802 Lemoyne Ave Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 988 $1,700 $1.72 15d 1 0.36mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 681-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $119,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,802 · $317/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,802 · $317/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,400
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$3,802
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,632
− Management
−$1,632
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$2,531
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$607
After-tax cash flow
$3,562/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Syracuse Central School District
NCES district ID
3621210
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$62,904
Composite
41.93/100
National rank
#3356
State rank
#402 of 590 in NY

Livability — Mattydale

Score
72/100
State rank
#360
US rank
#6130

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mattydale, NY
City population
6,155
Population (ZIP)
6,155

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Philippines, India, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 31.87%
Current HPI
330.266
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+139.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $119,900 CNYIS
  • 1993-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,802 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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