209 N Main St. St · Salem, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment property! Three bedroom, 2 bath home located in the community of Salem.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1994
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-level living; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: 70 x 149 lot (0.24 acre); Residential single-family zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One three-quarter bathroom
- Interior features: Range, Dishwasher, Refrigerator; Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#533 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Mount Pleasant Community School District (town): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #207 of 289 in IA (top 72%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($757 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
- Henry County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $110k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.41%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $45,322
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 E School St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-0%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $31 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $31,312
- Equity at exit
- $55,683
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.85×
- Total profit
- $87,416
- Equity at exit
- $91,206
Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52649
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,162 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$574
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,302/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $251 | -5% $220 | +0% $189 | +5% $158 | +10% $127 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $98 | -5% $143 | +0% $189 | +5% $235 | +10% $281 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $245 | -0.5pp $217 | base $189 | +0.5pp $161 | +1.0pp $132 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,375
- Closing costs
- $3,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 411-char remark
-
2026-05-31$109,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,302 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,511 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$209/yr (+$17/mo · 16.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,134
- − Property taxes
- −$1,302
- − Insurance
- −$548
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,115
- − Management
- −$1,115
- − Depreciation
- −$3,185
- Taxable income
- $541
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$130
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,143/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Pleasant Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1919890
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,805
- Composite
- 54.49/100
- National rank
- #1348
- State rank
- #207 of 289 in IA
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #533
- US rank
- #11886
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 845
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,583 people
- By 2030
- 19,271 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 18,505 · -5.5%
- By 2050
- 17,796 · -9.1%
- By 2075
- 16,821 · -14.1%
- By 2100
- 15,549 · -20.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.3% · R 67.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.9pp toward R · 2008: -5.0pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+30.9 2012: R+6.0 2008: R+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.03%
- Current HPI
- 114.9294
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+173.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $109,500 IAR
- 2015-04-30 Sold (MLS) $40,000 IAR
- 2015-03-11 Listed $40,000 IAR
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,302 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…