232 County Road 1389 · Saltillo, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home in Saltillo School District! A new ROOF will be installed in the upcoming weeks! Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Saltillo but tucked away with privacy. Sits on 1.30 (+/-) acres. All information is deemed reliable but subject to verification.
Key facts
- Privacy
- 1.30 acres
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#48 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee County School District (rural): math 37% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #51 of 130 in MS (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $788 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $114k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.46%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,796
- List price
- $114,000
- Delta
- -32.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $5,981
- Equity at exit
- $16,998
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $36,569
- Equity at exit
- $9,857
Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38866
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,347 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$598
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $412/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $385
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $449 | -5% $417 | +0% $385 | +5% $352 | +10% $320 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $278 | -5% $331 | +0% $385 | +5% $438 | +10% $491 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $442 | -0.5pp $414 | base $385 | +0.5pp $355 | +1.0pp $325 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,500
- Closing costs
- $3,420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-12days on market $114,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $114,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $114,000 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home in Saltillo School District! A new ROOF will be installed in the upcoming weeks! Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Saltillo but tucked away with privacy. Sits on 1.30 (+/-) acres. All information is deemed reliable but subject to verification.
-
2026-04-16price $124,000 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home in Saltillo School District! A new ROOF will be installed in the upcoming weeks! Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Saltillo but tucked away with privacy. Sits on 1.30 (+/-) acres. All information is deemed reliable but subject to verification.
-
2026-04-10price $129,000 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home in Saltillo School District! A new ROOF will be installed in the upcoming weeks! Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Saltillo but tucked away with privacy. Sits on 1.30 (+/-) acres. All information is deemed reliable but subject to verification.
-
2026-03-27$150,000 Active 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home in Saltillo School District! A new ROOF will be installed in the upcoming weeks! Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Saltillo but tucked away with privacy. Sits on 1.30 (+/-) acres. All information is deemed reliable but subject to verification.
-
2015-07-31soldstatus 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Perfect first home that is 3BR/1BA. Great room, kitchen with breakfast area, front porch sitting area great for morning coffee. Home is 1180 sq. ft.
-
2015-07-31soldstatus $64,900
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Perfect first home that is 3BR/1BA. Great room, kitchen with breakfast area, front porch sitting area great for morning coffee. Home is 1180 sq. ft.
-
2015-04-28$64,900 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Perfect first home that is 3BR/1BA. Great room, kitchen with breakfast area, front porch sitting area great for morning coffee. Home is 1180 sq. ft.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $412 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $901 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$489/yr (+$41/mo · 118.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,167
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,386
- − Property taxes
- −$412
- − Insurance
- −$570
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,293
- − Management
- −$1,293
- − Depreciation
- −$3,316
- Taxable income
- $2,896
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$695
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,921/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802550
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,435
- Composite
- 30.38/100
- National rank
- #6253
- State rank
- #51 of 130 in MS
Livability — Saltillo
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #48
- US rank
- #8244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 11,714
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,714
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,253 people
- By 2030
- 92,125 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 94,914 · +5.2%
- By 2050
- 95,841 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 94,189 · +4.4%
- By 2100
- 83,736 · -7.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 9% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Vietnamese 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.8) · D 30.0% · R 68.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -30.5pp · 2024: -38.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.8 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+30.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.48%
- Current HPI
- 173.8036
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+75.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $114,000 NEMSBD
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $124,000 NEMSBD
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $129,000 NEMSBD
- 2026-03-27 Listed $150,000 NEMSBD
- 2015-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
- 2015-07-31 Sold (MLS) — NEMSBD
- 2015-04-28 Listed $64,900 NEMSBD
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $412 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…