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232 County Road 1389
B Composite 72.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,000

232 County Road 1389 · Saltillo, MS 38866
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,148 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1980 1.00 ac lot $99/sqft · 31% below area Est $169k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home in Saltillo School District! A new ROOF will be installed in the upcoming weeks! Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Saltillo but tucked away with privacy. Sits on 1.30 (+/-) acres. All information is deemed reliable but subject to verification.

Key facts

  • Privacy
  • 1.30 acres
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFSALTILLO SCHOOL DISTRICTMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN SALTILLO1.30 ACRESPRIVACY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#48 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee County School District (rural): math 37% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #51 of 130 in MS (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $788 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $114k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,160 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
10.34%
Cash-on-cash
14.46%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$168,796
List price
$114,000
Delta
-32.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$5,981
Equity at exit
$16,998
10-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$36,569
Equity at exit
$9,857

Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38866

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,347 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$598
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $412/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$385

Break-even live

Break-even rent $860
Max offer price $114,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $449 -5% $417 +0% $385 +5% $352 +10% $320
Rent -10% $278 -5% $331 +0% $385 +5% $438 +10% $491
Rate -1.0pp $442 -0.5pp $414 base $385 +0.5pp $355 +1.0pp $325

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,500
Closing costs
$3,420
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    days on market $114,000 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,000 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,000 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,000 Active 72 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,000 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,000 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-05-11
    price $114,000 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home in Saltillo School District! A new ROOF will be installed in the upcoming weeks! Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Saltillo but tucked away with privacy. Sits on 1.30 (+/-) acres. All information is deemed reliable but subject to verification.

  10. 2026-04-16
    price $124,000 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home in Saltillo School District! A new ROOF will be installed in the upcoming weeks! Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Saltillo but tucked away with privacy. Sits on 1.30 (+/-) acres. All information is deemed reliable but subject to verification.

  11. 2026-04-10
    price $129,000 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home in Saltillo School District! A new ROOF will be installed in the upcoming weeks! Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Saltillo but tucked away with privacy. Sits on 1.30 (+/-) acres. All information is deemed reliable but subject to verification.

  12. 2026-03-27
    listed $150,000 Active 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home in Saltillo School District! A new ROOF will be installed in the upcoming weeks! Conveniently located just minutes from Downtown Saltillo but tucked away with privacy. Sits on 1.30 (+/-) acres. All information is deemed reliable but subject to verification.

  13. 2015-07-31
    soldstatus 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Perfect first home that is 3BR/1BA. Great room, kitchen with breakfast area, front porch sitting area great for morning coffee. Home is 1180 sq. ft.

  14. 2015-07-31
    soldstatus $64,900
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Perfect first home that is 3BR/1BA. Great room, kitchen with breakfast area, front porch sitting area great for morning coffee. Home is 1180 sq. ft.

  15. 2015-04-28
    listed $64,900 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Perfect first home that is 3BR/1BA. Great room, kitchen with breakfast area, front porch sitting area great for morning coffee. Home is 1180 sq. ft.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$412 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$901 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$489/yr (+$41/mo · 118.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,167
− Mortgage interest
−$6,386
− Property taxes
−$412
− Insurance
−$570
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,293
− Management
−$1,293
− Depreciation
−$3,316
Taxable income
$2,896
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$695
After-tax cash flow
$3,921/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee County School District
NCES district ID
2802550
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,435
Composite
30.38/100
National rank
#6253
State rank
#51 of 130 in MS

Livability — Saltillo

Score
69/100
State rank
#48
US rank
#8244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
11,714
Population (ZIP)
11,714

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,253 people
By 2030
92,125 · +2.1%
By 2040
94,914 · +5.2%
By 2050
95,841 · +6.2%
By 2075
94,189 · +4.4%
By 2100
83,736 · -7.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 9% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Vietnamese 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.8) · D 30.0% · R 68.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.3pp toward R · 2008: -30.5pp · 2024: -38.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.8 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+30.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.48%
Current HPI
173.8036
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+75.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $114,000 NEMSBD
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $124,000 NEMSBD
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $129,000 NEMSBD
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $150,000 NEMSBD
  • 2015-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
  • 2015-07-31 Sold (MLS) NEMSBD
  • 2015-04-28 Listed $64,900 NEMSBD

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $412 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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