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Lancia's Berkley I Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 33.4
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$232,000

Lancia's Berkley I Plan · Huntertown, IN 46818
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,767 sqft · SingleFamily · 300 Days on market
Good condition $45/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Berkley I has a Great Room that is open to the Nook and Kitchen with the Kitchen's sink and breakfast bar facing the Great Room. All Bedrooms upstairs and Laundry Room upstairs. 9x9 Loft upstairs perfect for a study or play area. Owner Suite Bedroom has a large walk-in closet and dual sinks in attached Bathroom. Garage has 6x7 bump in back for storage. A full basement is available. * Base price does not include land

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Listed 300 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $232,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $355,915.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $232k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-600 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $232k).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#159 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Northwest Allen County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #25 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $204,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.27%
Cash-on-cash
-7.23%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$355,915
List price
$232,000
Delta
-34.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5116 Mountain Sky Cv 0.08mi 4/2.5 1,818 (+3%) 0mo $374,800 $206 91
12283 Hideout Pass 0.26mi 4/2.0 1,771 (+0%) 1mo $295,115 $167 85
5207 Mountain Sky Cv 0.08mi 4/2.5 1,900 (+8%) 2mo $338,000 $178 82
4684 Hammock Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,724 (-2%) 1mo $327,000 $190 72
5029 Whittlebury Dr 0.28mi 4/2.5 1,938 (+10%) 1mo $352,900 $182 70
5091 Sickle Cv 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,703 (-4%) 0mo $342,200 $201 70
5591 Broad Fields Cv 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,775 (+0%) 0mo $386,300 $218 68
4725 Silverstone Psge 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,716 (-3%) 2mo $379,900 $221 66
12005 Swather Ct 0.46mi 4/2.5 1,900 (+8%) 2mo $360,000 $189 64
4840 Whittlebury Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,639 (-7%) 1mo $359,227 $219 64
4874 Whittlebury Dr 0.38mi 4/2.5 1,994 (+13%) 1mo $375,000 $188 60
5599 Broad Fields Cv 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,665 (-6%) 1mo $384,900 $231 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.8%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-84,049
Equity at exit
$53,068
10-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-68,928
Equity at exit
$30,773

Cash invested: $99,656 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46818

Rents YoY
7.6%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,411 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,866
Tax est. 1.5%
$445 /mo · $5,339/yr
Insurance
$148
HOA
$45
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$506
Net cashflow
$-600

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,170
Max offer price $269,078
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$88,979
Closing costs
$10,677
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5045 Portney Pl Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.5 2226 $2,300 $1.03 43d 1 0.12mi
4722 Whittlebury Dr Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.0 1650 $1,999 $1.21 13d 1 0.30mi
3115 Carroll Rd Fort Wayne, IN 3.0 2.0 1244 $2,300 $1.85 13d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$45 · $540/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $232,000 Active 300 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $232,000 Active 299 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $232,000 Active 298 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $232,000 Active 297 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $232,000 Active 295 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $232,000 Active 294 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $232,000 Active 292 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $232,000 Active 291 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $232,000 Active 290 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $232,000 Active 289 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $232,000 Active 285 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $232,000 Active 284 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $227,600 Active 283 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $227,600 Active 282 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $227,600 Active 281 DOM
  16. 2026-02-09
    price $227,600 481-char remark
    Show marketing remark (481 chars)

    THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Berkley I has a Great Room that is open to the Nook and Kitchen with the Kitchen's sink and breakfast bar facing the Great Room. All Bedrooms upstairs and Laundry Room upstairs. 9x9 Loft upstairs perfect for a study or play area. Owner Suite Bedroom has a large walk-in closet and dual sinks in attached Bathroom. Garage has 6x7 bump in back for storage. A full basement is available. * Base price does not include land

  17. 2025-08-22
    listed $226,000 Active 481-char remark
    Show marketing remark (481 chars)

    THIS IS A SAMPLE PLAN - THIS IS NOT A HOME FOR SALE. Lancia's Berkley I has a Great Room that is open to the Nook and Kitchen with the Kitchen's sink and breakfast bar facing the Great Room. All Bedrooms upstairs and Laundry Room upstairs. 9x9 Loft upstairs perfect for a study or play area. Owner Suite Bedroom has a large walk-in closet and dual sinks in attached Bathroom. Garage has 6x7 bump in back for storage. A full basement is available. * Base price does not include land

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,930
− Mortgage interest
−$19,937
− Property taxes
−$5,339
− Insurance
−$1,780
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,314
− Management
−$2,314
− HOA
−$540
− Depreciation
−$10,354
Taxable loss
−$13,648
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,276
After-tax cash flow
$-3,926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It has the potential for further improvements to enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding a smart home system — Improves convenience and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat — Improves energy efficiency and can increase both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding a smart home system — Improves convenience and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat — Improves energy efficiency and can increase both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest Allen County Schools
NCES district ID
1808250
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$78,952
Composite
49.26/100
National rank
#2027
State rank
#25 of 301 in IN

Livability — Huntertown

Score
70/100
State rank
#159
US rank
#7771

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allen County · 326,813 people
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
Population (ZIP)
21,954
Household income
$81,066
Rent vs Own
15.6% rent · 84.4% own
Severe rent burden
101.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
394,020 people
By 2030
405,128 · +2.8%
By 2040
423,476 · +7.5%
By 2050
435,137 · +10.4%
By 2075
450,293 · +14.3%
By 2100
424,101 · +7.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -217.71%
Current HPI
228.1539
Rent YoY
▲ 7.64%
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $227,600 Zillow
  • 2025-08-22 Listed $226,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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