608 E Queen Creek Ct · Queen Valley, AZ
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This inviting and well-kept 2 bedroom, 2 bath single-wide offers comfort, convenience, and plenty of usable outdoor space. Enjoy parking on both ends of the home, making access easy for you and your guests. 🌿 Outdoor Features Covered front patio perfect for relaxing Large back deck ideal for entertaining Two spacious, well-built storage sheds Extensive concrete work around the home for clean, low-maintenance living Inside and out, this home has been thoughtfully cared for and is ready for its next owner. More Photos coming soon!
Key facts
- 8,349 sq ft lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1982
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Conventional, FHA, and VA financing available
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: 4 open parking spaces
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Fee simple ownership; Gravel road access
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Foam roof; Building area per assessor
- Exterior features: Adjacent to a wash; Gravel/stone front and back
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Has heating; Has cooling; Other cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.6% in Queen Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#322 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Peralta Trail Elementary School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #717 of 1,109 statewide, top 65%, 286 students, 74% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 430 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $135k implies a 193% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.80%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,464
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 E Mary Lou Ct | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 641 (-9%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $179 | 66 |
| 235 W Morris Dr | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 | 721 (+2%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $201 | 65 |
| 77 W Kirk Dr | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 785 (+12%) | 14mo | $149,900 | $191 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,463
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $22,797
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85118
- Home prices YoY
- -32.4%
- Active inventory
- 430
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,480 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $398/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $305
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $382 | -5% $343 | +0% $305 | +5% $267 | +10% $229 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $188 | -5% $247 | +0% $305 | +5% $364 | +10% $422 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $373 | -0.5pp $339 | base $305 | +0.5pp $270 | +1.0pp $235 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-10$135,000 Active
-
2001-04-03soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $398 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $891 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$493/yr (+$41/mo · 123.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,756
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$398
- − Insurance
- −$1,472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,420
- − Management
- −$1,420
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,555
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$373
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,288/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
- NCES district ID
- 0400790
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,930
- Composite
- 15.34/100
- National rank
- #9325
- State rank
- #195 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Queen Valley
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #322
- US rank
- #25478
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Queen Valley, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,932
- Household income
- $86,393
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 160.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Romanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.27%
- Current HPI
- 255.6958
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+193.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $135,000 ARMLS
- 2001-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $398 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…