2300-2304 Gordon St · Brunswick, GA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$61,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR SPECIAL! 2 UNITS FOR THE PRICE OF 1! This listing will not last long! 1 unit is a stand alone 2 bed 1 bath home and the other unit is a duplex unit, potential 1 bed/1bath. All showings must be scheduled through Showing Time. Property being sold AS-IS, NO DISCLOSURES. All offers are due by Sunday March 20, 2022 @ 3pm.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 89 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $61k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.7% vs local median 4.1% in Brunswick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#401 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,538/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1406% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $422 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $61k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.51%
- DSCR
- 3.60
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $41,128
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1929 Lee St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 822 (+6%) | 17mo | $30,000 | $36 | 62 |
| 1923 Lee St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+10%) | 17mo | $7,000 | $8 | 55 |
| 503 K St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+8%) | 17mo | $80,000 | $95 | 43 |
| 1711 Amherst St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+11%) | 15mo | $45,500 | $53 | 41 |
| 2817 Ellis St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 891 (+15%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $67 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $42,251
- Equity at exit
- $9,095
- IRR
- 60.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.67×
- Total profit
- $113,871
- Equity at exit
- $5,274
Cash invested: $17,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31520
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,538 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$320
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $440/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $766
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,250
- Closing costs
- $1,830
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2408 Gordon St Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2328 Union St Brunswick, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,125 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1501 G St Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3518 Hardee Ave Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,550 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3602 Norwich St Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1105 Grant St Brunswick, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,600 | $2.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3742 Ogg Ave Brunswick, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,250 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-03-16status Pending
-
2026-02-16price $61,000
-
2026-02-04price $79,000
-
2025-12-17$89,000 Active
-
2022-04-04soldstatus $31,900 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL! 2 UNITS FOR THE PRICE OF 1! This listing will not last long! 1 unit is a stand alone 2 bed 1 bath home and the other unit is a duplex unit, potential 1 bed/1bath. All showings must be scheduled through Showing Time. Property being sold AS-IS, NO DISCLOSURES. All offers are due by Sunday March 20, 2022 @ 3pm.
-
2022-03-17$27,000 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL! 2 UNITS FOR THE PRICE OF 1! This listing will not last long! 1 unit is a stand alone 2 bed 1 bath home and the other unit is a duplex unit, potential 1 bed/1bath. All showings must be scheduled through Showing Time. Property being sold AS-IS, NO DISCLOSURES. All offers are due by Sunday March 20, 2022 @ 3pm.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $440 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $561 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$121/yr (+$10/mo · 27.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,453
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,417
- − Property taxes
- −$440
- − Insurance
- −$1,102
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,476
- − Management
- −$1,476
- − Depreciation
- −$1,775
- Taxable income
- $8,766
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,104
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,093/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glynn County
- NCES district ID
- 1302400
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,554
- Composite
- 33.83/100
- National rank
- #5359
- State rank
- #47 of 174 in GA
Livability — Brunswick
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #401
- US rank
- #19832
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brunswick, GA
- County
- Glynn County · 69,019 people
- City population
- 51,239
- Metro
- Brunswick, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,313
- Household income
- $40,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1406.0
Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 91,404 people
- By 2030
- 94,806 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 100,060 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 103,258 · +13.0%
- By 2075
- 107,970 · +18.1%
- By 2100
- 103,363 · +13.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Glynn
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -274.83%
- Current HPI
- 180.4581
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.08%
- Metro
- Brunswick, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+125.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Pending — GIAR
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $61,000 GIAR
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $79,000 GIAR
- 2025-12-17 Listed $89,000 GIAR
- 2022-04-04 Sold (MLS) $31,900 GIAR
- 2022-03-17 Listed $27,000 GIAR
Property tax history
-2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $440 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…