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514 Fitzgerald St
D Composite 44.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$153,500

514 Fitzgerald St · West Pensacola, FL 32505
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1942 7,405 sqft lot Est $134k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming coastal cottage, ready for you to move in! Welcome to your beautifully refreshed beach inspired retreat in West Pensacola. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home combines comfort, style and convenience in one inviting package. Step inside to discover a bright, airy interior featuring a fresh boho inspired design and fresh paint throughout creating a relaxed coastal cottage feel. With no carpet anywhere, the home offers easy maintenance and a clean modern look. The thoughtfully designed layout includes: a spacious primary suite with an ensuite full bathroom. Two additional bedrooms and a second nicely updated full bath. A well appointed kitchen, complete with refrigerator and electric stove, a

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1942
  • Listed 36 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located on a county-maintained road; Lot dimensions approx. 125 x 60 (0.17 acre); Directions: West on Jackson St, left on Fitzgerald St; home is on the left
  • HOA & community: No association; If applicable, association fees billed annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with open parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Circuit breakers and copper wiring for electric; Cable available
  • Home design: Resale single-family home; One story; Not attached to another property; Homestead eligible
  • Construction: Frame construction; Off-grade foundation; Shingle roof; Building area approx. 984
  • Exterior features: Back yard with privacy fencing; Central access and interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor (approx. 9 x 13); Second bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12.6 x 10); Third bedroom on the first floor (approx. 9 x 10)
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s) for additional cooling
  • Interior features: Baseboards; Ceiling fan(s); Blinds on windows
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with washer/dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $154k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (7.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (7.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,776 (7.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.05%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,824
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22 Gloucester Ave 0.07mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,041 (+6%) 1mo $125,000 $120 82
3766 Frontera Cir 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,011 (+3%) 8mo $155,000 $153 78
14 Alice St 0.20mi 3/1.0 960 (-2%) 14mo $115,000 $120 75
4130 W Jackson St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,028 (+4%) 5mo $140,000 $136 74
15 Gloucester Ave 0.02mi 3/1.0 900 (-8%) 15mo $148,500 $165 72
124 Alice St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+6%) 12mo $105,000 $101 65
24 Gloucester Ave 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,108 (+13%) 15mo $139,900 $126 59
1005 Grandview St 0.59mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,009 (+2%) 6mo $143,000 $142 58
220 Shadowlawn Ln 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,025 (+4%) 14mo $204,000 $199 57
207 Alton Rd 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+12%) 3mo $210,000 $191 56
3305 W La Rua St 0.55mi 3/1.0 921 (-6%) 9mo $55,000 $60 56
306 Frisco Rd 0.73mi 3/1.0 888 (-10%) 9mo $68,500 $77 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-10,602
Equity at exit
$22,887
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$17,388
Equity at exit
$13,272

Cash invested: $42,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32505

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,428 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$805
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $940/yr
Insurance
$64
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$181

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,199
Max offer price $153,500
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $268 -5% $224 +0% $181 +5% $137 +10% $94
Rent -10% $68 -5% $124 +0% $181 +5% $237 +10% $293
Rate -1.0pp $258 -0.5pp $220 base $181 +0.5pp $141 +1.0pp $100

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,375
Closing costs
$4,605
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,295 $1.26 24d 1 0.27mi
419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 24d 1 0.54mi
1218 N Kirk St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 24d 1 0.65mi
190 N Old Corry Field Rd Pensacola, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 915 $1,174 $1.28 14d 3 0.74mi
4519 Martha Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,600 $1.45 24d 1 0.82mi
3202 W Lee St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 680 $995 $1.46 14d 1 0.92mi
3206 W Lee St Unit A Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,550 $1.94 14d 1 0.93mi
4600 Twin Oaks Dr Pensacola, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 838 $1,499 $1.79 14d 29 1.02mi
406 N S St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 806 $1,295 $1.61 24d 1 1.15mi
101 Vanderbilt Rd Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1104 $1,850 $1.68 21d 1 1.31mi
316 Teakwood Cir Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.5 1024 $1,350 $1.32 14d 1 1.35mi
2303 W Brainerd St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 955 $1,100 $1.15 24d 1 1.35mi
5501 Mayfair Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,295 $1.42 24d 1 1.38mi
5 Elegans Ave Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 788 $1,195 $1.52 24d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $153,500 Pending 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $153,500 Contingent 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $153,500 Contingent 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $153,500 Contingent 32 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $153,500 Contingent 31 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $153,500 Contingent 30 DOM
  7. 2026-05-11
    historical Contingent
  8. 2026-04-30
    listed $153,500 Active
  9. 2024-05-18
    historical
  10. 2024-05-01
    listed $147,000 Active
  11. 2024-01-16
    historical
  12. 2024-01-08
    listed $152,500 Active
  13. 2022-11-07
    soldstatus $142,000
  14. 2022-11-01
    status Pending
  15. 2022-10-28
    soldstatus $142,000 Sold
  16. 2022-09-10
    historical Contingent
  17. 2022-09-09
    status Active
  18. 2022-09-08
    historical
  19. 2022-09-07
    historical Contingent
  20. 2022-09-03
    status Active
  21. 2022-09-03
    price $145,000
  22. 2022-07-30
    historical
  23. 2022-07-06
    historical Contingent
  24. 2022-07-03
    listed $130,000 Active
  25. 2018-04-13
    soldstatus $57,900
  26. 2018-02-05
    listed $59,900
  27. 2017-09-27
    historical
  28. 2017-02-19
    listed $56,700
  29. 2016-11-03
    soldstatus $52,100
  30. 1992-09-01
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$940 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,274 · $106/mo
Expected delta
+$334/yr (+$28/mo · 35.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,133
− Mortgage interest
−$8,598
− Property taxes
−$940
− Insurance
−$768
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,371
− Management
−$1,371
− Depreciation
−$4,465
Taxable loss
−$379
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$91
After-tax cash flow
$2,259/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — West Pensacola

Score
66/100
State rank
#629
US rank
#12275

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Pensacola, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
City population
27,543
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,877
Household income
$44,783
Rent vs Own
47.7% rent · 52.3% own
Severe rent burden
1458.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.10%
Current HPI
205.45
Rent YoY
▲ 4.92%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+802.9% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $153,500 PARMLS
  • 2024-05-18 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2024-05-01 Listed $147,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-01-16 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2024-01-08 Listed $152,500 PARMLS
  • 2022-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-01 Pending PARMLS
  • 2022-10-28 Sold (MLS) $142,000 PARMLS
  • 2022-09-10 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2022-09-09 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2022-09-08 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2022-09-07 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2022-09-03 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2022-09-03 Price Changed $145,000 PARMLS
  • 2022-07-30 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2022-07-06 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2022-07-03 Listed $130,000 PARMLS
  • 2018-04-13 Sold (MLS) $57,900 PARMLS
  • 2018-02-05 Listed $59,900 PARMLS
  • 2017-09-27 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2017-02-19 Listed $56,700 PARMLS
  • 2016-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $52,100 Public Records
  • 1992-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $940 · +21.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…