5055 NE ELLIOTT CIR, #198 Plan · Corvallis, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Knoll Terrace is an all-age Premier Manufactured Home Community in N. Corvallis. Scenic Views and mature trees throughout this beautiful property. Pet friendly community, no breed or weight restrictions. New homes have a two-year monthly space rent incentive. #198 is Move-in Ready, carport awning coming soon. Call Sandra for more information.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Scenic views
- Mature trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.6% in Corvallis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#45 in OR, #1,113 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Corvallis SD 509J (urban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #15 of 183 in OR (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 116 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 317 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 317 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.03%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,402
- List price
- $144,900
- Delta
- 41.50%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5055 NE Elliott Cir #200 | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+3%) | 16mo | $85,000 | $108 | 73 |
| 5055 NE Elliott Cir #204 | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 770 (+1%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $247 | 73 |
| 5055 NE Elliott Cir #151 | 0.19mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 784 (+3%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $134 | 73 |
| 5055 NE Elliott Cir #82 | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-8%) | 12mo | $64,500 | $93 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $668
- Equity at exit
- $21,605
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $46,047
- Equity at exit
- $12,528
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97330
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 229
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,654 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,174/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $305
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3312 NE Lancaster St Unit 1 Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,450 | $1.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $144,900 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $144,900 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $144,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 382-char remark
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $144,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $147,500 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $147,500 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $147,500 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $147,500 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $147,500 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $147,500 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $147,500 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-03-14price $147,500 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Knoll Terrace is an all-age Premier Manufactured Home Community in N. Corvallis. Scenic Views and mature trees throughout this beautiful property. Pet friendly community, no breed or weight restrictions. New homes have a two-year monthly space rent incentive. #198 is Move-in Ready, carport awning coming soon. Call Sandra for more information.
-
2025-08-06$154,900 Active 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Knoll Terrace is an all-age Premier Manufactured Home Community in N. Corvallis. Scenic Views and mature trees throughout this beautiful property. Pet friendly community, no breed or weight restrictions. New homes have a two-year monthly space rent incentive. #198 is Move-in Ready, carport awning coming soon. Call Sandra for more information.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,847
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$2,174
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,588
- − Management
- −$1,588
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable income
- $1,441
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$346
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,317/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a well-maintained exterior and landscaping. A fresh coat of paint and some landscaping maintenance would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Both Trim the bushes — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and property value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Trim the bushes — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and property value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corvallis SD 509J
- NCES district ID
- 4103480
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,820
- Composite
- 48.62/100
- National rank
- #4584
- State rank
- #15 of 183 in OR
Livability — Corvallis
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #1113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Benton County · 98,484 people
- City population
- 67,812
- Metro
- Corvallis, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,878
- Household income
- $70,742
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3416.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,963 people
- By 2030
- 101,658 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 110,157 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 119,275 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 145,172 · +49.7%
- By 2100
- 165,349 · +70.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 3% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.6) · D 68.1% · R 28.5% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.1pp toward D · 2008: 31.5pp · 2024: 39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.6 2020: D+39.7 2016: D+33.8 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+31.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -420.12%
- Current HPI
- 298.7746
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.74%
- Metro
- Corvallis, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-4.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $147,500 Zillow
- 2025-08-06 Listed $154,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…