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61-20 Grand Central Pkwy Unit A1407
F Composite 29.4
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +1.9/30.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,000

61-20 Grand Central Pkwy Unit A1407 · New York, NY 11375
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · Condo · 178 Days on market
Built 1964

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled on the 14th floor of a prestigious high-rise in Forest Hills, NY, lies a truly remarkable apartment that epitomizes modern luxury living. This exquisite residence offers an array of features that harmoniously blend comfort and sophistication, ensuring a lifestyle of unparalleled elegance. Parquet Floors: A Touch of Timeless Elegance As you step into this remarkable apartment, you'll be greeted by the warm embrace of parquet floors that exude a sense of timeless elegance. These intricately patterned wood floors add a touch of sophistication to every corner, creating an inviting ambiance that's both aesthetically pleasing and easy to maintain. Whether you're hosting a gathering or en

Key facts

  • Open views
  • Parquet floors
  • Garage

Tags

PARQUET FLOORSOPEN VIEWSABUNDANT CLOSET SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association amenities include doorman and park; Association fee covers air conditioning, electricity, gas, heat, hot water, sewer, snow removal, trash and water; Additional monthly fee for real estate tax assessment

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned attached parking (1 space)
  • Security: Building security; Key-card entry; Video cameras; Doorman / door person
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Trash collection (public)
  • Home design: Stock cooperative; One level; Located on the 6th floor or higher
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: In-ground pool; Basketball court; Bicycle room; Near public transit, schools, and shops; Park and playground nearby; Tennis courts in community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Tankless water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 rooms total (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Primary bedroom on main level; Walk-in closet(s); Double pane windows; Accessible approach with ramp; Common-area laundry; Cats and dogs allowed (no restrictions)
  • Laundry & utility: Common-area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (0.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 1.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 612 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 47% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $233,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  7. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  8. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  9. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  10. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  11. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  12. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  13. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  14. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
1.82%
Cash-on-cash
-15.97%
DSCR
0.29
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-43.7%
Equity multiple
-0.39×
Total profit
$-103,008
Equity at exit
$39,512
10-year hold
IRR
-43.1%
Equity multiple
-0.97×
Total profit
$-145,992
Equity at exit
$22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11375

Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
612
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,625 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax est. 1.5%
$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
Insurance
$110
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA est. from 5 same-building comps
$1,230
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$551
Net cashflow
$-1,054

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,959
Max offer price $112,512
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
61-20 Grand Central Pkwy Unit Bb706 Forest Hills, NY 2.0 1.0 970 $2,850 $2.94 19d 1 0.02mi
10849 63rd Ave Unit 2C Forest Hills, NY 1.0 600 $1,900 $3.17 24d 1 0.20mi
102-45 62nd Rd Unit 7J Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 770 $2,950 $3.83 24d 1 0.42mi
11105 66th Ave Unit 2B Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 850 $2,600 $3.06 15d 1 0.42mi
11131 66th Ave Unit 3C Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $2,000 $3.33 5d 1 0.45mi
6405 Yellowstone Blvd Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0–1.5 920 $3,075 $3.34 24d 2 0.46mi
6405 Yellowstone Blvd Unit 403S Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 720 $3,100 $4.31 24d 1 0.46mi
54-01 108th St Unit 2R Flushing, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $3,050 $3.05 24d 1 0.47mi
6435 Yellowstone Blvd Unit 6G Forest Hills, NY 1.0 575 $1,900 $3.30 19d 1 0.48mi
10525 65th Ave Unit 4F Forest Hills, NY 2.0 1.0 980 $3,998 $4.08 15d 1 0.49mi
102-06 63rd Ave #2 Queens, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $3,000 $3.00 24d 1 0.51mi
10523 65th Rd Forest Hills, NY 2.0 2.0 760 $3,200 $4.21 24d 1 0.52mi
10533 66th Ave Unit 3F Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 775 $2,200 $2.84 4d 1 0.55mi
10530 66th Ave Unit 3F Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 800 $2,200 $2.75 24d 1 0.57mi
102-39 66th Ave Unit 1 Flushing, NY 2.0 1.0 981 $3,000 $3.06 1d 1 0.60mi
9941 64th Ave Rego Park, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 975 $2,400 $2.46 19d 2 0.60mi
105-25 67th Rd Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $1,800 $2.40 19d 1 0.67mi
6145 98th St Rego Park, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 825 $2,350 $2.85 2d 3 0.68mi
6145 98th St Rego Park, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 825 $2,500 $3.03 24d 3 0.68mi
102-55 67th Rd Unit 2V Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 633 $2,350 $3.71 19d 1 0.73mi
6155 98th St Unit 8B Rego Park, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,500 $3.57 4d 1 0.73mi
102-45 67th Rd Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,350 $3.36 19d 1 0.75mi
9825 64th Rd Unit 8F Rego Park, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $2,400 $2.82 1d 1 0.77mi
6771 Yellowstone Blvd Unit 2R Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,550 $3.64 24d 1 0.78mi
9810 64th Ave Rego Park, NY 1.0 1.0 825 $2,125 $2.58 17d 2 0.78mi
9810 64th Ave Unit 3A Rego Park, NY 1.0 1.0 850 $2,450 $2.88 2d 1 0.79mi
10240 67th Dr Unit 1C Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.5 780 $2,500 $3.21 24d 1 0.80mi
10025 Queens Blvd Unit 3M Forest Hills, NY 2.0 1.0 925 $2,900 $3.14 24d 1 0.80mi
98-81 Queens Blvd Unit 14K Rego Park, NY 2.0 2.0 950 $4,490 $4.73 12d 1 0.82mi
98-81 Queens Blvd Unit 15E Rego Park, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $3,335 $4.76 5d 1 0.82mi
9710 62nd Dr Unit 9F Rego Park, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,700 $3.60 4d 1 0.83mi
9707 63rd Rd Unit 15B Rego Park, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,300 $3.29 2d 1 0.84mi
6125 97th St Unit 4D Rego Park, NY 1.0 650 $2,300 $3.54 4d 1 0.85mi
9725 64th Ave Rego Park, NY 1.0 1.0 760 $1,800 $2.37 19d 1 0.86mi
9876 Queens Blvd Unit 3A Rego Park, NY 1.0 1.0 820 $2,900 $3.54 24d 1 0.87mi
97-12 65th Rd Apt 5D Rego Park, NY 1.0 1.0 800 $3,395 $4.24 5d 1 0.89mi
97-12 65th Rd Unit 4-C Rego Park, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $3,350 $5.15 5d 1 0.90mi
10010 67th Rd Unit 6L Forest Hills, NY 1.0 1.0 845 $2,700 $3.20 22d 1 0.92mi
6945 108th St Unit 3F Forest Hills, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $3,600 $4.00 6d 1 0.97mi
9430 58th Ave Unit 3A Elmhurst, NY 1.0 530 $1,800 $3.40 10d 1 1.00mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $265,000 Active 178 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $265,000 Active 177 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $265,000 Active 175 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $265,000 Active 173 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $265,000 Active 169 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $265,000 Active 168 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $265,000 Active 164 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $265,000 Active 163 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $265,000 Active 161 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $265,000 Active 160 DOM
  11. 2026-03-05
    price $265,000
  12. 2026-02-04
    price $275,000
  13. 2025-12-22
    listed $289,000 Active
  14. 2024-02-01
    historical
  15. 2023-08-13
    listed $329,000 Active
  16. 2019-07-23
    historical
  17. 2018-09-12
    price $399,000
  18. 2018-07-23
    listed $329,000 New
  19. 2018-03-19
    historical
  20. 2017-03-20
    listed $299,000 New
  21. 2014-12-12
    historical
  22. 2014-02-12
    listed $229,000
  23. 2013-06-06
    historical
  24. 2012-12-03
    listed $199,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,504
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$3,975
− Insurance
−$2,122
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,520
− Management
−$2,520
− HOA
−$14,760
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable loss
−$16,947
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,067
After-tax cash flow
$-8,578/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
76,839
Household income
$105,904
Rent vs Own
49.5% rent · 50.5% own
Severe rent burden
4101.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 8% Romanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
43% · China, Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
46% English-only · Chinese 12% Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.54%
Current HPI
224.4903
Rent YoY
▲ 5.30%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $265,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $275,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $289,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-01 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-13 Listed $329,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-23 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-12 Price Changed $399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-23 Listed $329,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-03-19 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-03-20 Listed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-12 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-02-12 Listed $229,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-06-06 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-12-03 Listed $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…