61-20 Grand Central Pkwy Unit A1407 · New York, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +1.9/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled on the 14th floor of a prestigious high-rise in Forest Hills, NY, lies a truly remarkable apartment that epitomizes modern luxury living. This exquisite residence offers an array of features that harmoniously blend comfort and sophistication, ensuring a lifestyle of unparalleled elegance. Parquet Floors: A Touch of Timeless Elegance As you step into this remarkable apartment, you'll be greeted by the warm embrace of parquet floors that exude a sense of timeless elegance. These intricately patterned wood floors add a touch of sophistication to every corner, creating an inviting ambiance that's both aesthetically pleasing and easy to maintain. Whether you're hosting a gathering or en
Key facts
- Open views
- Parquet floors
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association amenities include doorman and park; Association fee covers air conditioning, electricity, gas, heat, hot water, sewer, snow removal, trash and water; Additional monthly fee for real estate tax assessment
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned attached parking (1 space)
- Security: Building security; Key-card entry; Video cameras; Doorman / door person
- Utilities: Public sewer; Trash collection (public)
- Home design: Stock cooperative; One level; Located on the 6th floor or higher
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: In-ground pool; Basketball court; Bicycle room; Near public transit, schools, and shops; Park and playground nearby; Tennis courts in community
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Tankless water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 rooms total (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Primary bedroom on main level; Walk-in closet(s); Double pane windows; Accessible approach with ramp; Common-area laundry; Cats and dogs allowed (no restrictions)
- Laundry & utility: Common-area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (0.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 1.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 612 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 47% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -15.97%
- DSCR
- 0.29
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -43.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.39×
- Total profit
- $-103,008
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -43.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.97×
- Total profit
- $-145,992
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11375
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 612
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,625 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA est. from 5 same-building comps
- −$1,230
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$551
- Net cashflow
- $-1,054
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61-20 Grand Central Pkwy Unit Bb706 Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $2,850 | $2.94 | 19d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 10849 63rd Ave Unit 2C Forest Hills, NY | — | 1.0 | 600 | $1,900 | $3.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 102-45 62nd Rd Unit 7J Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $2,950 | $3.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 11105 66th Ave Unit 2B Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,600 | $3.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 11131 66th Ave Unit 3C Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,000 | $3.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 6405 Yellowstone Blvd Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 920 | $3,075 | $3.34 | 24d | 2 | 0.46mi |
| 6405 Yellowstone Blvd Unit 403S Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $3,100 | $4.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 54-01 108th St Unit 2R Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,050 | $3.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6435 Yellowstone Blvd Unit 6G Forest Hills, NY | — | 1.0 | 575 | $1,900 | $3.30 | 19d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 10525 65th Ave Unit 4F Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $3,998 | $4.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 102-06 63rd Ave #2 Queens, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 10523 65th Rd Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 760 | $3,200 | $4.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 10533 66th Ave Unit 3F Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $2,200 | $2.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 10530 66th Ave Unit 3F Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,200 | $2.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 102-39 66th Ave Unit 1 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $3,000 | $3.06 | 1d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 9941 64th Ave Rego Park, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $2,400 | $2.46 | 19d | 2 | 0.60mi |
| 105-25 67th Rd Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,800 | $2.40 | 19d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6145 98th St Rego Park, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,350 | $2.85 | 2d | 3 | 0.68mi |
| 6145 98th St Rego Park, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,500 | $3.03 | 24d | 3 | 0.68mi |
| 102-55 67th Rd Unit 2V Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $2,350 | $3.71 | 19d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 6155 98th St Unit 8B Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,500 | $3.57 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 102-45 67th Rd Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,350 | $3.36 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9825 64th Rd Unit 8F Rego Park, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,400 | $2.82 | 1d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6771 Yellowstone Blvd Unit 2R Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,550 | $3.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9810 64th Ave Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,125 | $2.58 | 17d | 2 | 0.78mi |
| 9810 64th Ave Unit 3A Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,450 | $2.88 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 10240 67th Dr Unit 1C Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 780 | $2,500 | $3.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 10025 Queens Blvd Unit 3M Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,900 | $3.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 98-81 Queens Blvd Unit 14K Rego Park, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $4,490 | $4.73 | 12d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 98-81 Queens Blvd Unit 15E Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,335 | $4.76 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 9710 62nd Dr Unit 9F Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,700 | $3.60 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 9707 63rd Rd Unit 15B Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6125 97th St Unit 4D Rego Park, NY | — | 1.0 | 650 | $2,300 | $3.54 | 4d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 9725 64th Ave Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,800 | $2.37 | 19d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 9876 Queens Blvd Unit 3A Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $2,900 | $3.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 97-12 65th Rd Apt 5D Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,395 | $4.24 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 97-12 65th Rd Unit 4-C Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $3,350 | $5.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 10010 67th Rd Unit 6L Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $2,700 | $3.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6945 108th St Unit 3F Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,600 | $4.00 | 6d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9430 58th Ave Unit 3A Elmhurst, NY | — | 1.0 | 530 | $1,800 | $3.40 | 10d | 1 | 1.00mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $265,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $265,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-03-05price $265,000
-
2026-02-04price $275,000
-
2025-12-22$289,000 Active
-
2024-02-01historical
-
2023-08-13$329,000 Active
-
2019-07-23historical
-
2018-09-12price $399,000
-
2018-07-23$329,000 New
-
2018-03-19historical
-
2017-03-20$299,000 New
-
2014-12-12historical
-
2014-02-12$229,000
-
2013-06-06historical
-
2012-12-03$199,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$3,975
- − Insurance
- −$2,122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,520
- − Management
- −$2,520
- − HOA
- −$14,760
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$16,947
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,067
- After-tax cash flow
- $-8,578/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,839
- Household income
- $105,904
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4101.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Romanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 43% · China, Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Chinese 12% Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.54%
- Current HPI
- 224.4903
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.30%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+33.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $265,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $275,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-22 Listed $289,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-13 Listed $329,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-23 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-12 Price Changed $399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-23 Listed $329,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-19 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-20 Listed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-12 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-12 Listed $229,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-06 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-12-03 Listed $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…