1308 W 13th Ave · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$68,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity in a growing area of Gary! This two-story home offers 3 bedrooms, all located on the upper level, including a primary bedroom with its own private bathroom. The main floor features a spacious living room, formal dining area, kitchen, and a full bathroom for added convenience. The basement provides even more potential with a third bathroom already in place and plenty of space to expand or customize. This home does need work and is ideal for investors or buyers looking to purchase at a smart price and add their own vision. With Gary continuing to see renewed attention and growth, this is a chance to get in early and be part of the city's transformation. Great potential for t
Key facts
- 3,398 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1915
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Alley access; On-street parking; Garage faces rear; Garage available (1.5 spaces)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Two-story home; Built in 1915
- Construction: Shingle roof; Full unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Neighborhood view; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 2 three-quarter bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: No additional interior features listed; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $708 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,417/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 392% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($476 loan paydown + $675 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 5891% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.06%
- DSCR
- 2.96
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $55,373
- List price
- $68,900
- Delta
- 24.43%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1686 W 10th Pl | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,608 (+8%) | 1mo | $20,900 | $13 | 69 |
| 1942 Mckinley St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,508 (+1%) | 4mo | $35,100 | $23 | 66 |
| 1123 Garfield St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (-13%) | 2mo | $14,900 | $11 | 64 |
| 823 Pierce St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,612 (+8%) | 5mo | $9,000 | $6 | 63 |
| 1361 Harrison Blvd | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,293 (-13%) | 1mo | $30,000 | $23 | 59 |
| 805 Buchanan St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-10%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $74 | 59 |
| 1931 W 14th Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-13%) | 5mo | $12,000 | $9 | 53 |
| 1535 Harrison St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,638 (+10%) | 2mo | $9,000 | $5 | 51 |
| 1209 W 21st Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,326 (-11%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $41 | 47 |
| 1920 Roosevelt Pl | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (+8%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $114 | 45 |
| 740 Hayes St | 0.56mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,674 (+12%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $45 | 45 |
| 553 W 19th Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-10%) | 7mo | $114,900 | $85 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $46,316
- Equity at exit
- $23,448
- IRR
- 48.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.76×
- Total profit
- $111,201
- Equity at exit
- $31,104
Cash invested: $19,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46407
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,417 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$361
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $251/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $708
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,225
- Closing costs
- $2,067
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1572 Polk St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 1d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 803 Pierce St Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 1d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1744 Tyler St Unit 2 Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 840 W 19th Ave Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 19d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 765 Garfield St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1688 | $1,500 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 501 Madison St Gary, IN | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $1,362 | $1.54 | 1d | 11 | 1.03mi |
| 2306 W 5th Ave Gary, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,299 | $1.39 | 1d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 2306 W 5th Ave Apt 3 Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,299 | $1.27 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1531 Taney Pl Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,045 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 317 Garfield St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,495 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2022 Massachusetts St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1329 Delaware St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 672 Connecticut St Apt 1S Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1247 | $875 | $0.70 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2157 Marshall Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,295 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1348 Waite St Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $1,850 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1368 Waite St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2600 Pierce St Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,950 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2061 Maryland St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $950 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2300 Maryland St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 19d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $68,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $68,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $68,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $68,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $68,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $68,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $73,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $73,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $73,900 714-char remark
-
2026-04-24$78,000 Active 714-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $251 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $418 · $35/mo
- Expected delta
- +$167/yr (+$14/mo · 66.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,002
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,859
- − Property taxes
- −$251
- − Insurance
- −$344
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,360
- − Management
- −$1,360
- − Depreciation
- −$2,004
- Taxable income
- $7,822
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,877
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,623/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,577
- Household income
- $28,526
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 392.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.98%
- Current HPI
- 253.2856
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-98.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed for Rent $1,150 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-06-13 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $68,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $73,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Listed $78,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-6.0%/yrLatest (2024): $251 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…