8374 Talbot St Unit 4D · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 52.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
APARTMENT Unique layout with 2 big closets in entrance foyer. Prewar building means 9' ceilings! Massive living room and windowed eat-in kitchen. Renovated windowed bathroom. Huge 16' x 12' bedroom. SW exposure ensures a quiet atmosphere facing away from the street. Immediate subleasing is allowed! *Advertised maintenance is the net effective after receiving a tax abatement. It is calculated as follows: Gross monthly maintenance: $946.80 ? 12 = $11,361.60 Monthly tax abatement credit received May-Dec: ($142.59) x 8 = ($1,140.72) Monthly average maintenance: $10,220.88 / 12 BUILDING 70 residential units. Newly-renovated elevator, on-site laundry room, storage lockers, and a live-in superintendent. NEIGHBORHOOD Close proximity to the E & F subway trains and LIRR train. The neighborhood offers a diverse mix of residential homes and commercial establishments such as a movie theater, pizzerias, supermarkets, coffee shops, bakeries, restaurants, and more. Direct access to Forest Park.
Key facts
- Wall to wall closet
- Gourmet kitchen
- High ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of Talbot Apartment Complex association
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; On-street parking; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 rooms total (entry level: 4)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Galley kitchen layout; Primary bathroom; Quartz/Quartzite counters; Finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($644/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (9.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $234k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $220k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.89%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-42,502
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-47,650
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11415
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,342 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $54
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $233 | -5% $144 | +0% $54 | +5% $-36 | +10% $-126 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-131 | -5% $-39 | +0% $54 | +5% $146 | +10% $239 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $185 | -0.5pp $120 | base $54 | +0.5pp $-14 | +1.0pp $-82 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8340 Austin St Unit 7N Kew Gardens, NY | — | 1.0 | 550 | $2,000 | $3.64 | 26d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 123-40 83rd Ave Unit 2107 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,573 | $3.43 | 26d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 8321 Lefferts Blvd Kew Gardens, NY | — | 1.0 | 550 | $2,100 | $3.82 | 26d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8380 118th St Unit 2P Kew Gardens, NY | — | 1.0 | 550 | $1,900 | $3.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 122-08 Hillside Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,500 | $3.57 | 26d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 8375 117th St Unit 5E Richmond Hill, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,650 | $4.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8375 117th St Richmond Hill, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,695 | $4.15 | 26d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8371 116th St Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $2,725 | $3.96 | 7d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5G Briarwood, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,750 | $4.23 | 26d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 13828 Queens Blvd Unit 2E Briarwood, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 9d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5B Briarwood, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,600 | $5.20 | 26d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 13828 Queens Blvd Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $2,700 | $4.22 | 20d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 12015 Jamaica Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 26d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 14160 84th Rd Unit 2G Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 8455 Daniels St Unit 5H Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 14112 78th Rd Unit 1G Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 26d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 9915 Ascan Ave Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,700 | $4.50 | 26d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7837 Main St Unit 2G Queens, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 26d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 148-16 87th Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7835 147th St Unit 2E Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 8d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 10919 72nd Rd Unit 6F Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $3,485 | $5.01 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 110-19 72nd Rd Unit 1A Forest Hills, NY | — | 1.0 | 500 | $2,395 | $4.79 | 26d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 11019 72nd Rd Unit 1B Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $3,200 | $4.27 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10825 72nd Ave Forest Hills, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,500 | $5.00 | 6d | 2 | 1.13mi |
| 15038 Union Tpke Unit 8L Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 415 | $2,100 | $5.06 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 15038 Union Tpke Unit 8L Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 489 | $2,100 | $4.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 152-18 Union Tpke Unit 8S Queens, NY | — | 1.0 | 496 | $1,950 | $3.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 14836 89th Ave Unit 3C Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $2,900 | $4.31 | 26d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 14725 94th Ave Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $2,825 | $5.38 | 6d | 3 | 1.29mi |
| 10740 70th Rd Unit 7F Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,650 | $3.53 | 26d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 89-15 Parsons Blvd Unit W6B Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,100 | $2.90 | 20d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $260,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $260,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $260,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $260,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $260,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $260,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $260,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 669-char remark
-
2026-06-08$260,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,109
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$3,900
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,249
- − Management
- −$2,249
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$3,716
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$892
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,536/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,154
- Household income
- $86,394
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1615.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 25% Asian 20% Two or more races 11% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 5% Scandinavian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 38% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.23%
- Current HPI
- 184.7643
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.35%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+24.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $260,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-18 Sold (MLS) $220,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-23 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-27 Listed $209,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…