516 E 5th St · Hulbert, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
If you are an investor searching for your next rental or flip, this is the opportunity you've been waiting for! This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers great potential with an inviting eat-in kitchen and a functional layout ready for your personal touch. Situated on a manageable lot, the property also features a small storage shed out back. Perfect for tools, lawn equipment, or extra storage. Whether you're looking to renovate and resell, add to your rental portfolio, or help a first-time buyer step into homeownership, this property checks all the boxes. With endless possibilities and solid potential, this little cutie is ready for its next chapter. Don't miss out!
Key facts
- Eat-in kitchen
- Functional layout
- Small storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: $425 annual tax (2025)
Exterior
- Parking: Dirt driveway parking
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer; Phone available
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Built with wood siding and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Satellite dish; Porch; Storage structure; Partial fencing; Mature trees; Views toward Fort Gibson Lake
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Stove; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; Accessible doors; Laminate counters
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($969 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#261 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hulbert (rural): math 14% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #229 of 270 in OK (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
- Cherokee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.12%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $44,198
- Equity at exit
- $54,375
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.55×
- Total profit
- $116,566
- Equity at exit
- $105,541
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74441
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $969 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $247
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $299 | -5% $273 | +0% $247 | +5% $221 | +10% $195 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $171 | -5% $209 | +0% $247 | +5% $285 | +10% $324 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $285 | -0.5pp $266 | base $247 | +0.5pp $228 | +1.0pp $208 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-03-26$75,000 Active
-
2026-03-16historical
-
2025-11-21price $74,000
-
2025-09-17$59,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,626
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$930
- − Management
- −$930
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $1,883
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$452
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This charming 3-bedroom home offers great potential for renovation and rental. It's in fair condition with moderate repairs needed, particularly in the kitchen and bathroom. Upgrades in these areas would significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — Worn and dated
- Moderate kitchen appliances — Dated and possibly inefficient
- Minor bathroom fixtures — Simple, possibly outdated
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets and appliances — Improves functionality and aesthetics
- Both Upgrade bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and first impression
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · Worn and dated | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen appliances · Dated and possibly inefficient | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · Simple, possibly outdated | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets and appliances — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Upgrade bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and first impression ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hulbert
- NCES district ID
- 4015240
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,360
- Composite
- 12.43/100
- National rank
- #9629
- State rank
- #229 of 270 in OK
Livability — Hulbert
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #261
- US rank
- #17018
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hulbert, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,700
Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,747 people
- By 2030
- 53,481 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 56,503 · +9.2%
- By 2050
- 59,370 · +14.7%
- By 2075
- 67,178 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 70,900 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Native American 35% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 32.7% · R 65.3% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.2pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.49%
- Current HPI
- 300.784
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+27.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-26 Listed $75,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-16 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $74,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-09-17 Listed $59,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…