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Spruce Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 44.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$262,900

Spruce Plan · Denham Springs, LA 70706
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,856 sqft · SingleFamily · 595 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Embark on a new adventure in our Spruce floorplan, featured in Whispering Springs, a new home community in Denham Springs, Louisiana. Inside this 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, you'll find 1,856 square feet of comfortable living. As you walk into this home, you'll be greeted by the first set of bedrooms along with the guest bathroom. Traveling down the hallway you'll see what open concept was meant to be with the kitchen, living and dining area all within reach of each other while being separate enough for individuality. Shaker-style cabinets and gooseneck pulldown faucets adorn the kitchen. The stainless-steel Whirlpool appliances, stove, microwave hood, dishwasher, and single basin under-mount sink, all paired with 3 cm granite countertops, will delight the family chef. The laundry room is conveniently placed across from the dining room for quick access. Situated beside the kitchen, the dining room and living room across from it ensure that everyone can stay engaged in the action, regardless of their location. Behind the dining room lies another hallway with another set of bedrooms. Each bedroom are carpeted, and has an adequate closet, allowing for space and storage throughout the home. The primary bathroom is large and contains an en suite with a massive walk-in closet, which houses the linins closet. The primary bathroom has dual vanities, a separate tub, and shower, along with a separate water closet.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 594 days

Tags

SHAKER-STYLE CABINETSGOOSENECK PULLDOWN FAUCETS3 CM GRANITE COUNTERTOPSMASSIVE WALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $262,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $271,811.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $263k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($405/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (7.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.5% in Denham Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#29 in LA, #4,939 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Livingston Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 98 in LA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 418 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 794 units permitted in Livingston Parish in 2024 (99 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Livingston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 595 days — a 12% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $231,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 595 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.53%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$271,811
List price
$262,900
Delta
-3.28%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35468 Forest Manor Ave 0.21mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,825 (-2%) 2mo $276,900 $152 81
35471 Forest Manor Ave 0.24mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,825 (-2%) 0mo $271,900 $149 81
35456 Forest Manor Ave 0.21mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,825 (-2%) 2mo $272,900 $150 81
35477 Forest Manor Ave 0.24mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,825 (-2%) 1mo $274,725 $151 80
35435 Forest Manor Ave 0.24mi 5/3.0 2,022 (+9%) 2mo $286,900 $142 68
35453 Forest Manor Ave 0.24mi 5/3.0 2,022 (+9%) 2mo $290,900 $144 68
35486 Forest Manor Ave 0.21mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,658 (-11%) 1mo $265,900 $160 66
35444 Forest Manor Ave 0.21mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,051 (+10%) 2mo $285,900 $139 66
35474 Forest Manor Ave 0.21mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,658 (-11%) 2mo $260,900 $157 66
35405 Forest Manor Ave 0.24mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,658 (-11%) 1mo $261,900 $158 65
35488 Grovemont Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,836 (-1%) 1mo $265,000 $144 60
35602 Grovemont Dr 0.62mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,087 (+12%) 2mo $268,000 $128 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-41,859
Equity at exit
$40,528
10-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-33,533
Equity at exit
$23,501

Cash invested: $76,107 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
27 active · 23 under contract
Months of supply
4.4 mo (23%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$259,900 ($139/sqft)
Median days on market
93 d
This list price
56% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+5.0% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 70706

Active inventory
418
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,420 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,425
Tax est. 1.5%
$340 /mo · $4,077/yr
Insurance
$113
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$508
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,378
Max offer price $271,811
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $222 -5% $128 +0% $34 +5% $-60 +10% $-154
Rent -10% $-157 -5% $-62 +0% $34 +5% $129 +10% $225
Rate -1.0pp $171 -0.5pp $103 base $34 +0.5pp $-37 +1.0pp $-108

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,953
Closing costs
$8,154
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
35648 Avery Dr Denham Springs, LA 5.0 2.0 2077 $2,500 $1.20 68d 1 0.10mi
35517 Grovemont Dr Denham Springs, LA 4.0 2.0 1836 $1,950 $1.06 15d 1 0.67mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $262,900 Active 595 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $262,900 Active 594 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $262,900 Active 593 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $262,900 Active 592 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $262,900 Active 591 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $262,900 Active 590 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $262,900 Active 587 DOM
  8. 2026-07-29
    days on market $262,900 Active 585 DOM
  9. 2026-07-27
    days on market $262,900 Active 583 DOM
  10. 2026-07-25
    days on market $262,900 Active 581 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $262,900 Active 579 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $262,900 Active 578 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $262,900 Active 577 DOM
  14. 2026-07-18
    days on market $262,900 Active 574 DOM
  15. 2026-07-16
    days on market $262,900 Active 572 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $262,900 Active 571 DOM
  17. 2026-07-14
    days on market $262,900 Active 570 DOM
  18. 2026-07-13
    days on market $262,900 Active 569 DOM
  19. 2026-07-12
    days on market $262,900 Active 568 DOM
  20. 2026-07-11
    days on market $262,900 Active 567 DOM
  21. 2026-07-10
    days on market $262,900 Active 566 DOM
  22. 2026-07-09
    days on market $262,900 Active 565 DOM
  23. 2026-07-07
    days on market $262,900 Active 563 DOM
  24. 2026-07-07
    days on market $262,900 Active 562 DOM
  25. 2026-07-05
    days on market $262,900 Active 561 DOM
  26. 2026-07-04
    days on market $262,900 Active 560 DOM
  27. 2026-07-03
    days on market $262,900 Active 559 DOM
  28. 2026-07-02
    days on market $262,900 Active 558 DOM
  29. 2026-07-01
    days on market $262,900 Active 557 DOM
  30. 2026-06-30
    days on market $262,900 Active 556 DOM
  31. 2026-06-29
    days on market $262,900 Active 555 DOM
  32. 2026-06-28
    days on market $262,900 Active 554 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $262,900 Active 553 DOM
  34. 2026-06-27
    days on market $262,900 Active 552 DOM
  35. 2026-06-25
    days on market $262,900 Active 550 DOM
  36. 2026-06-23
    days on market $262,900 Active 548 DOM
  37. 2026-06-22
    days on market $262,900 Active 547 DOM
  38. 2026-06-18
    days on market $262,900 Active 544 DOM
  39. 2026-06-17
    days on market $262,900 Active 543 DOM
  40. 2026-06-16
    days on market $262,900 Active 542 DOM
  41. 2026-06-15
    days on market $262,900 Active 541 DOM
  42. 2026-06-14
    days on market $262,900 Active 539 DOM
  43. 2026-06-13
    days on market $262,900 Active 538 DOM
  44. 2026-06-10
    days on market $262,900 Active 536 DOM
  45. 2026-06-08
    days on market $262,900 Active 534 DOM
  46. 2026-06-07
    days on market $262,900 Active 533 DOM
  47. 2026-06-03
    days on market $262,900 Active 529 DOM
  48. 2026-06-02
    days on market $262,900 Active 528 DOM
  49. 2026-06-01
    days on market $262,900 Active 527 DOM
  50. 2026-05-31
    days on market $262,900 Active 526 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,046
− Mortgage interest
−$15,226
− Property taxes
−$4,077
− Insurance
−$1,359
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,324
− Management
−$2,324
− Depreciation
−$7,907
Taxable loss
−$4,171
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,001
After-tax cash flow
$1,406/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This Spruce Plan home in Whispering Springs, Denham Springs, Louisiana, is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern open-concept layout and is move-in ready.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal

Schools (NCES district)

District
Livingston Parish
NCES district ID
2201020
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$56,755
Composite
40.07/100
National rank
#3811
State rank
#13 of 98 in LA
B Composite livability gradescore 74/100

Livability — Denham Springs

Score
74/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#4939

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Livingston · 158,511 people
City population
63,575
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
Population (ZIP)
22,621
Household income
$94,768
Rent vs Own
8.4% rent · 91.6% own
Severe rent burden
8% of renters

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
158,511 people
By 2030
168,241 · +6.1%
By 2040
186,252 · +17.5%
By 2050
201,516 · +27.1%
By 2075
231,217 · +45.9%
By 2100
241,697 · +52.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.5) · D 15.1% · R 83.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -71.9pp · 2024: -68.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.5 2020: R+70.0 2016: R+72.5 2012: R+70.4 2008: R+71.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-25 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-05-28 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-10-25 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-10-25 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-10-25 Listed $262,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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