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D Composite 42.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$20,000

15471 Braile St · Detroit, MI 48223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 921 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1948 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this hidden gem, a fantastic investment opportunity for those with a keen eye for potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home holds the promise of creating something truly special. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this property presents an ideal canvas for investors looking to put their creative touch to work.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1948

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $819 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Cap rate 55.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $20,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.06%
Cap rate
55.46%
Cash-on-cash
175.60%
DSCR
8.81
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$42,366
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15361 Patton St 0.12mi 3/1.0 950 (+3%) 8mo $80,000 $84 83
15703 Fielding St 0.13mi 3/1.0 871 (-5%) 9mo $40,000 $46 77
15717 Fielding St 0.14mi 3/1.5 867 (-6%) 9mo $95,000 $110 74
15366 Patton St 0.13mi 3/1.0 809 (-12%) 7mo $85,000 $105 68
15835 Burgess St 0.53mi 3/1.0 918 (-0%) 9mo $93,000 $101 68
16115 Burt Rd 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 859 (-7%) 5mo $57,000 $66 64
15859 Braile St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,005 (+9%) 11mo $40,000 $40 60
15421 Westbrook St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 815 (-12%) 5mo $31,000 $38 58
20511 Lyndon St 0.72mi 3/1.0 896 (-3%) 8mo $40,000 $45 55
15363 Plainview Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-13%) 5mo $27,000 $34 47
15411 Lahser Rd 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,025 (+11%) 4mo $42,000 $41 45
14825 Chapel St 0.66mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,058 (+15%) 11mo $30,000 $28 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.74×
Total profit
$48,969
Equity at exit
$2,982
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.63×
Total profit
$109,920
Equity at exit
$1,729

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48223

Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,212 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax est. 1.5%
$25 /mo · $300/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$819

Break-even live

Break-even rent $175
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 27%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15340 Braile St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 883 $1,000 $1.13 4d 1 0.10mi
15318 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,400 $1.56 43d 1 0.27mi
15712 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 43d 1 0.41mi
15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 653 $875 $1.34 21d 1 0.42mi
15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 653 $875 $1.34 24d 1 0.42mi
15519 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,396 $1.55 16d 1 0.43mi
16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 14d 1 0.44mi
16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1101 $1,250 $1.14 43d 1 0.64mi
14541 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 797 $1,300 $1.63 16d 1 0.66mi
16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 43d 1 0.85mi
19431 Lyndon St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 43d 1 0.91mi
14258 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 918 $1,200 $1.31 43d 1 0.96mi
15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,325 $1.46 4d 1 0.98mi
14177 Bentler St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 43d 1 1.00mi
14347 Westwood St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 706 $1,200 $1.70 24d 1 1.00mi
22241 Lyndon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,100 $1.15 16d 1 1.04mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 2 1.04mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $838 $1.20 24d 2 1.04mi
17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 16d 1 1.06mi
17270 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 43d 1 1.07mi
21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,394 $1.34 16d 1 1.25mi
18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 728 $1,250 $1.72 24d 1 1.31mi
21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,400 $1.36 16d 1 1.35mi
13500 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,200 $1.41 43d 1 1.35mi
17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1040 $1,125 $1.08 24d 1 1.35mi
18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,150 $1.08 16d 1 1.36mi
14280 Bramell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 16d 1 1.36mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 24d 1 1.39mi
18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 917 $1,100 $1.20 24d 1 1.40mi
18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 16d 1 1.45mi
12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $1,050 $1.43 43d 1 1.45mi
21434 Karl St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2024-12-17
    status Pending
  2. 2023-08-28
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Welcome to this hidden gem, a fantastic investment opportunity for those with a keen eye for potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home holds the promise of creating something truly special. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this property presents an ideal canvas for investors looking to put their creative touch to work.

  3. 2023-08-28
    status Pending 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Welcome to this hidden gem, a fantastic investment opportunity for those with a keen eye for potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home holds the promise of creating something truly special. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this property presents an ideal canvas for investors looking to put their creative touch to work.

  4. 2023-08-22
    listed $20,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Welcome to this hidden gem, a fantastic investment opportunity for those with a keen eye for potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home holds the promise of creating something truly special. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this property presents an ideal canvas for investors looking to put their creative touch to work.

  5. 2023-08-22
    listed $20,000 Active 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Welcome to this hidden gem, a fantastic investment opportunity for those with a keen eye for potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home holds the promise of creating something truly special. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this property presents an ideal canvas for investors looking to put their creative touch to work.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,547
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$300
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,164
− Management
−$1,164
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$10,117
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,428
After-tax cash flow
$7,405/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,622
Household income
$44,512
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
1151.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -303.41%
Current HPI
138.2779
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2024-12-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-08-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-08-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-22 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-22 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,735 · +82.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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