15471 Braile St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this hidden gem, a fantastic investment opportunity for those with a keen eye for potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home holds the promise of creating something truly special. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this property presents an ideal canvas for investors looking to put their creative touch to work.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1948
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $819 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
- Cap rate 55.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 55.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 175.60%
- DSCR
- 8.81
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $42,366
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15361 Patton St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (+3%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $84 | 83 |
| 15703 Fielding St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 871 (-5%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $46 | 77 |
| 15717 Fielding St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 867 (-6%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $110 | 74 |
| 15366 Patton St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 809 (-12%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $105 | 68 |
| 15835 Burgess St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (-0%) | 9mo | $93,000 | $101 | 68 |
| 16115 Burt Rd | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 859 (-7%) | 5mo | $57,000 | $66 | 64 |
| 15859 Braile St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,005 (+9%) | 11mo | $40,000 | $40 | 60 |
| 15421 Westbrook St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 815 (-12%) | 5mo | $31,000 | $38 | 58 |
| 20511 Lyndon St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 896 (-3%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $45 | 55 |
| 15363 Plainview Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-13%) | 5mo | $27,000 | $34 | 47 |
| 15411 Lahser Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,025 (+11%) | 4mo | $42,000 | $41 | 45 |
| 14825 Chapel St | 0.66mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,058 (+15%) | 11mo | $30,000 | $28 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.74×
- Total profit
- $48,969
- Equity at exit
- $2,982
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.63×
- Total profit
- $109,920
- Equity at exit
- $1,729
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48223
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,212 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $300/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $819
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15340 Braile St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 15318 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 15712 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $875 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $875 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 15519 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,396 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1101 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 14541 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,300 | $1.63 | 16d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 19431 Lyndon St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 14258 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,200 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,325 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 14177 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 14347 Westwood St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,200 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 22241 Lyndon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 43d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $838 | $1.20 | 24d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 17270 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $1,394 | $1.34 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,400 | $1.36 | 16d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 13500 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,125 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 14280 Bramell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 18205 Stout St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,078 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 21434 Karl St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2024-12-17status Pending
-
2023-08-28status Pending
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Welcome to this hidden gem, a fantastic investment opportunity for those with a keen eye for potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home holds the promise of creating something truly special. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this property presents an ideal canvas for investors looking to put their creative touch to work.
-
2023-08-28status Pending 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Welcome to this hidden gem, a fantastic investment opportunity for those with a keen eye for potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home holds the promise of creating something truly special. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this property presents an ideal canvas for investors looking to put their creative touch to work.
-
2023-08-22$20,000 Active
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Welcome to this hidden gem, a fantastic investment opportunity for those with a keen eye for potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home holds the promise of creating something truly special. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this property presents an ideal canvas for investors looking to put their creative touch to work.
-
2023-08-22$20,000 Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Welcome to this hidden gem, a fantastic investment opportunity for those with a keen eye for potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home holds the promise of creating something truly special. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood, this property presents an ideal canvas for investors looking to put their creative touch to work.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,547
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$300
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,164
- − Management
- −$1,164
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $10,117
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,428
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,405/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,622
- Household income
- $44,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1151.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.41%
- Current HPI
- 138.2779
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-08-28 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-08-28 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-22 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-22 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,735 · +82.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…