607 2nd St · San Augustine, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3 bedroom 1 frame home on a slab slab sitting on a spacious corner lot. Conveniently located in downtown San Augustine
Key facts
- Corner lot
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 2005
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($884 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#579 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- San Augustine ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #786 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in San Augustine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
- San Augustine County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 260 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 260 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.62%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $20,478
- Equity at exit
- $31,693
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.07×
- Total profit
- $55,830
- Equity at exit
- $50,854
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75972
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $884 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,032/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $161
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $198 | -5% $180 | +0% $161 | +5% $143 | +10% $124 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $91 | -5% $126 | +0% $161 | +5% $196 | +10% $231 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $194 | -0.5pp $178 | base $161 | +0.5pp $144 | +1.0pp $127 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2025-11-04status Active 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom 1 frame home on a slab slab sitting on a spacious corner lot. Conveniently located in downtown San Augustine
-
2025-10-31status Pending 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom 1 frame home on a slab slab sitting on a spacious corner lot. Conveniently located in downtown San Augustine
-
2025-09-28$65,000 Active 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom 1 frame home on a slab slab sitting on a spacious corner lot. Conveniently located in downtown San Augustine
-
2023-07-21soldstatus
-
2022-04-18soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,032 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,032 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,608
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$2,032
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$849
- − Management
- −$849
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,022
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$245
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,688/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Augustine ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838760
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,460
- Composite
- 15.61/100
- National rank
- #9291
- State rank
- #786 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Augustine
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #579
- US rank
- #11071
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Augustine, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,896
Population outlook (San Augustine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,544 people
- By 2030
- 7,094 · -6.0%
- By 2040
- 6,327 · -16.1%
- By 2050
- 5,645 · -25.2%
- By 2075
- 4,447 · -41.1%
- By 2100
- 3,299 · -56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · San Augustine
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.3) · D 21.6% · R 77.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.0pp toward R · 2008: -27.3pp · 2024: -56.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.3 2020: R+50.6 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+27.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.67%
- Current HPI
- 116.5112
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-04 Relisted — Deep East Texas MLS
- 2025-10-31 Pending — Deep East Texas MLS
- 2025-09-28 Listed $65,000 Deep East Texas MLS
- 2023-07-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-04-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,032 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…