712-1/2 N 19th St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bank owned! Spaciously laid out home in nicer area north of State St. Large rooms, fenced yard. Home does need work but is a lot of house for the asking price. Sold as is. Combo lock box. Call for code and appointment. All offers require special instructions & addendums. Download details on CPML?s property disclosure web site.
Key facts
- Built 1899
- Listed 73 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water; Natural gas heating
- Home design: End of row townhouse; Fee simple ownership; Estimated year built
- Construction: Frame construction; Stone and other foundation; Above-grade other structures
- Exterior features: Downtown location; Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric oven/range
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Sun/Florida room; 9 total rooms; Basement (other type)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 6.6% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,645/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1014% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.30%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,610
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1824 State St | 0.12mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,828 (+6%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $46 | 78 |
| 1103 N 16th St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,662 (-4%) | 2mo | $172,500 | $104 | 69 |
| 1828 State St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,496 (-14%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $84 | 66 |
| 1246 Walnut St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 | 1,775 (+3%) | 3mo | $108,000 | $61 | 65 |
| 1719 Cumberland St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,909 (+10%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $105 | 64 |
| 1815 Holly St | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 | 1,700 (-2%) | 2mo | $142,000 | $84 | 61 |
| 1120 N 15th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,578 (-9%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $105 | 60 |
| 1937 Zarker St | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 | 1,568 (-9%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $80 | 59 |
| 1610 Boas St | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,919 (+11%) | 2mo | $222,100 | $116 | 56 |
| 137 Hoerner St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,532 (-11%) | 2mo | $148,000 | $97 | 54 |
| 1958 Bellevue Rd | 0.59mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,935 (+12%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $90 | 46 |
| 1209 Market St | 0.73mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,902 (+10%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $76 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $7,468
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $73,742
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17103
- Rents YoY
- 9.1%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,645 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,054/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $336
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 52 N 18th St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 66 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $2,195 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1517 Walnut St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,150 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 14 S 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2136 | $1,695 | $0.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 29 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1285 | $1,895 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 52 Balm St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1950 | $1,495 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1251 Bailey St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 21 Summit St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1423 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2016 Swatara St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,175 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 337 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,195 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1610 Hunter St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1776 | $1,450 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 349 S 14th St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1544 | $1,450 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1139 Mulberry St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,185 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2121 Kensington St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 331 Hummel St Unit B Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1590 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1414 Berryhill St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,700 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1615 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1429 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1254 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $3,000 | $2.09 | 13d | 10 | 1.24mi |
| 644 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,295 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 640 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,650 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 649 S 23rd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,465 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 649 S 23rd St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,465 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 200 S Court St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 950 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 13d | 14 | 1.30mi |
| 1728 Paxton St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,295 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,795 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,495 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1841 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1376 | $1,399 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-27price $139,900
-
2026-03-24price $154,900
-
2026-02-18$159,900 Active
-
2026-02-16historical $159,900
-
2024-10-21historical
-
2024-05-08$155,000 Active
-
2024-04-10historical $1,400
-
2024-03-13$1,400
-
2022-06-13soldstatus $149,900
-
2005-01-12soldstatus $68,000
-
2004-10-29soldstatus $25,600
-
2004-10-27soldstatus $25,600 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Bank owned! Spaciously laid out home in nicer area north of State St. Large rooms, fenced yard. Home does need work but is a lot of house for the asking price. Sold as is. Combo lock box. Call for code and appointment. All offers require special instructions & addendums. Download details on CPML?s property disclosure web site.
-
2004-05-25$24,900 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Bank owned! Spaciously laid out home in nicer area north of State St. Large rooms, fenced yard. Home does need work but is a lot of house for the asking price. Sold as is. Combo lock box. Call for code and appointment. All offers require special instructions & addendums. Download details on CPML?s property disclosure web site.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,054 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,132 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- +$78/yr (+$7/mo · 3.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,738
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,054
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,579
- − Management
- −$1,579
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $1,920
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$461
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,575/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,115
- Household income
- $39,825
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1014.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 18% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.52%
- Current HPI
- 211.455
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.09%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+461.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $154,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-16 Coming Soon $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-05-08 Listed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,400 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $1,400 APPFOLIO
- 2022-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $149,900 Public Records
- 2005-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,600 Public Records
- 2004-10-27 Sold (MLS) $25,600 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-05-25 Listed $24,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,054 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…