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16790 NE 14th Ave #215
B Composite 70.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

16790 NE 14th Ave #215 · North Miami Beach, FL 33162
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 883 sqft · Condo public records · 205 Days on market
Built 1965 $778/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Furnished Large 1BD / 1BA in Mar-Len Gardens – 55+ Spacious larger-model 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom unit, fully furnished and featuring central A/C, generous closet space, and a large screened balcony. Located in the gated Mar-Len Gardens community, just 3 miles from the beach. Maintenance includes property taxes and land lease. Cash only. HOPA verified 55+ community with resort-style amenities: 2 pools, clubhouse, gym, rooftop sundeck, billiards room, shuffleboard and active social lifestyle. Rental policy: No rentals first year. Thereafter, rental allowed once per year for up to 90 days. Perfect for seasonal living or a peaceful primary residence.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Central a/c
  • 2 pools

Tags

CENTRAL A/CGENEROUS CLOSET SPACELARGE SCREENED BALCONYGATED COMMUNITYRESORT-STYLE AMENITIES2 POOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease considered; No pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes insurance, parking, pest control, pool(s), water; Association amenities: billiard room, clubhouse, fitness center, laundry, pickleball, pool, sauna, elevators; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 covered garage space; Open parking (one space)
  • Security: Secured garage/parking; Fire sprinkler system
  • Home design: Attached property; 3 total stories; Entry on level 2; Effective year built
  • Construction: Block construction
  • Exterior features: Association pool (heated); Fire sprinkler system; Secured garage/parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Elevator; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.5% vs local median 5.2% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 284 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,304/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 2509% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 4344% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $80k implies a 433% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.13%
Cap rate
26.55%
Cash-on-cash
72.33%
DSCR
4.22
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.5%
Equity multiple
3.85×
Total profit
$63,830
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
70.4%
Equity multiple
6.84×
Total profit
$130,860
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33162

Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
284
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,304 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $348/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$778
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$694
Net cashflow
$1,350

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,595
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$778 · $9,336/yr
Likely covers
poolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 205 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 204 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 203 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 202 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 200 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 196 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 195 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 194 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 191 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 190 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 189 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 188 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 187 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    price $80,000
  15. 2026-03-28
    historical $1,800
  16. 2026-02-01
    listed $1,800
  17. 2026-01-09
    historical $1,800
  18. 2026-01-01
    listed $1,800
  19. 2025-12-21
    historical $1,800
  20. 2025-12-18
    listed $1,800
  21. 2025-11-29
    historical $1,800
  22. 2025-11-26
    listed $1,800
  23. 2025-11-24
    listed $85,000 Active
  24. 2025-11-22
    historical
  25. 2025-10-07
    price $87,500
  26. 2025-10-01
    price $89,500
  27. 2025-10-01
    status Active
  28. 2025-09-30
    historical
  29. 2025-08-09
    price $89,900
  30. 2025-07-31
    price $95,500
  31. 2025-02-26
    price $99,000
  32. 2025-01-22
    listed $105,000 Active
  33. 2023-10-23
    historical
  34. 2023-10-05
    listed $129,900 Active
  35. 2017-05-04
    historical
  36. 2016-05-04
    listed $65,900
  37. 2013-02-12
    historical
  38. 2012-02-12
    listed $56,500
  39. 1983-05-01
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$348 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$664 · $55/mo
Expected delta
+$316/yr (+$26/mo · 90.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,645
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$348
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,172
− Management
−$3,172
− HOA
−$9,336
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$16,410
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,938
After-tax cash flow
$12,263/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Miami Beach

Score
82/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#1177

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
90,324
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
46,606
Household income
$60,692
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
2509.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% White 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 7% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 31% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
29% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 35% Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -445.57%
Current HPI
596.6178
Rent YoY
▼ -1.59%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+433.3% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $80,000 MARMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Rental Removed $1,800 MARMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listed for Rent $1,800 MARMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Rental Removed $1,800 MARMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listed for Rent $1,800 MARMLS
  • 2025-12-21 Rental Removed $1,800 MARMLS
  • 2025-12-18 Listed for Rent $1,800 MARMLS
  • 2025-11-29 Rental Removed $1,800 MARMLS
  • 2025-11-26 Listed for Rent $1,800 MARMLS
  • 2025-11-24 Listed $85,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-11-22 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $87,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $89,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-10-01 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-08-09 Price Changed $89,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $95,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-02-26 Price Changed $99,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-01-22 Listed $105,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2023-10-23 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2023-10-05 Listed $129,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2017-05-04 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2016-05-04 Listed $65,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2013-02-12 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2012-02-12 Listed $56,500 Beaches MLS
  • 1983-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $348 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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