506 Cass St · Adair, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to small-town charm in the heart of Adair! This inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath, two-story home offers 1,196 sq ft of comfortable living. Enjoy a spacious great room with cozy carpet, a bright kitchen and dining area, and stylish LVP flooring with freshly painted white trim throughout. Two bedrooms and a full bath are conveniently located on the main floor, with an additional bedroom upstairs for added privacy. The first-floor, side-by-side washer and dryer add everyday convenience. Unwind on the screened porch or take advantage of the 2-car detached garage with a bonus shop area—perfect for hobbies or extra storage. A great opportunity to enjoy quiet, small-town living!
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Dining area
- Bonus shop area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($762/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (16.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $91k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#271 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Adair-Casey Community School District (rural): math 85% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #52 of 330 in IA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
- Adair County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.50%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,876
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -30.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 6th St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-2%) | 11mo | $124,000 | $105 | 79 |
| 305 6th St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,112 (-7%) | 9mo | $179,900 | $162 | 75 |
| 904 Guthrie St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,118 (-6%) | 7mo | $163,000 | $146 | 68 |
| 1007 Madison Dr | 0.36mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,364 (+14%) | 18mo | $355,000 | $260 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $54,799
- Equity at exit
- $89,086
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.13×
- Total profit
- $156,447
- Equity at exit
- $183,180
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50002
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $907 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $430/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$190
- Net cashflow
- $64
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-04-06price $109,000 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to small-town charm in the heart of Adair! This inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath, two-story home offers 1,196 sq ft of comfortable living. Enjoy a spacious great room with cozy carpet, a bright kitchen and dining area, and stylish LVP flooring with freshly painted white trim throughout. Two bedrooms and a full bath are conveniently located on the main floor, with an additional bedroom upstairs for added privacy. The first-floor, side-by-side washer and dryer add everyday convenience. Unwind on the screened porch or take advantage of the 2-car detached garage with a bonus shop area—perfect for hobbies or extra storage. A great opportunity to enjoy quiet, small-town living!
-
2026-02-19price $117,500 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to small-town charm in the heart of Adair! This inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath, two-story home offers 1,196 sq ft of comfortable living. Enjoy a spacious great room with cozy carpet, a bright kitchen and dining area, and stylish LVP flooring with freshly painted white trim throughout. Two bedrooms and a full bath are conveniently located on the main floor, with an additional bedroom upstairs for added privacy. The first-floor, side-by-side washer and dryer add everyday convenience. Unwind on the screened porch or take advantage of the 2-car detached garage with a bonus shop area—perfect for hobbies or extra storage. A great opportunity to enjoy quiet, small-town living!
-
2026-02-05$125,000 Active 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Welcome to small-town charm in the heart of Adair! This inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath, two-story home offers 1,196 sq ft of comfortable living. Enjoy a spacious great room with cozy carpet, a bright kitchen and dining area, and stylish LVP flooring with freshly painted white trim throughout. Two bedrooms and a full bath are conveniently located on the main floor, with an additional bedroom upstairs for added privacy. The first-floor, side-by-side washer and dryer add everyday convenience. Unwind on the screened porch or take advantage of the 2-car detached garage with a bonus shop area—perfect for hobbies or extra storage. A great opportunity to enjoy quiet, small-town living!
-
2025-12-17soldstatus $105,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $430 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,071 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$641/yr (+$53/mo · 149.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,882
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$430
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$871
- − Management
- −$871
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$1,111
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$267
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Adair-Casey Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1903090
- Math proficiency
- 85% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,664
- Composite
- 67.96/100
- National rank
- #760
- State rank
- #52 of 330 in IA
Livability — Adair
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #271
- US rank
- #5188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Adair, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,522
Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,573 people
- By 2030
- 6,252 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 5,655 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 5,154 · -21.6%
- By 2075
- 4,460 · -32.1%
- By 2100
- 3,951 · -39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Portuguese 1% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Adair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.0) · D 26.7% · R 71.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.7pp toward R · 2008: -3.4pp · 2024: -45.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+35.4 2012: R+8.1 2008: R+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.83%
- Current HPI
- 242.2443
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+3.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $109,000 DMMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $117,500 DMMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $125,000 DMMLS
- 2025-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $430 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…