171 Reedy St · Bristol, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with a den, tucked away on a quiet dead-end street. This home offers a functional layout with additional living space in the den and a nice level backyard--perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or everyday use. Conveniently located less than 10 minutes from King University with easy access to Interstate 81, making commuting simple while still enjoying a peaceful setting. This property is being sold as-is and offers great potential for investors, first-time buyers, or anyone looking to make it their own. All information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information.
Key facts
- Level backyard
- Functional layout
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Built as a house
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Level and sloped topography
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Pantry
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (12.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (33.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (33.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#140 in VA, #4,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Bristol City Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #53 of 131 in VA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Joseph Van Pelt Elementary (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 417 students, 101% FRL); Virginia Middle (math 56% / reading 71%, grade B+, #128 of 342 statewide, top 39%, 487 students, 101% FRL); Virginia High (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #159 of 319 statewide, top 53%, 637 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 101% FRL vs 58% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 157 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15 units permitted in Bristol city in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bristol County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $84k; list at $175k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.06%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 12.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,977
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -19.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 633 Old Airport Rd | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,253 (+0%) | 1mo | $239,000 | $191 | 86 |
| 288 Independence Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,253 (+0%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $192 | 76 |
| 153 Brandon Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (+1%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $210 | 74 |
| 139 Brandon Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,313 (+5%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $202 | 69 |
| 184 Center St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,337 (+7%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $131 | 58 |
| 109 Canterbury Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,382 (+10%) | 3mo | $254,500 | $184 | 55 |
| 1200 King Mill Pike | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,310 (+5%) | 14mo | $288,000 | $220 | 55 |
| 1549 Kings Mill Pike | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-13%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $137 | 52 |
| 140 Risto Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,333 (+6%) | 8mo | $229,900 | $172 | 48 |
| 214 Roo Pl | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,220 (-3%) | 16mo | $212,000 | $174 | 43 |
| 165 Lawson Rd | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (+7%) | 22mo | $197,500 | $147 | 43 |
| 124 Oakcrest Cir | 0.61mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,074 (-14%) | 1mo | $1,250 | $1 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-36,398
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-42,278
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24201
- Active inventory
- 157
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,166 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $662/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $-125
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-26 | -5% $-75 | +0% $-125 | +5% $-174 | +10% $-224 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-217 | -5% $-171 | +0% $-125 | +5% $-79 | +10% $-33 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-37 | -0.5pp $-80 | base $-125 | +0.5pp $-170 | +1.0pp $-216 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1740 Bonham Rd Unit 1716-5 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1740 Bonham Rd Unit 1716-2 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1225 Carriage Cir #203 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1733 Dunlap St Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $175,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $175,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $175,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $182,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $182,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $182,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $182,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $182,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $182,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $182,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $182,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $182,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $182,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $182,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $182,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $182,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$189,900 Active 655-char remark
-
2006-08-23soldstatus $83,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $662 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,435 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$773/yr (+$64/mo · 116.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$662
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,119
- − Management
- −$1,119
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$4,681
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,123
- After-tax cash flow
- $-376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bristol City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100450
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,978
- Composite
- 52.4/100
- National rank
- #1579
- State rank
- #53 of 131 in VA
Livability — Bristol
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #4544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bristol, VA
- City population
- 16,039
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,039
Population outlook (Bristol County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,113 people
- By 2030
- 15,510 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 14,121 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 12,847 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 9,870 · -38.7%
- By 2100
- 7,883 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 1% Iranian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bristol
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -206.40%
- Current HPI
- 196.2099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+108.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $175,000 TVRMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $182,500 TVRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $189,900 TVRMLS
- 2006-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $83,900 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…