628 Taylor St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Prime location being sold as is, offering a blank canvas for renovation or redevelopment. This large and spacious home features a formal dining room, sunroom, oversized foyer and porch, master bedroom with fireplace, and a partially finished basement with wet bar and extra room. Additional highlights include an extra large pantry, small office on the second floor, and flexible layout suited for multiple living or investment possibilities. Major updates include roof, siding, concrete porch, furnace, plumbing, and electrical. Conveniently located near freeways, bus lines, historical district, and newer developments. An unpolished diamond ready for a buyer with vision and creativity to unlock its full potential.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Wet bar
- Oversized foyer
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $690 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.1%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,622/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 1258% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $200k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.80%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $340,614
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -41.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Atkinson St | 0.13mi | 4/3.0 | 3,403 (+3%) | 0mo | $499,900 | $147 | 88 |
| 1199 Atkinson St | 0.42mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 3,060 (-7%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $87 | 57 |
| 1550 Edison St | 0.65mi | 4/3.5 | 3,404 (+3%) | 6mo | $395,000 | $116 | 57 |
| 260 Arden Park Blvd | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 3,259 (-1%) | 13mo | $465,600 | $143 | 55 |
| 1257 Longfellow St | 0.52mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 3,169 (-4%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $65 | 54 |
| 265 E Boston Blvd | 0.64mi | 4/3.5 | 3,200 (-3%) | 12mo | $340,000 | $106 | 53 |
| 658 Pallister St | 0.67mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 3,517 (+7%) | 1mo | $850,000 | $242 | 50 |
| 1475 Longfellow St | 0.60mi | 4/3.5 | 2,886 (-12%) | 9mo | $490,000 | $170 | 42 |
| 1557 Edison St | 0.65mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 3,137 (-5%) | 16mo | $410,000 | $131 | 42 |
| 1411 Atkinson St | 0.50mi | 5/5.5 (+1) | 2,993 (-9%) | 7mo | $148,000 | $49 | 40 |
| 80 Chandler St | 0.71mi | 4/4.5 | 3,617 (+10%) | 7mo | $400,000 | $111 | 39 |
| 89 Burlingame St | 0.74mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 3,682 (+12%) | 4mo | $149,000 | $40 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $3,923
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $30,483
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48202
- Rents YoY
- -5.1%
- Active inventory
- 257
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,622 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$551
- Net cashflow
- $690
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 634 Atkinson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3000 | $6,500 | $2.17 | 10d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1441 W Euclid St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2380 | $2,600 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1699 Glynn Ct Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2542 | $2,500 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2028 Gladstone St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $2,850 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2080 Gladstone St #1 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2426 | $3,000 | $1.24 | 1d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2440 | $2,500 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2440 | $2,500 | $1.02 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8951 La Salle Blvd Unit NA Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2440 | $2,500 | $1.02 | 10d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2286 Calvert St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3402 | $1,450 | $0.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2509 Gladstone St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3000 | $2,650 | $0.88 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7370 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3610 | $4,500 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $199,900 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 95 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-03-24price $199,900 718-char remark
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
Prime location being sold as is, offering a blank canvas for renovation or redevelopment. This large and spacious home features a formal dining room, sunroom, oversized foyer and porch, master bedroom with fireplace, and a partially finished basement with wet bar and extra room. Additional highlights include an extra large pantry, small office on the second floor, and flexible layout suited for multiple living or investment possibilities. Major updates include roof, siding, concrete porch, furnace, plumbing, and electrical. Conveniently located near freeways, bus lines, historical district, and newer developments. An unpolished diamond ready for a buyer with vision and creativity to unlock its full potential.
-
2026-03-23price $199,900 718-char remark
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
Prime location being sold as is, offering a blank canvas for renovation or redevelopment. This large and spacious home features a formal dining room, sunroom, oversized foyer and porch, master bedroom with fireplace, and a partially finished basement with wet bar and extra room. Additional highlights include an extra large pantry, small office on the second floor, and flexible layout suited for multiple living or investment possibilities. Major updates include roof, siding, concrete porch, furnace, plumbing, and electrical. Conveniently located near freeways, bus lines, historical district, and newer developments. An unpolished diamond ready for a buyer with vision and creativity to unlock its full potential.
-
2026-02-26$214,900 Active 718-char remark
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
Prime location being sold as is, offering a blank canvas for renovation or redevelopment. This large and spacious home features a formal dining room, sunroom, oversized foyer and porch, master bedroom with fireplace, and a partially finished basement with wet bar and extra room. Additional highlights include an extra large pantry, small office on the second floor, and flexible layout suited for multiple living or investment possibilities. Major updates include roof, siding, concrete porch, furnace, plumbing, and electrical. Conveniently located near freeways, bus lines, historical district, and newer developments. An unpolished diamond ready for a buyer with vision and creativity to unlock its full potential.
-
2026-02-26$214,900 Active 718-char remark
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
Prime location being sold as is, offering a blank canvas for renovation or redevelopment. This large and spacious home features a formal dining room, sunroom, oversized foyer and porch, master bedroom with fireplace, and a partially finished basement with wet bar and extra room. Additional highlights include an extra large pantry, small office on the second floor, and flexible layout suited for multiple living or investment possibilities. Major updates include roof, siding, concrete porch, furnace, plumbing, and electrical. Conveniently located near freeways, bus lines, historical district, and newer developments. An unpolished diamond ready for a buyer with vision and creativity to unlock its full potential.
-
2025-07-27historical
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2025-07-27historical
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2025-06-19status Active
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2025-06-19historical
-
2025-03-27status Active
-
2025-03-26status Active
-
2025-03-26$265,000 Active
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2025-03-26historical
-
2024-04-15soldstatus $80,000
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2007-12-20historical
-
2007-12-20historical
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2007-10-25$7,900
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2007-10-24historical
-
2007-10-22$7,900
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2007-05-25$25,900
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2007-02-05historical
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2006-03-24$150,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,469
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,998
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,517
- − Management
- −$2,517
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $5,423
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,301
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,780
- Household income
- $43,627
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1258.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 26% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.24%
- Current HPI
- 145.5509
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.13%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+33.3% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $199,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $199,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-26 Listed $214,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-26 Listed $214,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-07-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-19 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-27 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-26 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-26 Listed $265,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2007-12-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-12-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-10-25 Listed $7,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-10-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-10-22 Listed $7,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-05-25 Listed $25,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-02-05 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-03-24 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+18.6%/yrLatest (2025): $10,302 · +205.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…