4121 Oval Ter · Graniteville, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FP: heritage Noble Plan (4BR/2.5BA) 2359 Sq Ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal Dining Room , pendant lighting, rope crown molding in kitchen, recess lights, Fireplace, 10 X 12 Covered Porch, Hardwoods in kitchen, foyer and 1/2 bath, piedrafina marble in owners bath, bay window. Photos and options may be of like home and may reflect options not included in the listing price. 100% USDA Financing available.
Key facts
- Inviting kitchen
- Covered porch
- Piedrafina marble
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Sage Creek; Directions available
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $576.52 (about $48.04/month)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Garage door opener; Paved driveway
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Underground utilities; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Residential property; Built by DR Horton-Crown LLC
- Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle/composition roof; Slab foundation; Built area above grade: 2,359
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Fenced yard; Corner lot; Landscaped; Paved roads
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Self-cleaning oven; Range; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Ceiling fans; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Cathedral ceilings; Kitchen island; Pantry; Insulated windows; Window coverings; Fireplace in the great room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $244k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#240 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Byrd Elementary (math 28% / reading 36%, grade F, #369 of 597 statewide, top 64%, 657 students, 37% FRL); Leavelle Mccampbell Middle (math 19% / reading 32%, grade F, #162 of 229 statewide, top 71%, 650 students, 55% FRL); Midland Valley High (math 31% / reading 83%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 1,477 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
- Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $189k; list at $300k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.55%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $278,880
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3032 Walking View Ct | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 | 2,359 (+2%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $106 | 87 |
| 708 Flat Rock Ln | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 2,342 (+1%) | 5mo | $399,000 | $170 | 82 |
| 568 Buttonwood Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 | 2,232 (-4%) | 1mo | $267,000 | $120 | 76 |
| 4055 Thimbleberry Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,273 (-2%) | 12mo | $270,000 | $119 | 74 |
| 8045 Cozy Knl | 0.07mi | 4/2.5 | 2,149 (-8%) | 15mo | $274,500 | $128 | 72 |
| 4145 Thimbleberry Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,357 (+1%) | 10mo | $273,000 | $116 | 69 |
| 8039 Red Rock Way Way | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 | 2,456 (+6%) | 13mo | $287,000 | $117 | 68 |
| 709 Turning Crest Ln | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 | 2,294 (-1%) | 16mo | $256,500 | $112 | 58 |
| 515 Twin VW Ct | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,065 (-11%) | 14mo | $257,000 | $124 | 58 |
| 566 Village East Cir | 0.45mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,652 (+14%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $104 | 47 |
| 692 Turning Crest Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,000 (-14%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $128 | 47 |
| 2841 Calli Crossing Dr | 0.67mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,361 (+2%) | 16mo | $283,600 | $120 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $137,670
- Equity at exit
- $235,640
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.70×
- Total profit
- $394,508
- Equity at exit
- $475,383
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29829
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 299
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,438 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $857/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$48
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$512
- Net cashflow
- $109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $278 | -5% $194 | +0% $109 | +5% $24 | +10% $-61 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-84 | -5% $12 | +0% $109 | +5% $205 | +10% $301 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $260 | -0.5pp $185 | base $109 | +0.5pp $31 | +1.0pp $-48 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6130 Mahogany Ter Graniteville, SC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1893 | $2,250 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 4044 Thimbleberry Dr Graniteville, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $1,925 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4074 Thimbleberry Dr Graniteville, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1854 | $1,900 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4060 Stone Pass Dr Graniteville, SC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,925 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 507 Satinwood Cir Graniteville, SC | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1776 | $2,199 | $1.24 | 14d | 5 | 0.62mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $48 · $576/yr
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $299,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-23$299,900 Active
-
2017-07-11soldstatus $189,249 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Heritage Noble Plan (4BR 2.5BA) 2359 Sq ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal dining room. Recessed lighting, fireplace, 10X12 covered porch, hardwoods in kitchen, foyer, and 1/2 bath. Photos may be of like home, and may reflect options not included in the listing price. FP-HERITAGE.
-
2017-07-11soldstatus $189,249 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Heritage Noble Plan (4BR 2.5BA) 2359 Sq ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal dining room. Recessed lighting, fireplace, 10X12 covered porch, hardwoods in kitchen, foyer, and 1/2 bath. Photos may be of like home, and may reflect options not included in the listing price. FP-HERITAGE.
-
2017-07-11soldstatus $189,249
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Heritage Noble Plan (4BR 2.5BA) 2359 Sq ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal dining room. Recessed lighting, fireplace, 10X12 covered porch, hardwoods in kitchen, foyer, and 1/2 bath. Photos may be of like home, and may reflect options not included in the listing price. FP-HERITAGE.
-
2017-02-14$189,587 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Heritage Noble Plan (4BR 2.5BA) 2359 Sq ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal dining room. Recessed lighting, fireplace, 10X12 covered porch, hardwoods in kitchen, foyer, and 1/2 bath. Photos may be of like home, and may reflect options not included in the listing price. FP-HERITAGE.
-
2017-02-14$189,587
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Heritage Noble Plan (4BR 2.5BA) 2359 Sq ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal dining room. Recessed lighting, fireplace, 10X12 covered porch, hardwoods in kitchen, foyer, and 1/2 bath. Photos may be of like home, and may reflect options not included in the listing price. FP-HERITAGE.
-
2017-02-10$189,589 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
FP: heritage Noble Plan (4BR/2.5BA) 2359 Sq Ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal Dining Room , pendant lighting, rope crown molding in kitchen, recess lights, Fireplace, 10 X 12 Covered Porch, Hardwoods in kitchen, foyer and 1/2 bath, piedrafina marble in owners bath, bay window. Photos and options may be of like home and may reflect options not included in the listing price. 100% USDA Financing available.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $857 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,709 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$852/yr (+$71/mo · 99.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,251
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$857
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,340
- − Management
- −$2,340
- − HOA
- −$576
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$3,885
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$932
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,236/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Aiken 01
- NCES district ID
- 4500720
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,081
- Composite
- 31.91/100
- National rank
- #5857
- State rank
- #36 of 80 in SC
Livability — Graniteville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #240
- US rank
- #19924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Aiken County · 116,534 people
- City population
- 12,385
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,385
- Household income
- $84,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 213.0
Population outlook (Aiken County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,003 people
- By 2030
- 182,876 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 189,970 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 193,840 · +8.9%
- By 2075
- 199,453 · +12.1%
- By 2100
- 192,403 · +8.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Swedish 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Aiken
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.4% · R 62.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -25.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.9 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+24.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.38%
- Current HPI
- 286.4155
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+58.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $299,900 AMLS
- 2017-07-11 Sold (MLS) $189,249 Hive MLS
- 2017-07-11 Sold (MLS) $189,249 Hive MLS
- 2017-07-11 Sold (MLS) $189,249 AMLS
- 2017-02-14 Listed $189,587 Hive MLS
- 2017-02-14 Listed $189,587 Hive MLS
- 2017-02-10 Listed $189,589 AMLS
Property tax history
+33.7%/yrLatest (2025): $857 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…