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4121 Oval Ter
D+ Composite 47.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$299,900

4121 Oval Ter · Graniteville, SC 29829
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,324 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 2017 8,276 sqft lot Est $279k · 8% over $48/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FP: heritage Noble Plan (4BR/2.5BA) 2359 Sq Ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal Dining Room , pendant lighting, rope crown molding in kitchen, recess lights, Fireplace, 10 X 12 Covered Porch, Hardwoods in kitchen, foyer and 1/2 bath, piedrafina marble in owners bath, bay window. Photos and options may be of like home and may reflect options not included in the listing price. 100% USDA Financing available.

Key facts

  • Inviting kitchen
  • Covered porch
  • Piedrafina marble

Tags

INVITING KITCHENFORMAL DINING ROOMCOVERED PORCHUPGRADED KITCHEN FLOORINGUPGRADED BATHROOM FLOORINGPIEDRAFINA MARBLE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Sage Creek; Directions available
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $576.52 (about $48.04/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Garage door opener; Paved driveway
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Underground utilities; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Residential property; Built by DR Horton-Crown LLC
  • Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle/composition roof; Slab foundation; Built area above grade: 2,359
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Fenced yard; Corner lot; Landscaped; Paved roads

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Self-cleaning oven; Range; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Ceiling fans; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Cathedral ceilings; Kitchen island; Pantry; Insulated windows; Window coverings; Fireplace in the great room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (18.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $244k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#240 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Byrd Elementary (math 28% / reading 36%, grade F, #369 of 597 statewide, top 64%, 657 students, 37% FRL); Leavelle Mccampbell Middle (math 19% / reading 32%, grade F, #162 of 229 statewide, top 71%, 650 students, 55% FRL); Midland Valley High (math 31% / reading 83%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 1,477 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $189k; list at $300k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $243,761 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.55%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$278,880
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3032 Walking View Ct 0.13mi 4/2.5 2,359 (+2%) 5mo $250,000 $106 87
708 Flat Rock Ln 0.26mi 4/2.5 2,342 (+1%) 5mo $399,000 $170 82
568 Buttonwood Dr 0.35mi 4/2.5 2,232 (-4%) 1mo $267,000 $120 76
4055 Thimbleberry Dr 0.17mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,273 (-2%) 12mo $270,000 $119 74
8045 Cozy Knl 0.07mi 4/2.5 2,149 (-8%) 15mo $274,500 $128 72
4145 Thimbleberry Dr 0.31mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,357 (+1%) 10mo $273,000 $116 69
8039 Red Rock Way Way 0.25mi 4/2.5 2,456 (+6%) 13mo $287,000 $117 68
709 Turning Crest Ln 0.56mi 4/2.5 2,294 (-1%) 16mo $256,500 $112 58
515 Twin VW Ct 0.15mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,065 (-11%) 14mo $257,000 $124 58
566 Village East Cir 0.45mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,652 (+14%) 2mo $275,000 $104 47
692 Turning Crest Ln 0.52mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,000 (-14%) 1mo $255,000 $128 47
2841 Calli Crossing Dr 0.67mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,361 (+2%) 16mo $283,600 $120 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$137,670
Equity at exit
$235,640
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
5.70×
Total profit
$394,508
Equity at exit
$475,383

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29829

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
299
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,438 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $857/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$48
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$512
Net cashflow
$109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,300
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $278 -5% $194 +0% $109 +5% $24 +10% $-61
Rent -10% $-84 -5% $12 +0% $109 +5% $205 +10% $301
Rate -1.0pp $260 -0.5pp $185 base $109 +0.5pp $31 +1.0pp $-48

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6130 Mahogany Ter Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.0 1893 $2,250 $1.19 14d 1 0.06mi
4044 Thimbleberry Dr Graniteville, SC 3.0 2.5 1694 $1,925 $1.14 22d 1 0.20mi
4074 Thimbleberry Dr Graniteville, SC 3.0 2.5 1854 $1,900 $1.02 22d 1 0.23mi
4060 Stone Pass Dr Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,925 $1.20 24d 1 0.55mi
507 Satinwood Cir Graniteville, SC 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1776 $2,199 $1.24 14d 5 0.62mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$48 · $576/yr

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,900 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,900 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,900 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,900 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,900 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,900 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,900 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,900 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,900 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,900 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,900 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,900 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,900 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,900 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $299,900 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-05-23
    listed $299,900 Active
  17. 2017-07-11
    soldstatus $189,249 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Heritage Noble Plan (4BR 2.5BA) 2359 Sq ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal dining room. Recessed lighting, fireplace, 10X12 covered porch, hardwoods in kitchen, foyer, and 1/2 bath. Photos may be of like home, and may reflect options not included in the listing price. FP-HERITAGE.

  18. 2017-07-11
    soldstatus $189,249 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Heritage Noble Plan (4BR 2.5BA) 2359 Sq ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal dining room. Recessed lighting, fireplace, 10X12 covered porch, hardwoods in kitchen, foyer, and 1/2 bath. Photos may be of like home, and may reflect options not included in the listing price. FP-HERITAGE.

  19. 2017-07-11
    soldstatus $189,249
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Heritage Noble Plan (4BR 2.5BA) 2359 Sq ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal dining room. Recessed lighting, fireplace, 10X12 covered porch, hardwoods in kitchen, foyer, and 1/2 bath. Photos may be of like home, and may reflect options not included in the listing price. FP-HERITAGE.

  20. 2017-02-14
    listed $189,587 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Heritage Noble Plan (4BR 2.5BA) 2359 Sq ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal dining room. Recessed lighting, fireplace, 10X12 covered porch, hardwoods in kitchen, foyer, and 1/2 bath. Photos may be of like home, and may reflect options not included in the listing price. FP-HERITAGE.

  21. 2017-02-14
    listed $189,587
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Heritage Noble Plan (4BR 2.5BA) 2359 Sq ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal dining room. Recessed lighting, fireplace, 10X12 covered porch, hardwoods in kitchen, foyer, and 1/2 bath. Photos may be of like home, and may reflect options not included in the listing price. FP-HERITAGE.

  22. 2017-02-10
    listed $189,589 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    FP: heritage Noble Plan (4BR/2.5BA) 2359 Sq Ft. Inviting kitchen w/ island and desk area. Formal Dining Room , pendant lighting, rope crown molding in kitchen, recess lights, Fireplace, 10 X 12 Covered Porch, Hardwoods in kitchen, foyer and 1/2 bath, piedrafina marble in owners bath, bay window. Photos and options may be of like home and may reflect options not included in the listing price. 100% USDA Financing available.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$857 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,709 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$852/yr (+$71/mo · 99.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,251
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$857
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,340
− Management
−$2,340
− HOA
−$576
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$3,885
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$932
After-tax cash flow
$2,236/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aiken 01
NCES district ID
4500720
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,081
Composite
31.91/100
National rank
#5857
State rank
#36 of 80 in SC

Livability — Graniteville

Score
59/100
State rank
#240
US rank
#19924

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Aiken County · 116,534 people
City population
12,385
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
12,385
Household income
$84,228
Rent vs Own
18.3% rent · 81.7% own
Severe rent burden
213.0

Population outlook (Aiken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,003 people
By 2030
182,876 · +2.7%
By 2040
189,970 · +6.7%
By 2050
193,840 · +8.9%
By 2075
199,453 · +12.1%
By 2100
192,403 · +8.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Swedish 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Aiken

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.4% · R 62.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-1.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -25.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.9 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+24.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.38%
Current HPI
286.4155
Rent YoY
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $299,900 AMLS
  • 2017-07-11 Sold (MLS) $189,249 Hive MLS
  • 2017-07-11 Sold (MLS) $189,249 Hive MLS
  • 2017-07-11 Sold (MLS) $189,249 AMLS
  • 2017-02-14 Listed $189,587 Hive MLS
  • 2017-02-14 Listed $189,587 Hive MLS
  • 2017-02-10 Listed $189,589 AMLS

Property tax history

+33.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $857 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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