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127 SE Cr 4298
B+ Composite 76.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$169,000

127 SE Cr 4298 · Mount Vernon, TX 75480
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,730 sqft · SingleFamily · 156 Days on market
Built 2011 Fair condition 1.38 ac lot $62/sqft · 64% below area ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 4 bedroom, 3 bath, 2 car garage home would make a great starter home, rental property or DIY investment. It's situated on 1.38 acres less than 5 minutes north of beautiful Lake Cypress Springs and less than 10 minutes to Mt Vernon ISD. The main house measures 2730 sq ft with a spacious, split master bedroom ensuite. There is a second bedroom and full bathroom downstairs along with the family room and kitchen-dining room combo. The other 2 bedrooms share the third full bathroom upstairs, and one of the bedrooms has an exterior balcony. The's also a sun room off the kitchen, and the drive-through 2 car garage is heated and cooled with a 410sf bedroom above it that's already plumbed with a shower and commode. Other features the Seller wants Buyers to know. .. the entire downstairs is framed with 2x6 treated lumber, Seller installed new laminate bamboo flooring in the kitchen last year, the shingles are Timberline with a lifetime warranty, the house is plumbed with on-demand electric heat, the bathrooms have custom cabinets and there is a 30'x40' concrete pad out back ready for whatever you want to put on it. If you're a gardener or need space for an ag animal, there's ample room for that plus a tree house with electricity out back for the kiddos. Come take a look at this place. It's priced to sell, so come see for yourself and take advantage of a great opportunity.

Key facts

  • 1.38 acres
  • Exterior balcony
  • Plumbed with shower

Tags

1.38 ACRESEXTERIOR BALCONYSUN ROOMHEATED AND COOLED GARAGE410SF BEDROOMPLUMBED WITH SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $169k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 1.7% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#190 in TX, #4,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mount Vernon ISD (town): math 49% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #251 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $148,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.08%
Cash-on-cash
17.09%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$470,785
List price
$169,000
Delta
-64.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
2.76×
Total profit
$83,132
Equity at exit
$97,068
10-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
5.52×
Total profit
$213,736
Equity at exit
$168,610

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75480

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,331 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax est. 1.5%
$211 /mo · $2,535/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$674

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,478
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $169,000 Active 156 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 152 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,000 Active 150 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $169,000 Active 149 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 146 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 145 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 144 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,000 Active 142 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 139 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 138 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 137 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,000 Active 136 DOM
  16. 2026-04-30
    price $169,000 1389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1389 chars)

    This 4 bedroom, 3 bath, 2 car garage home would make a great starter home, rental property or DIY investment. It's situated on 1.38 acres less than 5 minutes north of beautiful Lake Cypress Springs and less than 10 minutes to Mt Vernon ISD. The main house measures 2730 sq ft with a spacious, split master bedroom ensuite. There is a second bedroom and full bathroom downstairs along with the family room and kitchen-dining room combo. The other 2 bedrooms share the third full bathroom upstairs, and one of the bedrooms has an exterior balcony. The's also a sun room off the kitchen, and the drive-through 2 car garage is heated and cooled with a 410sf bedroom above it that's already plumbed with a shower and commode. Other features the Seller wants Buyers to know. .. the entire downstairs is framed with 2x6 treated lumber, Seller installed new laminate bamboo flooring in the kitchen last year, the shingles are Timberline with a lifetime warranty, the house is plumbed with on-demand electric heat, the bathrooms have custom cabinets and there is a 30'x40' concrete pad out back ready for whatever you want to put on it. If you're a gardener or need space for an ag animal, there's ample room for that plus a tree house with electricity out back for the kiddos. Come take a look at this place. It's priced to sell, so come see for yourself and take advantage of a great opportunity.

  17. 2026-01-14
    listed $179,000 Active 1389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1389 chars)

    This 4 bedroom, 3 bath, 2 car garage home would make a great starter home, rental property or DIY investment. It's situated on 1.38 acres less than 5 minutes north of beautiful Lake Cypress Springs and less than 10 minutes to Mt Vernon ISD. The main house measures 2730 sq ft with a spacious, split master bedroom ensuite. There is a second bedroom and full bathroom downstairs along with the family room and kitchen-dining room combo. The other 2 bedrooms share the third full bathroom upstairs, and one of the bedrooms has an exterior balcony. The's also a sun room off the kitchen, and the drive-through 2 car garage is heated and cooled with a 410sf bedroom above it that's already plumbed with a shower and commode. Other features the Seller wants Buyers to know. .. the entire downstairs is framed with 2x6 treated lumber, Seller installed new laminate bamboo flooring in the kitchen last year, the shingles are Timberline with a lifetime warranty, the house is plumbed with on-demand electric heat, the bathrooms have custom cabinets and there is a 30'x40' concrete pad out back ready for whatever you want to put on it. If you're a gardener or need space for an ag animal, there's ample room for that plus a tree house with electricity out back for the kiddos. Come take a look at this place. It's priced to sell, so come see for yourself and take advantage of a great opportunity.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,978
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$2,535
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,238
− Management
−$2,238
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$5,738
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,377
After-tax cash flow
$6,710/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, bathrooms, and exterior. Painting, updating fixtures, and landscaping can significantly enhance its appeal.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen countertops — Cluttered and could benefit from cleaning
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated and could be replaced
  • Moderate Yard and garage clutter — Cluttered and could be cleaned and organized

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace dated kitchen countertops — New countertops can improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Replace dated bathroom fixtures — New fixtures can improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Organize and landscape yard — A well-maintained yard can improve curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen countertops · Cluttered and could benefit from cleaning Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated and could be replaced Minor $500–3,000
Yard and garage clutter · Cluttered and could be cleaned and organized Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $4,000–21,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace dated kitchen countertops — New countertops can improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Replace dated bathroom fixtures — New fixtures can improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Organize and landscape yard — A well-maintained yard can improve curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Vernon ISD
NCES district ID
4831770
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,788
Composite
39.19/100
National rank
#4021
State rank
#251 of 826 in TX

Livability — Mount Vernon

Score
74/100
State rank
#190
US rank
#4869

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,787

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,621 people
By 2030
10,648 · +0.3%
By 2040
10,629 · +0.1%
By 2050
10,486 · -1.3%
By 2075
10,038 · -5.5%
By 2100
8,816 · -17.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Slovak 8% German 7% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.3% · R 84.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -52.5pp · 2024: -68.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.9 2020: R+67.0 2016: R+67.0 2012: R+63.4 2008: R+52.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.13%
Current HPI
234.5679
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $169,000 GTAR
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $179,000 GTAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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