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6 Aka 8 Water St
B+ Composite 76.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$32,108

6 Aka 8 Water St · Andover, NY 14806
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,356 sqft · SingleFamily · 112 Days on market
Built 1945 Fair condition 8,712 sqft lot $24/sqft · 70% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a great opportunity? This property has tons of potential and is average in living space size for the neighborhood. It is located close to main roads with easy access to local amenities, such as shopping, banking, schools, and various eateries. Per our BPO/TAX describes the property as a SFR (cape) built in 1945. It has a GLA of approx. 1356 and has 3 bedrooms and 1.5baths, NO basement and 1-Att Garage. The property is on 8712 sq

Key facts

  • Close to main roads
  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

EASY ACCESS TO LOCAL AMENITIESCLOSE TO MAIN ROADS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $32k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#676 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, health & safety D.
  • Andover Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #667 of 755 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($222 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
  • Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,218 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.68%
Cap rate
32.92%
Cash-on-cash
95.11%
DSCR
5.23
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$106,961
List price
$32,108
Delta
-69.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 W Greenwood St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,254 (-8%) 10mo $90,000 $72 54
24 Second St 0.42mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,157 (-15%) 21mo $95,000 $82 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.1%
Equity multiple
3.90×
Total profit
$26,092
Equity at exit
$18,405
10-year hold
IRR
45.1%
Equity multiple
8.07×
Total profit
$63,579
Equity at exit
$31,940

Cash invested: $8,990 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14806

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,183 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$168
Tax est. 1.5%
$40 /mo · $482/yr
Insurance
$13
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$286

Break-even live

Break-even rent $821
Max offer price $32,108
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,027
Closing costs
$963
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $32,108 Pending 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $32,108 Active 112 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $32,108 Active 111 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $32,108 Active 110 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $32,108 Active 109 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $32,108 Active 107 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $32,108 Active 106 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $32,108 Active 103 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $32,108 Active 102 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $32,108 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $32,108 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $32,108 Active 97 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $32,108 Active 96 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $32,108 Active 95 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $32,108 Active 94 DOM
  16. 2026-02-26
    listed $32,108 Active 445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    Looking for a great opportunity? This property has tons of potential and is average in living space size for the neighborhood. It is located close to main roads with easy access to local amenities, such as shopping, banking, schools, and various eateries. Per our BPO/TAX describes the property as a SFR (cape) built in 1945. It has a GLA of approx. 1356 and has 3 bedrooms and 1.5baths, NO basement and 1-Att Garage. The property is on 8712 sq

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,194
− Mortgage interest
−$1,799
− Property taxes
−$482
− Insurance
−$5,279
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,135
− Management
−$1,135
− Depreciation
−$934
Taxable income
$3,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$823
After-tax cash flow
$2,609/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home has moderate potential for improvement with a focus on the kitchen and bathrooms. Exterior updates and landscaping will also significantly enhance its appeal.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen countertops — The countertops are visibly worn and need replacement.
  • Major Bathroom fixtures — The bathroom fixtures are outdated and need updating.
  • Moderate Exterior siding — The siding is weathered and could benefit from repainting.
  • Major Flooring — The flooring is worn and may need replacement.
  • Minor Interior walls — The walls show some discoloration and could be painted.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Kitchen renovation — A new kitchen will attract more buyers and increase the home's value.
  • Resale Bathroom updates — Modernizing the bathrooms will appeal to potential buyers and increase the home's value.
  • Both Exterior painting — A fresh coat of paint will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard will enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen countertops · The countertops are visibly worn and need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom fixtures · The bathroom fixtures are outdated and need updating. Major $15,000–50,000
Exterior siding · The siding is weathered and could benefit from repainting. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Flooring · The flooring is worn and may need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls · The walls show some discoloration and could be painted. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $48,500–168,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Kitchen renovation — A new kitchen will attract more buyers and increase the home's value.
  • Resale Bathroom updates — Modernizing the bathrooms will appeal to potential buyers and increase the home's value.
  • Both Exterior painting — A fresh coat of paint will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard will enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Andover Central School District
NCES district ID
3603030
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$48,098
Composite
34.8/100
National rank
#10022
State rank
#667 of 755 in NY

Livability — Andover

Score
65/100
State rank
#676
US rank
#12685

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Andover, NY
City population
2,131
Population (ZIP)
2,131

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,362 people
By 2030
43,078 · -5.0%
By 2040
38,031 · -16.2%
By 2050
33,634 · -25.9%
By 2075
25,285 · -44.3%
By 2100
18,902 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · China
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.11%
Current HPI
257.4957
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $32,108 CNYIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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