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5157 N William St
D Composite 43.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$94,000

5157 N William St · Fountain, MI 49410
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 500 sqft · Other public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1940 7,953 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect set-up for a first time home buyer, retirement get-a-way or possible rental. Close to several area lakes this 1 bedroom 1 bath updated home on a nice size lot offers an open floor plan. Washer/Dryer hook-up, updated siding and roof and heating system in 2022. Lots of windows and natural light. Home is set up for seasonal or year round use. Convenient location with a short drive to Ludington.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Updated siding
  • Updated roof

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANUPDATED SIDINGUPDATED ROOFUPDATED HEATING SYSTEMCLOSE TO SEVERAL AREA LAKESCONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Electricity available
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family home; Single-story
  • Construction: Built in 1940; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Paved road frontage; Lot of about 0.18 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; 3 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-368/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $90k (4.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $78k (16.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#569 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mason County Eastern Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #496 of 760 in MI (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mason County Eastern Elem Sch (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #814 of 1,397 statewide, top 61%, 211 students, 78% FRL); Mason County Eastern Junior Highhigh School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #304 of 713 statewide, top 46%, 171 students, 59% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (97 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($650 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Mason County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 10 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $94k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $78,345 (16.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.40%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$7,499
Equity at exit
$40,264
10-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$31,842
Equity at exit
$60,538

Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49410

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$783 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$493
Tax est. 1.5%
$118 /mo · $1,410/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$165
Net cashflow
$-31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $822
Max offer price $89,559
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $34 -5% $2 +0% $-31 +5% $-63 +10% $-96
Rent -10% $-93 -5% $-62 +0% $-31 +5% $0 +10% $31
Rate -1.0pp $17 -0.5pp $-7 base $-31 +0.5pp $-55 +1.0pp $-80

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,500
Closing costs
$2,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    listed $94,000 Active 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    Perfect set-up for a first time home buyer, retirement get-a-way or possible rental. Close to several area lakes this 1 bedroom 1 bath updated home on a nice size lot offers an open floor plan. Washer/Dryer hook-up, updated siding and roof and heating system in 2022. Lots of windows and natural light. Home is set up for seasonal or year round use. Convenient location with a short drive to Ludington.

  2. 2026-05-18
    listed $94,000 Active 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    Perfect set-up for a first time home buyer, retirement get-a-way or possible rental. Close to several area lakes this 1 bedroom 1 bath updated home on a nice size lot offers an open floor plan. Washer/Dryer hook-up, updated siding and roof and heating system in 2022. Lots of windows and natural light. Home is set up for seasonal or year round use. Convenient location with a short drive to Ludington.

  3. 2026-05-18
    listed $94,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    Perfect set-up for a first time home buyer, retirement get-a-way or possible rental. Close to several area lakes this 1 bedroom 1 bath updated home on a nice size lot offers an open floor plan. Washer/Dryer hook-up, updated siding and roof and heating system in 2022. Lots of windows and natural light. Home is set up for seasonal or year round use. Convenient location with a short drive to Ludington.

  4. 2022-06-22
    soldstatus $50,000
  5. 2022-06-21
    status Pending
  6. 2022-06-21
    status Pending
  7. 2022-06-21
    soldstatus $50,000 Sold
  8. 2022-06-21
    soldstatus $50,000 Sold
  9. 2022-06-21
    soldstatus $50,000
  10. 2022-02-10
    historical Contingent - Continue To Show
  11. 2022-02-10
    historical Active Contingent
  12. 2021-10-21
    price $58,000
  13. 2021-10-21
    price $58,000
  14. 2021-08-23
    price $59,000
  15. 2021-08-23
    price $59,000
  16. 2021-07-30
    price $60,000
  17. 2021-07-26
    price $60,000
  18. 2021-06-10
    price $62,000
  19. 2021-06-10
    price $62,000
  20. 2021-05-28
    price $63,000
  21. 2021-05-28
    price $63,000
  22. 2020-12-14
    price $64,000
  23. 2020-08-18
    price $65,000
  24. 2020-01-06
    historical
  25. 2020-01-06
    listed $64,000 Active
  26. 2020-01-06
    listed $68,000 Active
  27. 2020-01-06
    listed $58,000
  28. 2020-01-06
    historical
  29. 2018-07-19
    listed $68,000
  30. 2018-07-19
    listed $68,000
  31. 2014-05-02
    historical
  32. 2013-10-16
    listed $69,000
  33. 2008-08-04
    historical
  34. 2006-08-04
    listed $64,900
  35. 2000-06-01
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,401
− Mortgage interest
−$5,265
− Property taxes
−$1,410
− Insurance
−$470
− Repairs & maintenance
−$752
− Management
−$752
− Depreciation
−$2,735
Taxable loss
−$1,983
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$476
After-tax cash flow
$108/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mason County Eastern Schools
NCES district ID
2623160
Math proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$38,432
Composite
30.27/100
National rank
#11559
State rank
#496 of 760 in MI

Livability — Fountain

Score
61/100
State rank
#569
US rank
#18078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fountain, MI
Population (ZIP)
1,709

Population outlook (Mason County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,828 people
By 2030
28,407 · -1.5%
By 2040
27,183 · -5.7%
By 2050
26,171 · -9.2%
By 2075
24,057 · -16.5%
By 2100
20,240 · -29.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Iranian 8% Lithuanian 6%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mason

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.4) · D 38.6% · R 60.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-25.8pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -21.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.4 2020: R+19.7 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.62%
Current HPI
177.5895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+370.0% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $94,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $94,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $94,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-06-21 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-06-21 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-06-21 Sold (MLS) $50,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-06-21 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-10 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-10 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-10-21 Price Changed $58,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-21 Price Changed $58,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-08-23 Price Changed $59,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-08-23 Price Changed $59,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-07-30 Price Changed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-26 Price Changed $60,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-06-10 Price Changed $62,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-10 Price Changed $62,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-05-28 Price Changed $63,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-28 Price Changed $63,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2020-12-14 Price Changed $64,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2020-08-18 Price Changed $65,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2020-01-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-01-06 Listed $58,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-01-06 Listed $68,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2020-01-06 Listed $64,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-01-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-19 Listed $68,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-07-19 Listed $68,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-05-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-10-16 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-08-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-04 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2000-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…