5157 N William St · Fountain, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$94,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect set-up for a first time home buyer, retirement get-a-way or possible rental. Close to several area lakes this 1 bedroom 1 bath updated home on a nice size lot offers an open floor plan. Washer/Dryer hook-up, updated siding and roof and heating system in 2022. Lots of windows and natural light. Home is set up for seasonal or year round use. Convenient location with a short drive to Ludington.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Updated siding
- Updated roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Electricity available
- Home design: Ranch-style single family home; Single-story
- Construction: Built in 1940; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Paved road frontage; Lot of about 0.18 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; 3 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-368/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $90k (4.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $78k (16.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $78k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#569 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mason County Eastern Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #496 of 760 in MI (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mason County Eastern Elem Sch (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #814 of 1,397 statewide, top 61%, 211 students, 78% FRL); Mason County Eastern Junior Highhigh School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #304 of 713 statewide, top 46%, 171 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (97 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($650 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Mason County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $94k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.40%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $7,499
- Equity at exit
- $40,264
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $31,842
- Equity at exit
- $60,538
Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49410
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $783 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$493
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$118 /mo · $1,410/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$165
- Net cashflow
- $-31
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $34 | -5% $2 | +0% $-31 | +5% $-63 | +10% $-96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-93 | -5% $-62 | +0% $-31 | +5% $0 | +10% $31 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $17 | -0.5pp $-7 | base $-31 | +0.5pp $-55 | +1.0pp $-80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,500
- Closing costs
- $2,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-05-18$94,000 Active 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Perfect set-up for a first time home buyer, retirement get-a-way or possible rental. Close to several area lakes this 1 bedroom 1 bath updated home on a nice size lot offers an open floor plan. Washer/Dryer hook-up, updated siding and roof and heating system in 2022. Lots of windows and natural light. Home is set up for seasonal or year round use. Convenient location with a short drive to Ludington.
-
2026-05-18$94,000 Active 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Perfect set-up for a first time home buyer, retirement get-a-way or possible rental. Close to several area lakes this 1 bedroom 1 bath updated home on a nice size lot offers an open floor plan. Washer/Dryer hook-up, updated siding and roof and heating system in 2022. Lots of windows and natural light. Home is set up for seasonal or year round use. Convenient location with a short drive to Ludington.
-
2026-05-18$94,000 Active
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Perfect set-up for a first time home buyer, retirement get-a-way or possible rental. Close to several area lakes this 1 bedroom 1 bath updated home on a nice size lot offers an open floor plan. Washer/Dryer hook-up, updated siding and roof and heating system in 2022. Lots of windows and natural light. Home is set up for seasonal or year round use. Convenient location with a short drive to Ludington.
-
2022-06-22soldstatus $50,000
-
2022-06-21status Pending
-
2022-06-21status Pending
-
2022-06-21soldstatus $50,000 Sold
-
2022-06-21soldstatus $50,000 Sold
-
2022-06-21soldstatus $50,000
-
2022-02-10historical Contingent - Continue To Show
-
2022-02-10historical Active Contingent
-
2021-10-21price $58,000
-
2021-10-21price $58,000
-
2021-08-23price $59,000
-
2021-08-23price $59,000
-
2021-07-30price $60,000
-
2021-07-26price $60,000
-
2021-06-10price $62,000
-
2021-06-10price $62,000
-
2021-05-28price $63,000
-
2021-05-28price $63,000
-
2020-12-14price $64,000
-
2020-08-18price $65,000
-
2020-01-06historical
-
2020-01-06$64,000 Active
-
2020-01-06$68,000 Active
-
2020-01-06$58,000
-
2020-01-06historical
-
2018-07-19$68,000
-
2018-07-19$68,000
-
2014-05-02historical
-
2013-10-16$69,000
-
2008-08-04historical
-
2006-08-04$64,900
-
2000-06-01soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,401
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,265
- − Property taxes
- −$1,410
- − Insurance
- −$470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$752
- − Management
- −$752
- − Depreciation
- −$2,735
- Taxable loss
- −$1,983
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$476
- After-tax cash flow
- $108/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mason County Eastern Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2623160
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,432
- Composite
- 30.27/100
- National rank
- #11559
- State rank
- #496 of 760 in MI
Livability — Fountain
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #569
- US rank
- #18078
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fountain, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,709
Population outlook (Mason County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,828 people
- By 2030
- 28,407 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 27,183 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 26,171 · -9.2%
- By 2075
- 24,057 · -16.5%
- By 2100
- 20,240 · -29.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Iranian 8% Lithuanian 6%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mason
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.4) · D 38.6% · R 60.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.8pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -21.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.4 2020: R+19.7 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.62%
- Current HPI
- 177.5895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+370.0% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $94,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-18 Listed $94,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $94,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-21 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-06-21 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-06-21 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-06-21 Sold (MLS) $50,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-06-21 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-02-10 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2022-02-10 Contingent — SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-10-21 Price Changed $58,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-10-21 Price Changed $58,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-08-23 Price Changed $59,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-08-23 Price Changed $59,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-07-30 Price Changed $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-07-26 Price Changed $60,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-06-10 Price Changed $62,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-06-10 Price Changed $62,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-05-28 Price Changed $63,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-05-28 Price Changed $63,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2020-12-14 Price Changed $64,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2020-08-18 Price Changed $65,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2020-01-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-01-06 Listed $58,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-01-06 Listed $68,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2020-01-06 Listed $64,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-01-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-07-19 Listed $68,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-19 Listed $68,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-05-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-10-16 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-08-04 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-08-04 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…